Author Topic: 2010 Summer Movie Stats & Discussion [W13 - Inception makes the push for #1!]  (Read 2935 times)

Ngamer

  • Posts: 6305
  • Swagger Personified
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • thengamer.com

The Summer of 2010 officially kicked off at midnight on Thursday, May 6th with the release of Iron Man 2 in American theaters.  As I'm sure you know by now, Summer Movie Previews/Discussion/Preds have become something of a tradition here at the Elite; here are the link if you'd like to take a look back:

The Summer of 2007 - http://perfectdarkelite.yuku.com?topic=1418
* an incredible May lineup of Spider-Man 3, Shrek 3, and Pirates 3 kicked off what became the #1 Summer of all-time at the box office (though it wouldn't have gotten there without strong returns from Ratatouille, Harry Potter 5, The Bourne Ultimatum, The Simpson Movie, plus the surprising successes of Transformers, Knocked Up, and Superbad)

The Summer of 2008 - http://perfectdarkelite.yuku.com?topic=13628
* while not a record breaking season, '08 DID feature one of the most incredible runs in box office history by The Dark Knight, along with some very respectable showings by Iron Man, Indy 4,  Hancock, Get Smart, and Wall*E

The Summer of 2009 - http://perfectdarkelite.yuku.com?topic=14599
* Transformers 2, Harry Potter 6, and Up delivered the goods, and we were blindsided by the success of Star Trek and The Hangover, but weaker than expected returns from pretty much the whole rest of the slate resulted in a somewhat disappointing season at the box office
---

This will be our Summer-long topic to talk about the new movies we see, and also we're going to use the time leading up to midnight on Thursday, May 13th  to predict the Top Five movies of the season just as we have  the last three years!  (Plus I'm going to post the results of last year's competition later in the week.)  But first off, let's get rolling on that

2010 Summer Movie Preview!


NOTE: for these writeups, anything after a $ is in millions of dollars and is listed as (American total/Worldwide total) unless I say otherwise.

May 7th (Week #1)
Iron Man 2

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1228705/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=siQgD9qOhRs

What The Heck Is It?
Robert Downey Jr. returns as Iron Man in the sequel to 2008's smash hit.  His friends Gwyneth Paltrow and Samuel L. Jackson are also returning alongside Don Cheadle and Scarlett Johansson, but be on the lookout for new villains Mickey Rourke and Sam Rockwell!

Why Will It Be Big?
Iron Man was HUGE ($318/$585); we just tend to forget how big it actually was due to The Dark Knight's incredible box office run later that Summer.  More importantly though, IM1's word of mouth was very strong, leading to a long run after a less than overwhelming opening weekend, and it continued to perform well on DVD.  In other words, this is almost an exact replica of the formula Batman Begins used to turned TDK into an absolute monster- so look out, IM2 could very well end up the #1 movie of the Summer!

Why Should I See It?
Did anyone dislike Iron Man?  If so, I've certainly never met that person.  Downey nailed the role (as he does every role), appears to have done so again, and this time he'll have the help of a stellar cast and bigger budget.  Not seeing much of a reason to give this one a miss... especially with this to look forward to!

http://www.theonion.com/video/iron-man-2-buzz-heats-up-over-rumors-gwyneth-paltr,17275/

May 14th (Week #2)
Robin Hood

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0955308/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KSqL9ygBCck

What The Heck Is It?
Russel Crowe reteams with Ridley Scott for an epic retelling of the classic Robin Hood tale.  Except a heavier focus on action/battlescenes/archery and lighter on romance, apparently.  With Cate Blanchett as Maid Marion!

Why Will It Be Big?
Clearly Scott and Crowe are hoping this new historical epic will be their next Gladiator ($188/$458 back in 2000), but I don't know... I mean, we had a perfectly serviceable version of this story only 20 years ago- though I guess that movie did so well ($165/$390 for Kevin Costner's Robin Hood) that trying to duplicate its success makes some sense.  In any case, it seems like a mistake to position this so close to IM2 given the similar audiences, so for now I'm not expecting big things from this entry.

Why Should I See It?
I imagine you probably loved Gladiator and American Gangster, but... man does another Robin Hood ever seem unnecessary.  I'll probably wait for DVD on this one, outside of stellar reviews.

May 21st (Week #3)
Shrek Forever After

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0892791/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u7__TG7swg0

What The Heck Is It?
Myers and gang return for the 4th (and final!) film in the Shrek franchise.  (Except not REALLY, because they're already working on a prequel for 2011 that revolves around Puss in Boots.)  This time they attempt to recapture the first film's magic by transporting Shrek to an alternate dimension where he was never born, forcing him to befriend all his old pals once again.

Why Will It Be Big?
S1 --> S2 was one of those same "good word of mouth/great DVD sales/massive hype for the sequel" deals that we talked about with BB --> TDK.  After S2 disappointed everyone, S3 dropped off... but still not THAT far.  Here's the chart:

Shrek 1: $268/$484 (2001)
Shrek 2: $441/$920 (2004)
Shrek 3: $323/$799 (2007)

I'm expecting S4 to continue the dropping trend, but it's still an extremely safe bet for a good performance, especially considering how it'll be the only family movie option at theaters for a good six weeks.

Why Should I See It?
You probably shouldn't!  Unless you loved Shrek 2 and 3, in which case, "erm, alright then."

ALSO THIS WEEK

MacGruber

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1470023/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bqySbDqTGGc

What The Heck Is It?
Yesssss.  Saturday Night Live's most popular current sketch will be stretched out to 90 minutes, with Will Forte and Kristen Wiig reprising their roles.  They'll be joined by Ryan Phillippe and the world's most dangerous supervillain, Val Kilmer.

Why Will It Be Big?
Every SNL movie hopes it'll be the next Wayne's World ($122/$183 back in 1992), when in reality they've done nothing but flop ever since then.  Even the ones with Will Ferrel attached!
(A Night at the Roxbury, $30 in 1998)  Then again, it's been over 10 years since SNL's last attempt (The Ladies Man, $14 in 2000)... maybe audiences will have warmed to their style of humor since then?

Why Should I See It?
Will Forte had me at "upper decker in the master bathroom" (see the trailer).  That's why me and Infil have advanced tickets for this one already in hand!

(Also, the early reviews have actually been pretty positive.  Joshua Tyler calls it "an unending string of easy scatological jokes which it executes really, really well."  Which is... one of the more interesting compliments I've ever heard!

May 28th (Week #4)
Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0473075/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UQ0rIr_405c

What The Heck Is It?
The most Arab dude in show business, Jake Gyllenhaal, stars as The Prince.  Just as in the game, he's got to climb enough walls and stab enough guards to recover an ancient artifact that can turn back time- and hopefully win the heart of The Princess (Gemma Arterton) in the process.  But not if Ben Kingsley and Alfred Molina have anything to say about it!

Why Will It Be Big?
Disney has already made a hit film franchise out of a theme park ride (a whopping $423/$1,066 for Pirates 2 back in 2006); "what's to stop us from doing the same with a video game?" they say.  Well, the fact that video game movies ALWAYS bomb, for one (only $21 for Super Mario Bros. back in 1993, not to mention everything Uwe Boll has ever touched).  That being said, I've got to agree with Disney on this one... PoP looks really cool, and though Pirates-like success doesn't seem too likely, I could easily see it becoming the next The Mummy ($155/$416 in 1999).  With a breakout hit here you can be sure that the long awaited live action Zelda film will be just around the corner!

Why Should I See It?
Imagine how disappointed Link will be if you avoid this one and he has to wait around another 10 years to do his own movie.

ALSO THIS WEEK

Sex and the City 2

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1261945/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7vPSR1RlXX8

What The Heck Is It?
"The girls are back!", or something.

Why Will It Be Big?
Summer is traditionally the season for bringing 15 year old boys out to the theater, so in a way it was refreshing to see something directed solely at women over the age of 30 do so well two Summers back ($153/$415 for the first Sex and the City).  But... why are the movies that demographic flocks to always so awful?

Why Should I See It?
Yuck.

Also, http://www.theonion.com/articles/fbi-uncovers-plot-to-sex-and-the-city-2,17334/

 June 4th (Week #5)
Killers

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1103153/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9jUPUJ9vw20

What The Heck Is It?
A cute, naive girl (Katherine Heigl) falls in love with an athletic hunk (Ashton Kutcher)... but uh oh, he's secretly the world's greatest assassin/top secret agent or something and they have to go on wacky killing sprees together!  But don't get confused folks, because this is

* not "Knight and Day"
* not "True Lies II"
* not "Mr. and Mrs. Smith II", either

Why Will It Be Big?
Clearly everyone is eying up the surprisingly successful Mr. and Mrs. Smith ($186/$478 in 2005) and saying "why can't that be us?"  Well for one thing you don't have the world's #1 power couple at the height of their popularity, for two you don't have Vince Vaugh coming in hot off Dodgeball/Anchorman/Wedding Crashers and stealing scenes, and for three the idea's being done to death.  That being said... Ashton Kutcher is apparently the most popular celebrity on all of twitter, with 5 times as many followers as Conan O'Brien.  HOW?  What has this guy done since That 70's Show and Punk'd?  "Star in like five totally sweet camera commercials, dude."  Oh, alright.

Why Should I See It?
I'm holding out for Knight and Day, personally.

ALSO THIS WEEK

Get Him to the Greek

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1226229/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N6ixkr0-qvo

What The Heck Is It?
Aldous Snow, the insane British rockstar (who you last saw dating Kristen Bell in Forgetting Sarah Marshall) returns in his own full length spin off!  This time it's the story of how P. Diddy's most inexperienced record exec (Jonah Hill) has to keep Aldous away from drugs/alcohol/women long enough to get him to the biggest concert of his life.

Why Will It Be Big?
I loved Aldous Snow and am one of the biggest believers in the so-call "Apatow Gang", and not even *I* can believe they green-lit this spinoff (Forgetting Sarah Marshall only did a lukewarm $63/$105 two Summers ago).  Suffice it to say, there's no way this movie ends up being their next Superbad ($121/$170 in 2007)... but it might do pretty well for itself regardless.  One thing working in Greek's favor is that it features cameos from tons of today's top "real world" performers, including Katy Perry, Pink, Christina Aguilera, Lars Ulrich, and the aforementioned Diddy.  Sooo, a minor hit doesn't seem entirely out of the question.

Why Should I See It?
Because you love sex, drugs, and rock and roll.  OR if you laughed at Forgetting/Knocked Up/I Love You Man/etc.

ALSO THIS WEEK

Marmaduke

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1392197/
Watch The Trailer: NO

What The Heck Is It?
The worst comic strip in the history of the world (and that's really saying something!) "finally" receives its own full length feature film.  Ugh.

Why Will It Be Big?
"How did this not go directly to DVD?", I hear you asking.  Well, unfortunately for us, lots of terrible cartoons that no one has liked since the 1980s have actually done very well at the box office in the last decade, for some strange reason.  I mean, check this out:

Scooby Doo: $153/$276 (2002)
Garfield: $75/$201 (2004)
Alvin and the Chipmunks: $217/$361 (2007)

The trouble is, Marmaduke was never popular in any format, so I have no idea what they were thinking with this one.

Why Should I See It?
*vomits all over his shoes*

June 11th (Week #6)
The A-Team

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0429493/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z93AADd2Dpo

What The Heck Is It?
The 80s continue to strike back!  This time its a reboot of The A-Team, with Mr. T kicked out in place of Rampage Jackson and Liam Neeson, Bradley Cooper, and Patrick Wilson coming along for the ride as well.  Oh and apparently Jessica Alba, also?  Anyways they get framed for some crime and have to break out of jail in order to save the world, and so forth.

Why Will It Be Big?
Every 80s reboot wants to be Transformers ($319/$710 in 2007), but I get the sense that first this movie should just concentrate on getting past G.I. Joe ($150/$302 last Summer).  Which I DO think it'll be able to do, but beyond that... I don't know, did anyone actually love the A-Team at some point, or do we only still remember it these days because of Mr. T's gimmick?

Why Should I See It?
I'm still a long ways from sold on this concept, but I like Liam Neeson's involvement and was actually somewhat impressed with the trailer.  Leaning toward checking this out opening week, unless the reviews are terrible!

ALSO THIS WEEK

The Karate Kid

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1155076/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XY8amUImEu0

What The Heck Is It?
Will Smith's son moves to China for some reason, where he gets beat up by the school's martial arts "bullies" for some reason, but luckily the school janitor is Jackie Chan for some reason, and he agrees to train Will Jr in the ways of the Jedi for some reason.  Startling fact: this movie was produced by Will and Jada-Pinkett Smith.

Why Will It Be Big?
As much as I didn't see a reason to reboot Robin Hood post-Costner, I see even LESS of a reason to reboot this franchise post-1984's The Karate Kid ($90).  Now, I fully realize that everything Will Smith touches turns to gold but... nay, just can't see it happening this time.

Why Should I See It?
Jackie Chan's a nice guy, right?  After The Spy Next Door and The Forbidden Kingdom and The Medallion and The Tuxedo it sure would be sad to see him bomb in America AGAIN, right?  But neither of us will be willing to sit through this movie regardless?  Right.

June 18th (Week #7)
Toy Story 3

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0435761/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v_FfHA5whXc

What The Heck Is It?
Here in the real world it's been 15 years (what? it doesn't even feels like half that!) since Woody and Buzz first warmed our hearts in Toy Story 1.  Well, it's been 15(ish) years in their world as well, meaning Andy has left for college and his Mom is about to box up all the toys and donate them to a day care center.  Oh no!

Why Will It Be Big?
Don't joke around- you know Pixar's track record just as well as I do by this point.  But as a refresher:

* their first movie: Toy Story: $192/$362 (1995)
* their first sequel: Toy Story 2: $246/$485 (1999)
* their latest movie: Up: $293/$731 (2009)

At this point it's pretty obvious that anything Pixar puts their name on is going to do extremely well.  But Pixar putting their names on the most beloved family film franchise of our generation... after over 10 years of build up... with zero competition from other family-friendly movies in the weeks surrounding it... in the "license to print money" that is The Third Dimension...  Let's just say we could be talking about a record-setting hit!

Why Should I See It?
Give me a break- you're going to see this, and so will your mother, uncle, aunt, grandma, grandpa, younger cousins, older cousins, etc.  And I bet you all love it!

June 25th (Week #8)
Knight and Day

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1013743/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CwbzV51Q9c0

What The Heck Is It?
A cute, naive girl (Cameron Diaz) starts to fall in love with a mysterious hunk (Tom Cruise)...  but uh oh, he's secretly the world's greatest assassin/top secret agent or something and they have to go on a series of wacky killing sprees together!

Why Will It Be Big?
We covered it with Killers, but again: everyone wants to be the new True Lies ($146/379 back in 1994), especially after Mr. and Mrs. Smith.  But unlike Ashton, Cruise has at least proven himself as a bankable secret agent in the past (Mission: Impossible did $181/$458 in 1996), and Diaz appears to be much less annoying in this role than Heigl.  So, I'm expecting this one to be the bigger of the two films, but that still doesn't say much about either becoming a breakout hit.

Why Should I See It?
The trailer's about 5x as cool/funny as Killers; they seem to have gotten that fun True Lies-type vibe just about right, so I think I'll give this one a watch. (Outside of very bad reviews.)

ALSO THIS WEEK

Grown Ups

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375670/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OZB44Ea1A0k

What The Heck Is It?
The ultimate 20 year Saturday Night Live Reunion! It's Adam Sandler, Rob Schneider, Chris Rock, David Spade, and Chris Far- errr, Kevin James.  In the context of the movie, though, these 5 were the starters on a championship grade school basketball team from the early 80s, who reunite 30 years later at the funeral of their old coach and decide to throw a reunion getaway with their whole families.  Which naturally turns into an 80s-style family comedy weekend!

Why Will It Be Big?
Sandler's always been a solid draw, Kevin James is quickly becoming one of Hollywood's most bankable stars, and their last project together was a surprisingly decent hit ($120/$186 for Chuck and Larry) , considering the movie was AWFUL.  Sandler's also had quite a bit of success with huge ensemble comedies like this (The Longest Yard did $158/$190 back in 2005), and having Chris Rock involved couldn't hurt.  Overall I'd have to say this has a very good shot at being the #1 comedy of the Summer.

Why Should I See It?
Ehhhh, this doesn't look quite as terrible as other recent Sandler projects, so maybe I'll catch it on DVD someday.  Maybe.

July 2nd (Week #9)
The Twilight Saga: Eclipse

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1325004/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q1D5goGz0SY

What The Heck Is It?
Rob Pat and Kris Stew and Tay... Laut(?) return, and this time there's a war brewing between the good vampires and the evil vampires, so the good ones need to get the werewolves on their side.  Or something, and in the meantime everyone looks at each other with these smoldering stares for 135 consecutive minutes but no one ever has sex because then they'd all eat each other.  You know, the usual.

Why Will It Be Big?
I had no idea what "Twilight" was back in 2008, so imagine my surprise when it kept making dumptrucks full of money every single weekend (Twilight ended up at $192/$408).  By the time 2009 rolled around there was no escaping the hype/hate for this series, but even so I was shocked when it exploded with the third biggest opening weekend ever ($143 million), then kept pulling down respectable weeks for a long time afterward (New Moon ended at $297/$710).  If anything the hype has only gotten more deafening since then, and with perfect timing allowing it to own the entire Fourth of July holiday week here in the US... let's just say that this movie has big things in store for the box office!

Why Should I See It?
You shouldn't, since you're a man.  But you're allowed to if a female drags you along against your will- provided you make snarky remarks the entire time (just below earshot).

ALSO THIS WEEK

The Last Airbender

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0938283/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7YgaVe19zs8

What The Heck Is It?
M. Night Shyamalan returns with his first ever movie that's not his own original concept.  Instead this is based on the anime series "Avatar: The Last Airbender" and tells the story of four "nations" who can control Earth's elements.  When the Fire Nation declares war on the Water/Earth/Air Nations, it's up to a little boy (who's the only person alive who can control all four elements) to save the world!

Why Will It Be Big?
A few months back, Paramount officially changed the title of this movie to just "The Last Airbender", to avoid confusion.  Which was very nice of them, but while I appreciate the gesture... are you sure you want to disassociate yourself from James Cameron's Avatar ($747/$2,717) right now?  Especially when the alternative is associating yourself with the last anime franchise to transition to live action (Dragonball Evolution: $9/$57)...  Anyways, here's hoping M. Night can get his career back on track after suffering a box office fade in each of his last three films (most recently The Happening's $65/$163).  But, I don't think I'd count on it.

Why Should I See It?
The special effects look pretty decent based on the trailer, and I've always liked M. Night as a director... for the first 80% of his movies.  Hopefully since he wasn't working on his own property someone restrained him from ruining the final 20% this time!  If so, I might head out to this one after all.

July 9th (Week #10)
Despicable Me

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1323594/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c_rUbqbhUEQ

What The Heck Is It?
Steve Carell provides the voice of Gru, the (former) world's greatest supervillain who is forced to show his softer side after three orphan girls move in with him.

Why Will It Be Big?
The entire crew behind the Ice Age series appears to have returned for this movie, which is good considering what a monster their latest entry was overseas ($197/$885! for Ice Age 3 last year).  But between the weird subject matter and coming out so closely behind Toy Story 3, I'm thinking Descipable should just concentrate on measuring up to Monsters VS Aliens ($198/$382 last year).  Which... it probably won't.

Why Should I See It?
Awesome roster of comedic voice talent here between Carell, Will Arnett, Jason Segel, Danny McBride, and Kristen Wiig.  Too bad that won't help the movie be any funnier since they're all just reading from a script!  (I still can't understand why everyone except Pixar keeps throwing huge money at big name voice actors when nobody cares at all.)  Anyways, the movie seems okay enough based on the trailer, but it's probably a wait-for-DVD experience for me.

ALSO THIS WEEK

Predators

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1424381/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=igKKWJw88Kk

What The Heck Is It?
Earth's greatest warriors travel across the galaxy to square off against the universe's greatest warriors: the Predators.

Why Will It Be Big?
Why the heck do people continue thinking Aliens and Predators movies are a good idea despite all indications to the contrary? (2007's Aliens VS Predator: Requiem made a whooping $42/$129)  At least this film doesn't seem quite as direct-to-DVDable as the last couple, just based on how they were somehow able to cast Adrien Brody, Topher Grace, and Laurence Fishburne.  ...which probably means it was just more expensive to make and will therefore be an even bigger bomb when no one comes out to see it.

Why Should I See It?
To get yourself psyched up for the two new Alien prequels that Ridley Scott will be shooting back-to-back about a month from now!  (And no, I wish I was just joking.)

July 16th (Week #11)
Inception

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7DwuVKfjctk

What The Heck Is It?
Christopher Nolan is back, and he's carrying the entire TDK crew along with him!  This time he's bringing Leonardo DiCaprio, Marion Cotillard, Ellen Page, and Joseph Gordon-Levitt along for the ride alongside Batman vets Michael Caine and Ken Watanabe.  Leo's a kind of high tech "secret agent" who uses a machine to invade people's dreams while they sleep, allowing him to steal their greatest secrets or best ideas while their mind is at its most unguarded.  But then something goes wrong somehow!

Why Will It Be Big?
Hard to go wrong with a Leo/Nolan combination, considering they provided three of Cyber's Top Ten Films of the 2000s! (The Dark Knight: $533/$1,002, The Departed: $132/$290, The Prestige: $53/$110)  Unfortunately I could easily see the whole premise being "too weird" for people, especially during the middle of the Summer when everyone's just looking to turn off their brains with a fun popcorn flick.  In other words, expect a gross much closer to the Prestige than TDK!

Why Should I See It?
My favorite director and some of my favorite actors working with a script that feels like a cross between three of my favorite movies of the last 15 years (Eternal Sunshine/The Matrix/Memento).  Not hard to see why this is my most anticipated film of the season!

ALSO THIS WEEK

The Sorcerer's Apprentice

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0963966/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9VZllR44gdA

What The Heck Is It?
Don't confuse this with "Season of the Witch," the OTHER 2010 film staring a medievil-looking Nicholas Cage dealing with with sorcery and witchcraft!  Witch is the 14th century PG-13-rated psychological horror flick that wants to be the next Exorcist; TSA is the PG-rated modern fantasy that Disney wants to be the next Harry Potter.  Anyways Nic is the world's best magician, but he needs to find a young apprentice to help him defeat some evil wizard.

Why Will It Be Big?
Joke all you want about Nic Cage appearing in a new movie every other month (and almost all of them being awful); when it comes to family/action/comedies like this the guy's "still got it".  At least if National Treasure 2 ($220/$457 in 2007) is any indication.  And to be fair, the trailer doesn't make this movie look TOO bad... but yeah, seems a safe bet that despite Disney's dreams of Harry Potter 6 ($302/$934 last Summer) this'll end up being the next Percy Jackson ($88/$220 earlier this year) instead.

Why Should I See It?
Monica Bellucci as a love interest, maybe?  I don't know!

July 23rd (Week #12)
Dinner for Schmucks

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0427152/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eZ4i_woBTF8

What The Heck Is It?
Paul Rudd is an executive who's all set to win a big promotion... IF he can impress his bosses at a big "roast" they're holding that weekend, where you have to bring along a stupid friend for everyone to make fun of.  (Whaaaa?)  Luckily for Paul, a dim-witted Steve Carell stumbles into his life at just the right time- and so does Steve's friend, an insane amateur magician or something played by  Zach Galifianakis!  Hillarious hijinks ensue!

Why Will It Be Big?
Carell has really impressed me ever since bursting onto the scene with 40 Year Old Virgin ($109/$177)- Get Smart ($130/$231) was a solid performer and he's kept the ball rolling pretty nicely with Date Night ($77/$112 and still climbing at a decent rate).  And let's not forget how well things turned out the last time Rudd and Carell appeared together ($149/$219 for Knocked Up).  But, casting Zack G in a "wacky" comedy role these days is more or less the equivalent of announcing "we really, REALLY want to be the next The Hangover ($277/$467)!" which doesn't seem possible despite this very likable cast.  Here's another where the premise is probably just too "out there" for people to latch on to, so I'm not expecting a huge box office take when its all said and done.

Why Should I See It?
Surely these talented comedians deserve the benefit of the doubt, right?  No?  Okay then.

ALSO THIS WEEK

Salt

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0944835/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nfheb4Qhb_U

What The Heck Is It?
Angelia Jolie is the CIA's most dedicated and loyal field agent... until somebody SETS HER UP as a spy!  Now she'll have to karate chop her way to the bottom of this mystery in order to clear her good name.

Why Will It Be Big?
Look, everyone wants to be the next The Bourne Ultimatum ($227/$443 in 2007), and with good reason, but there have been so many spy/espionage/secret agent films in the last few years that it's hard to stand out from the pack.  Having Jolie involved will certainly help, especially considering how she assisted with boosting Wanted ($135/$341) to a pretty respectable tally a couple Summers back, but even so...  I having a hard time picturing this one turning into a break out hit.

Why Should I See It?
I was similarly so/so on Wanted and ended up being pleasantly surprised, so I think I owe Angelia one!

July 30th (Week #13)
Charlie St. Cloud

Read About It: DON'T
Watch The Trailer: NONE

What The Heck Is It?
UGH.  This week was supposed to be headlined by a very interesting-sounding love story between Matt Damon and Emily Blunt based on a short story by Philip K. Dick.  But they needed more time to finish that, so it got pushed back to September and replaced with this horrible-sounding "Charlie" movie starring Zac Effron.  I mean, just listen to this synopsis:

Charlie St. Cloud is a young man overcome by grief at the death of his younger brother. So much so that he takes a job as caretaker of the cemetery in which his brother is buried. Charlie has a special lasting bond with his brother though, as he can see him. Charlie meets up with his brother (Sam) each night to play catch and talk. Then, a girl comes into Charlie's life and he must choose between keeping a promise he made  to Sam, or going after the girl he loves.

Seriously?

Why Will It Be Big?
It couldn't possibly!

Why Should I See It?
You couldn't possibly!

ALSO THIS WEEK

Cats & Dogs: The Revenge of Kitty Galore

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1287468/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AkeN2o0QRSE

What The Heck Is It?
The sequel to the almost popular Cats and Dogs from back in 2001, where the two animal races were secretly at war using high tech weaponry and gadgets.  Well, this time the cats and the dogs have to unite to save the world from a common enemy:  supervillain Kitty Galore.  ("Kitty Galore", seriously?  Isn't that a little risque for a movie aimed at 8 year olds?)

Why Will It Be Big?
Why in the WORLD would you wait 9 years to make a sequel to Cats and Dogs?  Actually, why would you do a sequel at all, given how "meh" its performance was? ($93/$201)  Especially since there was an even more successful talking-animals-using-hi-tech-gadgets-to-secretly-save-the-world movie just last Summer that you could much more easily have followed up on? (G-Force, $119/$292)

Why Should I See It?
You're a glutton for punishment.

 August 6th (Week #14)
The Other Guys

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1386588/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D6WOoUG1eNo

What The Heck Is It?
Samuel L. Jackson and The Rock are the coolest team of crime fighters on the NYPD- they get the headlines, girls, and the bad guys, every time.  But after they die (or something), it's time to bring in "the other guys"... the buddy cop duo of Will Ferrell and Mark Wahlberg!

Why Will It Be Big?
Every other year, Ferrell reteams with director Adam McKay, and it's always meant good things for him.  2004 was Anchorman ($85/$91), 2006 was Talladega Nights ($148/$163), and heck, even 2008's Step Brothers ($100/$128) ended up being a much bigger hit than I expected.  You don't bet against that kind of success, especially not given the smart casting of Rocky and SLJ.  I only hesitate to rubber stamp this one for success because, well... we just had a buddy cop parody only a couple months back (Kevin Smith's Cop Out, $45/$47) and only like 25 people went to see it.  I'm expecting a decent showing from this movie, but setting a new Ferrell benchmark doesn't seem too likely.

Why Should I See It?
This seemed like a pretty bad idea initially, but the trailer did a decent job of selling me on the concept, actually.  Might just check this out at the theater after all.

ALSO THIS WEEK

Step Up 3....D!

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1193631/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=89TLbK6o-og

What The Heck Is It?
Remember those last two times these dancers stepped up?  Well that was nothing, because now they'll be doing it in THREE DIMENSIONS!

Why Will It Be Big?
Apparently these movies cost about 15 dollars to make, because after neither Step Up ($65/$114 in 2006) nor Step Up 2 ($58/$149) lit the world on fire, what gave them the impression that the audience demanded a trilogy?  Even with the 3D "hook", I can't imagine this becoming a breakout hit... honestly, what 15 year old girl is going to spend $10 to see people street dance at the theater when she could stay home and watch 500 hours of it on youtube for free?

Why Should I See It?
Your internet connection is too slow to stream youtube.

August 13th (Week #15)
Eat, Pray, Love

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0879870/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iZzmqHJ0gPU

What The Heck Is It?
Julie Roberts stars in the movie based on the autobiographical book of the same name that every woman over 30 has read.  (Seriously- the thing has spent 160 straight weeks at the top of the New York Times Best Seller list!)

Why Will It Be Big?
We still tend to think of Roberts as the one of America's most-loved and bankable actresses, but ACTUALLY, she hasn't headlined a true blockbuster since way back in 2000 (Erin Brockovich, $126/$256).  (Ocean's 11/12/13 don't count, for obvious reasons.)  And she certainly didn't wow the box office in her last outing, 2009's Duplicity ($41/$78).  On the other hand, this seems like the perfect role for her, and there's no doubting the film's gigantic built-in fanbase.  I'm thinking this could quite easily become her ticket back to top, just like The Blind Side ($256/$299) was for Sandra Bullock.  (Which is ironic, considering Bullock's role in that movie was offered to Julia first, and she turned it down cold.  Whoops!)

Why Should I See It?
Take your Mom, she'll love it.

ALSO THIS WEEK

Scott Pilgrim vs. The World

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0446029/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xgOLmjhxVVU

What The Heck Is It?
Socially awkward 18 year old virgin Michael Cera falls in love with a girl during his senior year of high school.  Will he be able to win her over?  Oh no, it's a movie you've seen 4 times already- BUT WAIT!  Watch the trailer; this is actually the movie version of one of the most insane/hilarious graphic novels of the last decade, and Scott can't date this girl until he defeats her 7 evil ex-boyfriends in crazy Mortal Kombat/No More Heroes-style battles.

Why Will It Be Big?
Yeah yeah, everyone's sick of seeing Michael Cera play the same character every six months, I know.  In fact only 6 people showed up to watch him do it last time around (Youth in Revolt, $15/$18 earlier this year)- 5 if you don't count me!  However, this isn't your typical nerdy high school romance, as covered above.  It's an underground comic book turned to life!  Which would be great news for its box office chances, except that no one outside of white males aged 17-35 showed up for Kick-Ass ($37/$67), despite it being awesome.  Scott Pilgrim looks like a ton of fun, but I'm thinking it'll end up as cult classic rather than a real success right out of the gate.

Why Should I See It?
Watch the trailer and you'll know!

August 20th (Week #16)
The Switch

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0889573/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EEYqgyXyk9A

What The Heck Is It?
No one wants to get Jennifer Aniston pregnant, so she resorts to finding a sperm donor.  But after her best (male) friend Jason Bateman accidentally loses the donation, he has no choice but to refill the cup himself.  Now it's 9 years later, and Jennifer is moving back into town... but she still doesn't know that her BFF is the father of her son!

Why Will It Be Big?
You can't blame this group TOO MUCH for diving back into pregnancy, since these are pretty much all the same people who brought you Juno ($143/$231) a few years back.  The bad news is that Jennifer Lopez beat them to the punch with a slightly different kind of awkward pregnancy last month... and got punched out at the box office (The Back-Up Plan, $15).  On the other hand, I didn't realize what a reliable draw Aniston still was these days.  Check out this string of hits: The Break-Up ($119/$205), Marley and Me ($143/$243), and she even made a decent go of it with the little-advertised The Bounty Hunter ($63/$102).  You can't expect the Juno lightning to strike twice, but I could still see this one going on a nice little run before the summer is out.

Why Should I See It?
Good to see Jeff Goldblum in a movie for the second time in the last decade!

August 27th (Week #17)
Piranha 3-D

Read About It: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0464154/
Watch The Trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nQz4fSHtpxk

What The Heck Is It?
The best bad movie of 2010.

Why Will It Be Big?
Piranha is the next in a long line of fun summer creature features, like that one about the giant crocodile (Lake Placid, $32/$57 back in 1999) or the one about the giant snake (Anaconda 2, $32/$71 in 2004).  They never make any money at the box office, but are inexpensive to make and (presumably) turn a profit by airing endlessly on late night cable TV for the next few decades.

Why Should I See It?
Grab a couple friends, catch a matinee show when you'll be the only ones in the theater, and MST3K it up.  I guarantee it'll be a more enjoyable experience than watching half the other movies in this post by yourself!

thengamer. com

Ngamer

  • Posts: 6305
  • Swagger Personified
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • thengamer.com
But don't take my word for it; here's a second opinion on all this Summer's biggest blockbusters, provided by Goose!  Good work with these writeups Goose!
---

Goose's 2010 Summer Movie Preview

NOTE:  for these writeups, anything after a $ is in millions of dollars (and a  US total), unless I say otherwise

May  7th (Week 1)

Iron Man 2

Read  http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1228705/

Watch  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=siQgD9qOhRs

What  the heck is it?

Uh seriously it's Iron Man 2.  You know the first  one they made 2 years ago?  Well this is the sequel.  Expect more BAMF guys in metal suits running around fighting each other and blowing shit up.

Why will it be big?

Marvel superheroes have been doing big business ever since Spider-Man ($404)  in 2001, and 2008's Iron Man ($318) certainly  didn't show any signs of stopping the trend. Marvel also boast the fact  that people don't seem to realize how fantastic everything X-Men has done as well: the original posted $158, X2 improved that to $215, and despite X3 being generally considered the weakest of the trilogy, it just kept the train rolling with $234. Also, these movies always get off  to incredible starts- X3 did $102 million for its opening weekend, which at the time was the 4th biggest ever. So yeah, Iron Man 2 is about  as safe a lock as you could imagine in terms of getting the Summer season off to an incredibly fast start, and ought to post a pretty respectable final number as well.  Plus it's already grossed $50  on Friday and expected to do $130 this weekend so just put it in your top 5 okay?

Why should I see it?

I mean how much more cool can a movie get?  What else do you want really?  It has suave mothaf*cker Robert Downey Jr. and stunning Scarlett Johansson in it.  Plus Mickey Rourke comes in and blows shit up and Sam Rockwell plays a mafiesque weapons dealer.  I mean that's just bamf.  Do you have a better idea for a movie?  I don't f*cking think so.

May  14th (Week 2)

Robin Hood

Read  http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0955308/

Watch  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KSqL9ygBCck

What  the heck is it?

It's a classic retelling of Robin Hood.  That's what.  You know that story you first heard about when you were 7 years old?  Yeah that one.  Now go watch it.

Why will it be big?

Because Russell Crowe and Ridley Scott hooked up on Gladiator  for not only a suave $187 gross back in 2000, which is  actually quite respectable, but it also hit up best picture and best actor at the Oscars.  The Robin Hood story is a bit more mainstream than  Roman gladiators, plus inflation and stuff, this could seriously contend with the $200+ mark if everything goes right, which it really could.  Coolio.

Why should I see it?

I dunno, maybe you like Robin Hood and dig action movies where people kill each other with swords and fairy bows and ocarinas and stuff.

May 21st (Week 3)

Shrek Forever After

Read http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0892791/

Watch  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u7__TG7swg0

What  the heck is it?

You know what this is.  It's Shrek 4.  Not rocket science.

Why  will it be big?

Because it's from the Shrek franchise.  Shrek  2 pulled in $436, Shrek 3 did $320  and Shrek did $237 .  That's no gongshow.  Now of course, the 3rd wasn't that great and this franchise is surely moving to a close for Dreamwork's new stuff like How to Train Your Dragon, which is absolutely killing right now, but given the fact that this Shrek 4 is in 3D and a lot of kids don't realize stuff like the franchise is dying, it could get a big pull.

Why should I see it?

Personally I wouldn't.

Also released this week: MacGruber http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bqySbDqTGGc

May  28th (Week 4)

Prince of Persia:  Sands of Time

Read http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0473075/

Watch  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UQ0rIr_405c

What  the heck is it?

You know that videogame you were playing when you  were 15 while everyone else was out getting laid?  No, not Wind Waker.  No, not Tales of Symphonia.  That other one.  Yeah.  Well they're making it into a movie so you can remember how epic it was when you pwned the shit out of whoever you pwned the shit out of.

Why  will it be big?

I dunno.  It looks better than most video game movies.  Also, that Clash of the Titans shitfest pulled in $155  already and this will surely top that.  Jon can just edit this  in because I'm sure he has something fancy written.  Also, this film is  of the "Sword and Sandal" genre which is a really cool genre name.

Why should I see it?

It looks cool I guess.

June 4th (Week 5)

This week has  a lot of releases that probably won't make a dent in the box office top  10 so I'm just gonna post them all with no writeup.

Killers

Read http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1103153/

Watch  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ND69q158IZI

Marmaduke

Read http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1392197/

Watch  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DO4VI5n52F4

Splice

Read http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1017460/

Watch  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t6o_Vl2f07Q

Splice  will probably be the biggest of these.

June 11 (Week 6)

The A-Team

Read http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0429493/

Watch  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kM0ypzvuphg

What  the heck is it?

It's about a group of guys who get screwed for some war crime go out and seek revenge while destroying everything in their path and being funny and stuff.

Why will it be big?  

It seems like they took a bunch of guys who were in epic, successful movies of 2009 and threw them in here.  Sharlto Copley from District  9 ($115,) Bradley Cooper from The Hangover  ($277) Liam Neeson from Taken ($145...)  This thing definitely has potential.

Why should I see it?

It looks cool.  But if  you're going to see only one movie this summer about a group of guys who go out and kill a bunch of people and destroy a lot of shit, it won't be this one.

June 18 (Week 7)

Toy Story 3

Read http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0435761/

Watch  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v_FfHA5whXc

What  the heck is it?

It's only the greatest and most influential movie  producing company of our lifetimes revisiting their most successful franchise in a sure to be crowning achievement.  All of the voice actors  are back without any clown replacements.  Not only that, but the whole premise is that Andy is going away to college and now his toys are getting left behind... something we can all relate to since we were all young chaps who played with toys when the first two films came out, and now we're all grown up and stuff.  Oh yeah, it's in 3D as well.

Why  will it be big?

Let's just copy/paste Jon's write up from last year.  Seems like this is the trend with Pixar every year...

"Are you kidding me? Toy Story, $192. A Bug's Life, $163. Monsters Inc., $256. Toy  Story 2, $245. The Incredibles, $261. Finding Nemo, $340. Cars,  $244. Ratatouille, $206. No other company in history has put together this kind of winning streak, and it likely to never be done again. Pixar is the king of family animation, and the amazing thing is, all they'd have to do to continue printing money would be to churn out movie after movie featuring cute talking animals (like the competition is constantly pushing out- Ice Age, Shrek, Madagascar, Over the Hedge, Chicken Little, etc etc). Instead, they continue to take bold risks and push the medium to new heights with every outing. " Yup, and Wall*E keep the streak alive with a showing ($224) that was frankly incredible, given the extremely strange subject matter. 

Now throw in Up's $292 and it's not even funny anymore.

Let's  go over some key points on this one;

-Pixar is epic and has always grossed massive amounts of money

-they are coming off a Best Picture nomination for Up

-Toy Story is considered their base franchise and all actors are returning for a legitimate revisitation

-this one is going to have really emotional subject matter which will make for a great family film

-it's in 3D meaning  tickets cost $20 instead of $10.  That means it will gross twice as much.

Why should I see it?

All  reasons listed above.  Oh nostalgia :)

June 25th (Week 8.)

Grown Ups

Read http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375670/

Watch http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OZB44Ea1A0k

A seemingly hilarious film about buddies reuniting for a cottage weekend after several years.  Starring Adam Sandler, Kevin James, Rob Schneider, Chris  Rock... it seems funny on paper and the trailer backs it up.

Knight and Day

Read http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1013743/

Watch http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vAAYcts4GrM


Cameron Diaz and Tom Cruise star in some sort of spy-action weirdness.  Since there's really nothing else to it other than their star power, it leads us to ask... "wait, is this 2003?"

June 30 (Week 9)

Twilight Saga: Eclipse

Read http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1325004/

Watch http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q1D5goGz0SY

What the heck is it?

OMG liek it's the 3rd installment of Stephenie Meyer's  novels TWILIGHT OMG R-PATZ & T-LAUTZ :D :D :D ^^ *innocent angel*

Why  will it be big?

Because teenage girls whore way too much money out of their parents and boyfriends.  Seriously though, Twilight  killed in $191 while New Moon did $292,  neither of which were summer releases.  The biggest concern here is  New Moon's poor reception.  Twilight was actually decent and interesting which propelled New Moon into a $140 weekend and cruised close to $300.  Will New Moon's weak critical reception affect the outcome of Eclipse or will this juggernaut keep on rolling?

Why should I see it?

I  actually recommend seeing it because this is pop culture now.  The Twilight films will be remembered for our whole lives and live in cultural infamy.  Do you want to be a part of that?  Sure, why not.  Also the theatre is just packed with loads of chicks so that's never a bad thing either.  Especially since this comes out just as high school is ending and all the girls are randy for some summer romance :)

July  9 (Week 10)

Despicable Me

Read  http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1323594/

Watch http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jzpOLs1t8Hg

What the heck is it?

It's an animated comedy, seemingly for the younger ones, but perhaps not.  It's got Steve Carell voicing a supervillain who  steals world landmarks and replaces them with fakes, and cast includes Miranda Cosgrove, Jason Segel, Will Arnett, Kristen Wiig, Julie Andrews,  Russell Brand and more.

Why will it be big?

It's  been promoted like hell already.  The first trailer was shown during Transformers:  Revenge of the Fallen so loads of summer movie goers saw that one.   Universal Pictures hasn't made loads of animated pictures, but they have had a lot of success with films like Jurassic Park ($356  in 1993,) Twister ($241 in 1996) and The Bourne Ultimatum ($227) so when they get into a movie, it has big potential.  Throw in the lack of kids movies this summer and the power that those films have (just look at Night at the Museum $250 and the Ice Age sequels $195  each) this movie has potential.

Why should I see it?

It might actually be a  decent movie for the older type clientèle.  Plus, who doesn't love a good animated flick?  Steve Carell is always fun and Miranda Cosgrove is  there in her first major role since School of Rock.

July  16th (Week 11)

Inception

Read  http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1375666/

Watch http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HilwtqaN4Gs

What the heck is it?

It's Christopher Nolan's newest flick.  It's hard to gather exactly what it is, but it seems kind of like The Matrix  meets The Dark Knight.

Why will it be big?

Read  that last bit again.  The Matrix ($171) meets  The Dark Knight ($533.)  Leo is no stranger to big films either.  Remember that film he was in that grossed $600?   Nolan's always had a thing for top quality movies, including Memento  and The Prestige.  The cast here isn't shabby either and includes Marion Cotillard, Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Ellen Page... it has all the makings of a big movie.

Why  should I see it?

Well if you liked The Dark Knight  then you should see it.  If you're a film snob, you should see it.   Other than that it's probably not your type of movie.

July  23rd (Week 12)

Salt

Read http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0944835/

Watch http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QZ40WlshNwU

What the heck is it?

One of the most famous, hottest women in the world stars as a CIA secret agent named Evelyn Salt stuck in a bit of a bittersweet situation when she's accused of defecting to the Russians.  Action, chaos and probably sex soon ensues.

Why will it be big?

Because one of the most famous, hottest women in the world stars as a CIA secret agent named Evelyn Salt stuck in a bit of a bittersweet situation when she's accused of defecting to the Russians.  Action, chaos and probably sex soon ensues.  No but seriously, Angelina's been a pretty big smash in her career.  Some of her similar action type films have done well like Lara Croft: Tomb Raider ($131,)  Wanted ($134) and Mr. and Mrs. Smith  ($186.)  People will come to see her, because she's hot and girls love her too I guess.

Why should I see it?

Because one of the most famous, hottest women in the world stars as a CIA secret agent named Evelyn Salt stuck in a bit of a bittersweet situation when she's accused of defecting to the Russians.  Action, chaos and probably sex soon ensues.

July 30th (Week 13)

Beastly

Read http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1152398/

Watch http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Neo6W1f7hyY

What the heck is it?

I'm not really sure.  This is really just filler because it has no chance of making the top 5 but nothing else coming out  this week can either.

Why will it be big?

Well it does have Mary-Kate Olsen, Vanessa Hudgens and Neil Patrick Harris.  They're all big pulls, right?

Why  should I see it?

Dunno.  Just skip this one.

August  6th (Week 14)

The Other Guys

Read  http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1386588/

Watch http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s1wy_E7h2Wg

What the heck is it?

Will Ferrell and Mark Wahlberg star as two New York detectives.  It's a comedy, remember.

Why will it be big?

It won't.

Why should I  see it?

Maybe you're lost in time and still think it's about 2003 when Will Ferrell was funny.

August 13th (Week 15)

The Expendables

Read  http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1320253/

Watch http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C6RU5y2fU6s

What the heck is it?

imdb plot says: A team of mercenaries head to South America on a mission to overthrow a dictator.  These mercenaries include; Sylverster Stallone, Jet Li, Jason Statham, Dolph Lundgren... I'm not sure who is who but the film also includes Bruce Willis, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Randy Couture, Steve "Stone Cold" Austin, Mickey Rourke... I mean seriously.

Why will it be big?

Because  this is pretty much the exact prototype of awesome summer movie.  It's pretty much 10 of the most bamf guys you can find on a mission in South America to kill a world leader.  I mean what is there not to like?  Will  it be any good?  Probably not.  Will it be fucking awesome?  Hell yes.

Why should I see it?

Do I even need to answer this?

August 20th (Week 16)

There are no films which will gross over $50million being released this week nor are there any films worth watching being released this week.  Do something else with your lives for once.

August 27th  (Week 17)

Piranha 3-D

Read http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0464154/

Watch http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b_vsH8-djJs

What the heck is it?

Pretty much your typical summer trash film.  A bunch of piranhas infest the waters where loads of young, sexy teenagers are partying.  Cool.

Why will it be big?

Well James Cameron was once involved in this franchise, and even though the films are notoriously shit, that means something.  The trailer was shown before Avatar, so there were like a few billion people who saw it.  Also, it does fit the criteria of summer success, that is, loads of sexy young people and gruesome deaths.  Hey, it could happen.

Why should I see it?

Maybe you're bored or  something I dunno.

thengamer. com

Ngamer

  • Posts: 6305
  • Swagger Personified
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • thengamer.com
And now, it's YOUR chance to get in on the action! What do you predict will be the Top Five pictures of this Summer season, in terms of overall North American gross? If you'd like you can make your guess- the Contest will stay open until this Thursday at midnight, when Robin Hood hits the streets and the competition is on for real. 

I'll start us off.

*SECRET SUPER SPECIAL NOTE* - these might not be my real picks*


Ng's Top Five
1. Iron Man 2
2. Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time
3. Robin Hood
4. Shrek 4
5. Toy Story 3 

Any edits to your prediction post after midnight Thursday will disqualify you from  the Contest, natch.

Good luck!

thengamer. com

TheFlash

  • Posts: 3404
Toy Story
Iron Man
Twilight
Shrek
Inception

Thiradell

  • Posts: 3936
  • Third
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
1. Toy Story 3
2. Iron Man 2
3. The Twilight Saga: Eclipse
4. Shrek: Forever After
5. Sex and the City 2
nothin' moves me more than a groove that soothes me
nothin' soothes me more than a groove that boosts me
nothin' boosts me more, or suits me beautifully
there's nothin' you can do to me; stab me, shoot me

RWG

  • Posts: 21326
  • always rooting for the antihero.
    • Goose
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • http://www.twitch.tv/rwhitegoose

Excellent write up Jon and thanks for putting my post in there too.  We have some different opinions and even focus on some different week to week movies so it's looking like we'll never leave out NATM2 or Ice Age 3 again!



I wanna feel the thunder, I wanna scream.



Goose's 2010 Summer Movie Predictions!


1. Toy Story 3 - $585,000,000 (Opening weekend $175,000,000)

It's all been said before.  Until Avatar came out and grossed nearly $3billion, it was Finding Nemo that was the highest grossing film in the world not part of a series, trilogy or sequels, other than Titanic.  The only films of this type in the domestic market that beat out Finding Nemo to this date are the two aforementioned ones, The Passion of the Christ and E.T.: The Extraterrestrial. Why is this relevant?  Because Toy Story is the marquee franchise of Pixar, and Pixar is the greatest film making studio of the 21st century thus far.  Everyone in the entire world under 30 years old who had a childhood saw Toy Story and loved it, because it's great.  Not only that, but the 2nd one is just as great.  Not only that, but this 3rd one has all the same voice actors and will be just as great.  The movie is also timed perfectly for the weekend elementary school ends for summer!

I predict that not only will this threaten Titanic for #2 all time, it will break the opening weekend record set by The Dark Knight.  I mean, just look at how well Alice in Wonderland has done because of 3D.  The 3D prices don't scare anyone away and pretty much double the gross.  Iron Man 2 just pulled in $134 and it couldn't have had the same hype as Toy Story 3.  There is just no way!  Gogogo Toy Story 3!!!


2. Iron Man 2 - $401,000,000

There's not much to say about this one.  It's already pulled in a smooth $134.  I don't think Eclipse will top this, so 2nd seems safe.  I think Transformers is a good mark to judge this by.  Transformers and Iron Man pulled in almost identical numbers, so perhaps Iron Man 2 will duplicate Transformer 2's numbers.


3. Shrek Forever After - $388,000,000

Although I have my doubts, this is about as safe a pick as you can possibly get.  The 3rd film did do some disappointments, but the 2nd was a juggernaut and even after Avatar's release, still ranks in the USA's top 5 all time.  The lack of hype like the 2nd had does worry me, but I think the price of 3D tickets will bump this up into top 5 territory.


4. The Twilight Saga: Eclipse - $219,000,000

It's tough to say whether or not this will beat out New Moon.  That film had the benefit of Twilight actually being half decent, the trailer of New Moon debuting at the ever so controversial 2009 MTV Video Music Awards as well as the relationship between Robert Pattinson and Kristen Stewart being at the a sultry peak.  The film isn't in 3D, but it is being released in the summer.  This one is a big head scratcher but I feel pretty safe having it in the top five.


5. Despicable Me - $199,000,000

I just watched all 4 trailers and this movie looks hilarious.  If Jon thinks this movie is "weird" well it's certainly not as weird as Wall*E which went on to do about $228.  Throw in the fact that this is also in 3D and I really think it can pull out a big number.  Not only that, but like I said in my preview, the first trailer was shown before megablockbuster Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen.  The trailer's been around for nearly a year.  With so many people having seen it and this movie being marketed that heavily, you have to think it will get attention.  Besides, if I had predicted Ice Age 3 or Night at the Museum 2 in this spot last year I would have won.  I don't see many other big threats here and I think Despicable Me is pretty safe for at worst a top 8 finish, which won't hurt my score too badly.  Let's roll the dice!




Other thoughts;


Inception - It could do really well.  Jon said it though, it might be too bizarre for a big pull.  The Matrix managed a bizarre pull but it was known for having groundbreaking special effects.  I don't think Inception will combine The Dark Knight's directing and set with The Matrix's weirdness success for a mega blockbuster, but it could happen.

Robin Hood & The Prince of Persia: Sands of Time - I expect both of these to break $100million, but I don't think they're going to do $200 which is the standard top 5 measure.

Salt - See Lara Croft: Tomb Raider.  A big film potential but not top five.

Eat, Pray, Love - It *could* be the next The Blind Side... except for the fact that The Blind Side was actually able to pull in some males and was the only alternative to Avatar for weeks.  I'm expecting more something along the lines of Erin Brockovich or Julie & Julia, which do great, but not top five material.

Sex and the City 2 - It's going to be big.  That's for sure.  But will it be big enough to crack the top 5 in a summer dominated by 3D?  I have to think not.

I expect the 3D numbers to pull hard.  That's really the only explanation for Alice in Wonderland's $330/960 (unless I'm completely missing something there.)  That's why I'm 3D loaded with the two obvious non 3D success films.  I'm confident that this year I may actually have made a PERFECT prediction.

"I want to be defined by the things that I love. Not the things I'm afraid of, or the things that haunt me in the middle of the night.  I just think that, you are what you love."  Taylor Swift, Daylight.

【 Verax Maneret 】

Carathorn

  • Posts: 4224
    • Cara
    • PD
    • twitch
1. Toy Story 3
2. Shrek 4
3. Iron man 2
4. Prince of Persia
5. Robin Hood

Scrambler Fanny

  • Posts: 7260
  • Shawn Johnson
    • GE
    • Shawn's Goldeneye Times Page
editing my picks later in the thread...


"And I mean, I'm the GE champ.  Did you actually expect I would have a normal relationship?" -David Clemens

Cyberwrath87

  • Posts: 1502
    • GE
    • PD
Toy Story 3
Iron Man 2
Twilight gayness
Shrek 4
Robin Hood

Ngamer

  • Posts: 6305
  • Swagger Personified
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • thengamer.com
Without further ado, here are last Summer's RESULTS.


Summer 2009 - The Top 20

                                                                                                                                                                                                          
1Transformers 2402
2Harry Potter 6302
3Twilight 2297
4Up293
5Hangover277
6Star Trek258
7Ice Age 3197
8Wolverine180
9Night at Museum 2177
10The Proposal164
11GI Joe150
12Angels & Demons133
13Terminator Salvation125
14Inglourious Basterds121
15G-Force119
16District 9116
17Public Enemies97
18Julie & Julia94
19The Ugly Truth89
20Final Destination66


And now for the Elite Results!

10. wheat - 27 points

* wheat boldly went where no man has gone before, slotting Star Trek way up in the #1 position.  Fortunately, Trek went on a huge run to save his bacon... unfortunately, he finished out his list with Public Enemies, earning himself a very costly 12 point penalty and dooming him to last place.  Better luck this year wheat!

9. Thingy - 24 points

* Thingy took a huge risk last season by including Inglourious Basterds in his Top Five.  It ALMOST paid off, as the movie did end up performing quite admirably... too bad he also said Angels & Demons would crack the top 3, pushing him down into wheat territory!

8. Matt8000 - 19 points

* Matt had a near perfect start, coming within 1 spot of correctly placing Potter, Transformers, and Up.  Then it all fell apart:  he used Terminator AND A&D to round out his list.  Ouch!

7.  Fal - 18 points

* Fal was pretty smart, going only a single spot away from perfect preds on Potter/Transformers/Up.  Why in the WORLD he placed Night at the Museum in the Top Three, though, humanity may never know.  We do know that it cost him a spot on the podium!

5. Third - 15 points

* Third went out on a limb with Wolverine to finish 5th, and it worked out for him.  Too bad that meant his Terminator choice higher up cost him MORE points, destroying what could have been a Championship pred otherwise!

5. QB - 15 points

* QB is the first person so far to submit a PERFECT prediction- and actually he did it twice, nailing the #1 and #2 positions!  He was also the season's best Star Trek predictor, putting it only 1 spot away from another perfect guess.  But... Wolverine in 3rd?  Gosh!  That 5 point hit was enough to submarine his chances for the season.

3. Bully - 13 points

* Truly an excellent set of preds from Bully.  He was dead on for the first two, only missed Up by a spot, but then he pulled a Third and went Terminator/Wolverine to round things out.  Hard to survive a 9 point penalty at this stage of the game, but I'm sure he's pleased with the Bronze medal.

3. Goose - 13 points

* On the other hand, Goose is surely FUMING at having his gold medal chance snatched away.  He limited the damage by holding Terminator back to the 5 spot, but didn't quite manage a perfect placement for Up and got stung with a 4 point penalty for backing Wolverine instead of Star Trek/Hangover.  I'm sure he'll be back for revenge this season!

Which means your 2009 Champion is...

1. fanny - 11 points

Like nearly everyone, fanny had too much faith in Terminator, resulting in an 8 point hit.  But unlike everyone else, his record was nearly spotless aside from that one mistake- his #4 choice Star Trek came through for him in a big way, and his #3 Up nearly finished right on the money as well.  Congrats to fanny on being the first to ever-



Wait a minute, what's that you say?  There's still one more entry to consider?  Oh my, it's....


1. Ngamer - 11 points

Ng was the only Eliter to submit three perfect predictions in 2009, nailing Up, Transfomers, and Potter right on the money.  And he needed every last one of them to hold off the hard charge from fanny, since he lost 8 points to Terminator and another 3 for placing Star Trek in third overall.  What a photo finish!


So congrats to fanny for being the first to put an end to Ngamer's untied reign atop the Summer Movie leaderboard.  But let's see if someone can beat him outright this season!

thengamer. com

RWG

  • Posts: 21326
  • always rooting for the antihero.
    • Goose
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • http://www.twitch.tv/rwhitegoose
Thanks for putting those up promptly Jon.

The part I'm most pissed about is the fact that I actually had NATM2 in my #5 spot until very late in the week.  Afan eventually convinced me to change my prediction which resulted in my loss.  If I had held to my guns I would have won outright.  That's why I won't let what anyone says affect me this year! (though I kind of already did since I originally had Inception in my top 5 and not Shrek 4.)
"I want to be defined by the things that I love. Not the things I'm afraid of, or the things that haunt me in the middle of the night.  I just think that, you are what you love."  Taylor Swift, Daylight.

【 Verax Maneret 】

Scrambler Fanny

  • Posts: 7260
  • Shawn Johnson
    • GE
    • Shawn's Goldeneye Times Page
Was Twilight 2 a summer movie?  It looks funny on that list.

YAY Jon and YAY me!  


"And I mean, I'm the GE champ.  Did you actually expect I would have a normal relationship?" -David Clemens

RWG

  • Posts: 21326
  • always rooting for the antihero.
    • Goose
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • http://www.twitch.tv/rwhitegoose
Uh, yeah Jon.  New Moon was released in NOVEMBER 2009.  Your entire calculations are wrong!!


Afan picked;

T: RotF
HP6
Up
Star Trek
Terminator


Jon picked;

T: RotF
HP6
Star Trek
Up
Terminator

Jon even said this later in the thread "No, only movies released from May 1st - August 31st count as part of the Summer season, so Wolverine through H2"

  That means Afan wins!!
"I want to be defined by the things that I love. Not the things I'm afraid of, or the things that haunt me in the middle of the night.  I just think that, you are what you love."  Taylor Swift, Daylight.

【 Verax Maneret 】

Scrambler Fanny

  • Posts: 7260
  • Shawn Johnson
    • GE
    • Shawn's Goldeneye Times Page
YAY!  I WINS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!?!!!!!!!!!!!!  

yeah it looks like i should have 10 points...


"And I mean, I'm the GE champ.  Did you actually expect I would have a normal relationship?" -David Clemens

Scrambler Fanny

  • Posts: 7260
  • Shawn Johnson
    • GE
    • Shawn's Goldeneye Times Page
A fan of the rings' 2010 summer movie predictions:

Toy Story 3
($380,000,000)

With Iron Man 2 being underwhelmingly written, relying nearly 100% on Robert Downy, Jr., nothing greater than the first AND given the pass on 3D, the race could be tight, but my money goes to Toy Story 3.  Beloved characters, PIXAR, IMAX AND 3D, this movie just has dollar signs pointing in it's favor.  Personally I have never felt that great about Toy Story as a story, but I DO feel like the world is going to embrace this in the ever popular 3D and fork over a lot of their money.  Fact is Pixar makes money... A LOT of money, every time it produces something, and I think this year could very well be the the first year since the original Toy Story, back in 1995, that Pixar nails the highest grossing movie of the year honors.

Iron Man 2 ($375,000,000)

This WILL make a lot of money.  The momentum of the first Iron Man (one of the coolest comic book movies ever!) will take this movie to 300,000,000 dollars without a doubt.  Throw in Robert Downey, Jr, John Favreau and the rest of the crew, mix in the man-magnet, Scarlett Johanson, great actor Don Cheadle and the always interesting Sam Rockwell and the formula should equal success.  Having the added bonus of already seeing this movie (and REALLY expecting something MORE from it), I'm not certain that this movie will have legs to go the distance past 3.75 million dollars.  Yes, it has IMAX ticket prices working in it's favor, but no 3D and lackluster story and writing will, sadly, make this sequel a inferior film to the original and cost it the highest grossing movie of the summer title.

Shrek:  Forever After ($370,000,000)

Well the first Shrek was good, the second was massive at the box-office (and as good as the first, imo) and the third was massively meh.  Yet again, with 3D AND IMAX, this one will be right in the thick of things as far as the 2010 top money makers go.  Personally, I was unimpressed with the trailer, but still, it's Shrek and it will be on bigger screens and in more dimensions.  With all of the elements going (in my opinion) against Iron Man 2, this summer's top 3 might just be the closest race in recent memory.  If How To Train Your Dragon in any indication (as far as money-making potential and legs for the long haul), this might even take the #2 spot of the year.  The anticipation is killing me... um, not really, but maybe a little...

Twilight:  Eclipse ($305,000,000)

Again, there will be the IMAX factor for this movie as well, which means SHOW THESE LYCANS AND BLOOD SUCKERS THE $$$!!!  With one of the most blood-thirsty fan bases of all-time ( ) , being a best selling book series, having the first 2 Twilight movies steam-rolling it's momentum into this summer and a guaranteed climactic, overly epic (though probably extremely sappy) ending in this movie, it is as sure a bet for the top 4 as I can think of.  So much teenage pseudo-drama and fairy tale-ness that I might actually break down and watch the first 2 and give this one my $$ as well.  Not sure yet... I might just resort to making fun of it for the rest of my life.

and rounding out my top 5 for 2010 is...

Despicable Me (215,000,000)
Ya know what, SCREW Prince of Gaysia!  That movie looks awful and I hope it dies... just joking, but it it DOES look pretty LOLlipoops (see Jon's write-up).  Despicable is growing on me the more and more I read about it.  This actually looks very good and with the 3D money-boost, if it IS any good then it will be a sure contender.  There really is no stopping 3D (Just look at Alice In Wonderland!  Even Clash Of The Titans-which got crappy reviews about it's 3D-did respectable) movies, and ESPECIALLY if they are good movies WITHOUT the 3D.  I am actually very excited for this movie.  The negative with Despicable is that it opens the same day as Predators and Inception opens the week following... but as Despicable might really be for a little bit different crowd, I think the damage will be minimal.


other worthy mentions:


Prince Of Persia:  The Sands Of Time and Inception.  Both have outstanding chances at cracking the top five and are almost certain to hit top 7.  Inception has a lot more momentum behind it, given that:  Nolan, the cast from Dark Knight, IMAX (higher ticket prices), Leo, Juno, one insane trailer and massive hype are pouring out of this movie.  On the other hand, it would be somewhat foolish to dismiss Persia.  I might be inclined to predict Persia grossing more than Inception because Inception might prove to be too complicated a movie to gross massive wads of cash.  Persia, on the other hand has zero chance of being too complicated.  Going against Persia, however, is that it's got Shrek opening the week before and Sex In The City opening on the same day... sheeeeesh, tough competition, I'd say.  While I have no doubt that Inception will be a far better movie, I see both reaching the top 8 or so...

GO GO GO 2010!!!


"And I mean, I'm the GE champ.  Did you actually expect I would have a normal relationship?" -David Clemens

RWG

  • Posts: 21326
  • always rooting for the antihero.
    • Goose
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • http://www.twitch.tv/rwhitegoose

Here's a handy chart I whipped up with the top 7 films from the past 3 summers for ease when trying to make comparisons and placements in your top five.

"I want to be defined by the things that I love. Not the things I'm afraid of, or the things that haunt me in the middle of the night.  I just think that, you are what you love."  Taylor Swift, Daylight.

【 Verax Maneret 】

matt8k

  • Posts: 586
  • Whatever
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • matt8000
Great round up of the Summer action, guys!

I really wish they'd left the original Shrek movie as a standalone.
It looks as though this summer will be less predictable than last year since there seem to be less sequels. It's anyone's guess what the surprise hit of the season will be!


My Predicted Top 5
1. Toy Story 3
2. Iron Man 2
3. Shrek 4
4. Twilight Saga: Eclipse
5. Robin Hood


Notable mentions:
6. Salt - Angelina Jolie is sure to pull a crowd.
7. Knight and Day - Same deal with Diaz/Cruise in lead roles.



I am looking forward to seeing these movies, in order of excitement:
The Expendables -
I've been watching this movie develop since the cast was first announced. It might not have the storyline or acting talent of the biggest blockbusters, but check out the cast: Stallone, Schwarzenegger, Jason Statham, Jet Li, Bruce Willis, "Stone Cold" Steve Austin. The action and fake blood is guaranteed to be world class.

Prince of Persia -
It just won't rate in the Top 5 - but I love the game, so how can I not?!

Iron Man 2 -
The first movie was an entertaining tale, and I expect the same of the second.

Other films that grab my interest, perhaps only for dvd release are;
Predators, Scott Pilgrim vs The World, The Other Guys, The Karate Kid, Knight and Day, Despicable Me
Frigate doesn't complete in Melbourne 

AZ

  • Posts: 6238
    • AxZ
    • 2015CommunityContributor
    • 2017SilverStar
1. Toy Story 3
2. Shrek 4
3. Robin Hood
4. Iron Man 2
5. Twilight

Fal2002

  • Posts: 2136
    • GE
    • PD
1. Toy Story 3
2. Iron Man 2
3. Shrek 4
4. Twilight
5. Robin Hood

Matis

  • Posts: 3695
  • Ohio Crew member since 07.
    • GE
im gonna go with...

ToyStory 3
Twilight (dont underestimate the soccer moms)
Iron Man 2
Shrek
Prince of Persia

Darth Vader

  • Posts: 5312
  • You don't know the power of the dark side
    • Marc
    • GE
    • PD

The karate kid  

Once a heroic Jedi Knight
Seduced by the dark side of the force
Sith Lord
Leading the Empire's eradication of the Jedi Order

ShadowZero64

  • Posts: 1981
  • <3 Kristen Bell
    • GE
    • PD
1. Iron Man 2
2. Robin Hood
3. Toy Story 3
4. The Karate Kid
5. Shrek 4

Red Bull

  • Posts: 3823
    • GE
    • PD
1. Iron Man 2
2. Toy Story 3
3. The Twilight Saga: Eclipse
4. Robin Hood
5. Shrek: Forever After

Ngamer

  • Posts: 6305
  • Swagger Personified
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • thengamer.com
Only five hours remain to finalize your picks!
thengamer. com

Djie

  • Posts: 2764
    • GE
    • PD
1. Iron Man 2
2. The Twilight Saga: Eclipse
3. Toy Story 3
4. Shrek: Forever After
5. Robin Hood

Scrambler Fanny

  • Posts: 7260
  • Shawn Johnson
    • GE
    • Shawn's Goldeneye Times Page
WOW!  

there are a lot of people out there with faith in Robin Hood being Ridley Scott's HIGHEST GROSSING MOVIE EVER!


"And I mean, I'm the GE champ.  Did you actually expect I would have a normal relationship?" -David Clemens

RWG

  • Posts: 21326
  • always rooting for the antihero.
    • Goose
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • http://www.twitch.tv/rwhitegoose

Yeah Afan.  The people who have predicted it in their top five have really Robin FAILED if you know what I mean.

The more research I do, the less and less confident I am about Despicable Me.  There are a lot of B animated movies (Over the Hedge, Antz, Open Season, Surf's Up, these kids) that failed miserably and did under $100, however there are other non Pixars, non Shreks (like Happy Feet, Madagascar, Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs, Bolt, particularly Horton Hears a Who!) have done quite well.

Despicable Me has insane stars voicing, crazy marketing, adorable story and it's in 3D.  I think it's the safest bet for me.  The question is, can the 2010 box office be dominated by FOUR animated films? (TS3, Shrek4, Dragons and Despicable?)  It wouldn't be fun if I didn't take a risk so I'm going through with this one.

Gonna go quote my preds post in a new, unedited, virgin post to ensure no editing is done.

"I want to be defined by the things that I love. Not the things I'm afraid of, or the things that haunt me in the middle of the night.  I just think that, you are what you love."  Taylor Swift, Daylight.

【 Verax Maneret 】

RWG

  • Posts: 21326
  • always rooting for the antihero.
    • Goose
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • http://www.twitch.tv/rwhitegoose
Quote from: RWhiteGoose

Goose's 2010 Summer Movie Predictions!


1. Toy Story 3 - $585,000,000

Spoiler
(Opening weekend $175,000,000)

It's all been said before.  Until Avatar came out and grossed nearly $3billion, it was Finding Nemo that was the highest grossing film in the world not part of a series, trilogy or sequels, other than Titanic.  The only films of this type in the domestic market that beat out Finding Nemo to this date are the two aforementioned ones, The Passion of the Christ and E.T.: The Extraterrestrial. Why is this relevant?  Because Toy Story is the marquee franchise of Pixar, and Pixar is the greatest film making studio of the 21st century thus far.  Everyone in the entire world under 30 years old who had a childhood saw Toy Story and loved it, because it's great.  Not only that, but the 2nd one is just as great.  Not only that, but this 3rd one has all the same voice actors and will be just as great.  The movie is also timed perfectly for the weekend elementary school ends for summer!

I predict that not only will this threaten Titanic for #2 all time, it will break the opening weekend record set by The Dark Knight.  I mean, just look at how well Alice in Wonderland has done because of 3D.  The 3D prices don't scare anyone away and pretty much double the gross.  Iron Man 2 just pulled in $134 and it couldn't have had the same hype as Toy Story 3.  There is just no way!  Gogogo Toy Story 3!!!


2. Iron Man 2 - $401,000,000

Spoiler
There's not much to say about this one.  It's already pulled in a smooth $134.  I don't think Eclipse will top this, so 2nd seems safe.  I think Transformers is a good mark to judge this by.  Transformers and Iron Man pulled in almost identical numbers, so perhaps Iron Man 2 will duplicate Transformer 2's numbers.


3. Shrek Forever After - $388,000,000

Spoiler
Although I have my doubts, this is about as safe a pick as you can possibly get.  The 3rd film did do some disappointments, but the 2nd was a juggernaut and even after Avatar's release, still ranks in the USA's top 5 all time.  The lack of hype like the 2nd had does worry me, but I think the price of 3D tickets will bump this up into top 5 territory.


4. The Twilight Saga: Eclipse - $219,000,000

Spoiler
It's tough to say whether or not this will beat out New Moon.  That film had the benefit of Twilight actually being half decent, the trailer of New Moon debuting at the ever so controversial 2009 MTV Video Music Awards as well as the relationship between Robert Pattinson and Kristen Stewart being at the a sultry peak.  The film isn't in 3D, but it is being released in the summer.  This one is a big head scratcher but I feel pretty safe having it in the top five.


5. Despicable Me - $199,000,000

Spoiler
I just watched all 4 trailers and this movie looks hilarious.  If Jon thinks this movie is "weird" well it's certainly not as weird as Wall*E which went on to do about $228.  Throw in the fact that this is also in 3D and I really think it can pull out a big number.  Not only that, but like I said in my preview, the first trailer was shown before megablockbuster Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen.  The trailer's been around for nearly a year.  With so many people having seen it and this movie being marketed that heavily, you have to think it will get attention.  Besides, if I had predicted Ice Age 3 or Night at the Museum 2 in this spot last year I would have won.  I don't see many other big threats here and I think Despicable Me is pretty safe for at worst a top 8 finish, which won't hurt my score too badly.  Let's roll the dice!
"I want to be defined by the things that I love. Not the things I'm afraid of, or the things that haunt me in the middle of the night.  I just think that, you are what you love."  Taylor Swift, Daylight.

【 Verax Maneret 】

Scrambler Fanny

  • Posts: 7260
  • Shawn Johnson
    • GE
    • Shawn's Goldeneye Times Page
Quote from: afanoftherings
A fan of the rings' 2010 summer movie predictions:

Toy Story 3
($380,000,000)

With Iron Man 2 being underwhelmingly written, relying nearly 100% on Robert Downy, Jr., nothing greater than the first AND given the pass on 3D, the race could be tight, but my money goes to Toy Story 3.  Beloved characters, PIXAR, IMAX AND 3D, this movie just has dollar signs pointing in it's favor.  Personally I have never felt that great about Toy Story as a story, but I DO feel like the world is going to embrace this in the ever popular 3D and fork over a lot of their money.  Fact is Pixar makes money... A LOT of money, every time it produces something, and I think this year could very well be the the first year since the original Toy Story, back in 1995, that Pixar nails the highest grossing movie of the year honors.

Iron Man 2 ($375,000,000)

This WILL make a lot of money.  The momentum of the first Iron Man (one of the coolest comic book movies ever!) will take this movie to 300,000,000 dollars without a doubt.  Throw in Robert Downey, Jr, John Favreau and the rest of the crew, mix in the man-magnet, Scarlett Johanson, great actor Don Cheadle and the always interesting Sam Rockwell and the formula should equal success.  Having the added bonus of already seeing this movie (and REALLY expecting something MORE from it), I'm not certain that this movie will have legs to go the distance past 3.75 million dollars.  Yes, it has IMAX ticket prices working in it's favor, but no 3D and lackluster story and writing will, sadly, make this sequel a inferior film to the original and cost it the highest grossing movie of the summer title.

Shrek:  Forever After ($370,000,000)

Well the first Shrek was good, the second was massive at the box-office (and as good as the first, imo) and the third was massively meh.  Yet again, with 3D AND IMAX, this one will be right in the thick of things as far as the 2010 top money makers go.  Personally, I was unimpressed with the trailer, but still, it's Shrek and it will be on bigger screens and in more dimensions.  With all of the elements going (in my opinion) against Iron Man 2, this summer's top 3 might just be the closest race in recent memory.  If How To Train Your Dragon in any indication (as far as money-making potential and legs for the long haul), this might even take the #2 spot of the year.  The anticipation is killing me... um, not really, but maybe a little...

Twilight:  Eclipse ($305,000,000)

Again, there will be the IMAX factor for this movie as well, which means SHOW THESE LYCANS AND BLOOD SUCKERS THE $$$!!!  With one of the most blood-thirsty fan bases of all-time ( ) , being a best selling book series, having the first 2 Twilight movies steam-rolling it's momentum into this summer and a guaranteed climactic, overly epic (though probably extremely sappy) ending in this movie, it is as sure a bet for the top 4 as I can think of.  So much teenage pseudo-drama and fairy tale-ness that I might actually break down and watch the first 2 and give this one my $$ as well.  Not sure yet... I might just resort to making fun of it for the rest of my life.

and rounding out my top 5 for 2010 is...

Despicable Me (215,000,000)
Ya know what, SCREW Prince of Gaysia!  That movie looks awful and I hope it dies... just joking, but it it DOES look pretty LOLlipoops (see Jon's write-up).  Despicable is growing on me the more and more I read about it.  This actually looks very good and with the 3D money-boost, if it IS any good then it will be a sure contender.  There really is no stopping 3D (Just look at Alice In Wonderland!  Even Clash Of The Titans-which got crappy reviews about it's 3D-did respectable) movies, and ESPECIALLY if they are good movies WITHOUT the 3D.  I am actually very excited for this movie.  The negative with Despicable is that it opens the same day as Predators and Inception opens the week following... but as Despicable might really be for a little bit different crowd, I think the damage will be minimal.


other worthy mentions:


Prince Of Persia:  The Sands Of Time and Inception.  Both have outstanding chances at cracking the top five and are almost certain to hit top 7.  Inception has a lot more momentum behind it, given that:  Nolan, the cast from Dark Knight, IMAX (higher ticket prices), Leo, Juno, one insane trailer and massive hype are pouring out of this movie.  On the other hand, it would be somewhat foolish to dismiss Persia.  I might be inclined to predict Persia grossing more than Inception because Inception might prove to be too complicated a movie to gross massive wads of cash.  Persia, on the other hand has zero chance of being too complicated.  Going against Persia, however, is that it's got Shrek opening the week before and Sex In The City opening on the same day... sheeeeesh, tough competition, I'd say.  While I have no doubt that Inception will be a far better movie, I see both reaching the top 8 or so...

GO GO GO 2010!!!



"And I mean, I'm the GE champ.  Did you actually expect I would have a normal relationship?" -David Clemens

Scrambler Fanny

  • Posts: 7260
  • Shawn Johnson
    • GE
    • Shawn's Goldeneye Times Page
LOL! ^ identical placement and almost identical summaries.  

Goose/Afan=juggernauts at the box office preds for 2010!!!

HOLY CRAP!!!  LOL that I used almost IDENTICAL colors for my titles as Goose!  this wasn't planned or done on purpose... CRAZZZZZZY 


"And I mean, I'm the GE champ.  Did you actually expect I would have a normal relationship?" -David Clemens

Ngamer

  • Posts: 6305
  • Swagger Personified
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • thengamer.com
2010 Preds are now LOCKED IN.

Which means it's time for


Ngamer's Very Very Fine 2010 Preds

First up we have the no-doubter:  Toy Story 3 will be the #1 movie of the Summer.  Now, I DO still think Goose is crazy for predicting the opening weekend record and a TDK-like final gross,  but with all the factors I mentioned working in its favor, TS3 is still the safest I've ever felt about a Summer Champ pick.  To no one's surprise, the Summer's silver medal is going to be handed out to Iron Man 2.  Despite May's crowded schedule, IM2's a big enough "event picture" to continue rolling in the dough for at least the first three weeks, which should easily be enough to vault it ahead of the original and into a comfortable second place position.  For the bronze, I'm doing something just a touch different... give me Twilight: Eclipse.  Yes, I realize Shrek 3 > New Moon, but to me these two franchises are trending in completely the opposite direction; you can't go five minutes without someone expressing how much they either love or loathe the Twilight series, whereas the only reaction I'm hearing regarding Shrek is "ugh, well at least this will be the last one."  So it should be a pretty close race, but I'm seeing Shrek Forever Ever being edged out and having to settle for 4th place.

But of course the REAL QUESTION is what to do with that wildcard #5 spot.  There are five movies with a legitimate shot at finishing here, in my opinion.  Let's narrow the list down: I expect Robin Hood to be a minor bust just because no one's dying to hear that story for the 5th time, Despicable Me gives me a "just another computer animated kids movie that'll be quickly forgotten" vibe, Inception should have been saved for December when audiences are more willing to exercise their brains, and Prince of Persia COULD be the next The Mummy but I'm too afraid that it could also be the next Speed Racer.  And as for the "long shots"... I don't think Sex and the City 2 matches the first, I'd be shocked if Grown Ups blew up big enough to contend, I very much doubt that Salt matches Wanted, Knight and Day should do pretty well but doesn't scream "blockbuster", and Eat/Pray/Love... well, that one does scare me, I have to admit, but I couldn't justify pulling the trigger on something so risky.  Which means it's time to saddle up with the final of the "Big Five Contenders," the movie that's perfectly built to succeed in the Summer Movie Season... The A-Team.



I have no Plan B.

Or, in list form,

1. Toy Story 3
2. Iron Man 2
3. Twilight: Eclipse
4. Shrek Forever After
5. The A-Team

thengamer. com

Ngamer

  • Posts: 6305
  • Swagger Personified
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • thengamer.com
Special exception has been made for your 2010 Elite Summer Contest Champ wheat!

[21:45] wheatrich: heh my annual last place picks
[21:45] wheatrich: rofl marmaduke
[21:45] wheatrich: of all the damn things to make a movie
[21:49] wheatrich: let's see movie preds let's go
1. Toy Story 3
2. Iron Man 2
3. Shrek
4. whatever the fuck Twilight is
and we need an upset to win so 5. Inception
[21:51] wheatrich: Robin Hood has such a bust feel to me
[21:51] wheatrich: and it looks like I've got about the same picks as thingy
[21:51] wheatrich: think Persia's too much of a niche crowd
[21:51] wheatrich: most people won't have a clue what it is
[21:52] wheatrich: lol Karate Kid
[21:52] wheatrich: remakes are usually terrible

Special exception has been made for the man who will win his first ever Elite Summer Contest matchup this year, BloodE!

[17:19]  HistoricToast: welp
[17:20]  HistoricToast:
1.
Toy Story 3
2. Iron Man 2
3. The A-Team
4. Inception
5. shitty twilight movie

[17:20]  HistoricToast: don't feel confident about this but you didn't give me much time!
[17:21]  HistoricToast: p.sure toy story 3 will own
[17:21]  HistoricToast: but otherwise meh
[17:21]  CieloAzor: oh no, awful picks, Blood
[17:21]  HistoricToast: almost as awful as your face
[17:22]  CieloAzor: almost!
[17:22] HistoricToast: twilight prob won't do that great i guess
[17:22]  HistoricToast: i mean it will be popular with those types but otherwise
[17:22] HistoricToast: the a-team will be a hit or miss type thang


thengamer. com

Scrambler Fanny

  • Posts: 7260
  • Shawn Johnson
    • GE
    • Shawn's Goldeneye Times Page
Jon I totally agree with that there are several choices that COULD hit that bizarre #5 slot.  And the more I hear about summer movie buzz, it seems that most critics and "professional predict-o-philes" concur with your Twilight (#3) and Shrek (#4) picks.  We will see.  Not too sure about that A-Team, but anything is possible this year for #5.  Decent picks, bro.

also posted this elsewhere, but will re post:

http://www.joblo.com/its-...yage-of-the-dawn-treader


"And I mean, I'm the GE champ.  Did you actually expect I would have a normal relationship?" -David Clemens

RWG

  • Posts: 21326
  • always rooting for the antihero.
    • Goose
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • http://www.twitch.tv/rwhitegoose

http://www.imdb.com/news/ni2456338/

" Iron Man’s second Friday was off a steep 71% from its opening night. Grossing an estimated $14 million, the film is on track to pull in another $50 million for the frame, a drop-off that will likely be over 60%. Universal’s Robin Hood, which debuted to middling reviews, is faring quite well. The Ridley Scott, Russell Crowe pairing earned an estimated $13 million on Friday, and is on track to generate between $38 and $40 million for the weekend."


So basically, Iron Man 2 is outdoing Robin Hood despite this being Iron Man's 2nd week of release.


Robin Hood on track to pull in about $100million total.


Great job everyone who predicted it in the top five

"I want to be defined by the things that I love. Not the things I'm afraid of, or the things that haunt me in the middle of the night.  I just think that, you are what you love."  Taylor Swift, Daylight.

【 Verax Maneret 】

Darth Vader

  • Posts: 5312
  • You don't know the power of the dark side
    • Marc
    • GE
    • PD
Omg you film nerds   I like it though. No way TS3 is going to be better than the original btw. It would be like Lion King 4 being better than the original. 

 

Once a heroic Jedi Knight
Seduced by the dark side of the force
Sith Lord
Leading the Empire's eradication of the Jedi Order

Scrambler Fanny

  • Posts: 7260
  • Shawn Johnson
    • GE
    • Shawn's Goldeneye Times Page
^ Ink-

no body here said it would be better than the first, just that it would EASILY be the highest grossing movie of the year... nOOb.  


"And I mean, I'm the GE champ.  Did you actually expect I would have a normal relationship?" -David Clemens

Darth Vader

  • Posts: 5312
  • You don't know the power of the dark side
    • Marc
    • GE
    • PD
I know that. I just mentioned my opinion about it. fOOl


Once a heroic Jedi Knight
Seduced by the dark side of the force
Sith Lord
Leading the Empire's eradication of the Jedi Order

Scrambler Fanny

  • Posts: 7260
  • Shawn Johnson
    • GE
    • Shawn's Goldeneye Times Page
touche


"And I mean, I'm the GE champ.  Did you actually expect I would have a normal relationship?" -David Clemens

RWG

  • Posts: 21326
  • always rooting for the antihero.
    • Goose
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • http://www.twitch.tv/rwhitegoose

http://www.imdb.com/news/ni2466888/

"Robin Hood wasn't supposed to beat Iron Man 2. And it didn't. The Russell Crowe-Ridley Scott bow-and-arrow epic opened in second place at the weekend box office with an estimated $37.1 million. Reigning champ Iron Man 2 returned to No. 1 with $53 million."


roflcopter, so...


DEAD

Hugo

BCutz

Matt H

Acke "7nd time I watch Robin Hood" Zakrisson

Fallens

SZ

Maxxie "sweetcheex" Bout

Djie


ALIVE

Thingy

Third

Matis

Goose

Afan

Ngamer, wheat, Bloode*

*picks were posted after Robin Hood's Friday debacle.

"I want to be defined by the things that I love. Not the things I'm afraid of, or the things that haunt me in the middle of the night.  I just think that, you are what you love."  Taylor Swift, Daylight.

【 Verax Maneret 】

Scrambler Fanny

  • Posts: 7260
  • Shawn Johnson
    • GE
    • Shawn's Goldeneye Times Page
Quote from: RWhiteGoose

roflcopter, so...


DEAD

Acke "7nd time I watch Robin Hood" Zakrisson



it's been a while since i have seen this... and i think i am the one that started it...



"And I mean, I'm the GE champ.  Did you actually expect I would have a normal relationship?" -David Clemens

RWG

  • Posts: 21326
  • always rooting for the antihero.
    • Goose
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • http://www.twitch.tv/rwhitegoose

Jon and I both forgot to post about this movie.


Jonah Hex

read http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1075747/

watch http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u2AS9DjwR-o


What is it?

Megan Fox and Josh Brolin in some kind of shoot em up 2010 version of a western.  There is no other selling point.


So yeah.  Weirdly I can see this being a sleeper hit.  It comes out the same day as TS3 so I guess it's the adult (read: 20 year old guy) alternative to Toy Story.



"I want to be defined by the things that I love. Not the things I'm afraid of, or the things that haunt me in the middle of the night.  I just think that, you are what you love."  Taylor Swift, Daylight.

【 Verax Maneret 】

Scrambler Fanny

  • Posts: 7260
  • Shawn Johnson
    • GE
    • Shawn's Goldeneye Times Page
posters suck.

chances of this movie sucking... 85%


"And I mean, I'm the GE champ.  Did you actually expect I would have a normal relationship?" -David Clemens

Ngamer

  • Posts: 6305
  • Swagger Personified
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • thengamer.com
Week 3 has arrived, and here is where the 2010 Summer Movie Season kicks into high gear.  Shrek 4 has just opened (counter-programmed by MacGruber), and seven days from now another potential huge blockbuster (OR possibly a huge bust!) arrives in the form of Prince of Persia (counter-programmed by SatC2).  The next 10 days are going to make or break pretty much everyone's Top Five preds, so be sure to keep an eye out!
thengamer. com

RWG

  • Posts: 21326
  • always rooting for the antihero.
    • Goose
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • http://www.twitch.tv/rwhitegoose
FFS, Shrek just opened with about $20mil so probably a $50-60mil opening weekend.  :s not looking good to beat out Eclipse but certainly still capable of a top five.
"I want to be defined by the things that I love. Not the things I'm afraid of, or the things that haunt me in the middle of the night.  I just think that, you are what you love."  Taylor Swift, Daylight.

【 Verax Maneret 】

Scrambler Fanny

  • Posts: 7260
  • Shawn Johnson
    • GE
    • Shawn's Goldeneye Times Page
Quote from: RWhiteGoose
FFS, Shrek just opened with about $20mil so probably a $50-60mil opening weekend.  :s not looking good to beat out Eclipse but certainly still capable of a top five.
yeah i thought putting Shrek @ #3 could be a gamble...




"And I mean, I'm the GE champ.  Did you actually expect I would have a normal relationship?" -David Clemens

Ngamer

  • Posts: 6305
  • Swagger Personified
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • thengamer.com

BOX OFFICE UPDATE:

The actual totals are in, and Shrek 4 pulled down $70.8 million this weekend... down from the $121.6 mil opening of the last Shrek.  Ouch!  At this point not even cracking the Top Five is a lock, considering it can't be expected to have legs anything like the first two movies.  On the plus side for most Eliters, Robin Hood did hold up pretty decently in its second weekend, making another $18.8 million.  But unfortunately that still only boosts it to $67 mil overall; even if it doesn't fall off TOO much in the next month it was still a pretty dismal Top Five choice.  Iron Man 2 meanwhile just crossed the $250 mark and should be looking healthy for that #2 kind of position we mostly pegged it for.

EARLY CHRISTMAS UPDATE:

I pulled some strings at the theater this week and was able to nab an incredible early Christmas present for my good pal Infil.



I'll hold on to it for the moment, but I except Infil to swing by and pick it up pretty soon here.  Boy would this look great in the entrance to his house!

 
thengamer. com

Scrambler Fanny

  • Posts: 7260
  • Shawn Johnson
    • GE
    • Shawn's Goldeneye Times Page
hahahahaha, she is pointing that gun @ your "business" Jon.  


"And I mean, I'm the GE champ.  Did you actually expect I would have a normal relationship?" -David Clemens

RWG

  • Posts: 21326
  • always rooting for the antihero.
    • Goose
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • http://www.twitch.tv/rwhitegoose
Phew, despite a slow Friday, Shrek pulled in a hot $71.2mil.  MORE than enough to ensure a top 5 finish.  It will probably get another $40mil next weekend and end in the 225+ range, which really could be good enough for 3rd overall.  I for one am relieved.
"I want to be defined by the things that I love. Not the things I'm afraid of, or the things that haunt me in the middle of the night.  I just think that, you are what you love."  Taylor Swift, Daylight.

【 Verax Maneret 】

Scrambler Fanny

  • Posts: 7260
  • Shawn Johnson
    • GE
    • Shawn's Goldeneye Times Page
^ true

"Ouch!  At this point not even cracking the Top Five is a lock, considering it can't be expected to have legs anything like the first two movies."

not too sure what Jon was meaning there, but i, for one, am still almost positive that Shrek 4 will easily be top 5.



"And I mean, I'm the GE champ.  Did you actually expect I would have a normal relationship?" -David Clemens

wheatrich

  • Posts: 2909
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
Quote from: Ngamer64
I'll hold on to it for the moment, but I except Infil to swing by and pick it up pretty soon here.  Boy would this look great in the entrance to his house!
I'd take exception too getting that as a gift and you showing up to present it without a shirt.