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The Big Three Plus One => General Chat => Topic started by: Ngamer on March 30, 2012, 12:08:03 am

Title: 2012 Baseball Topic and Fantasy and Betting Thread!
Post by: Ngamer on March 30, 2012, 12:08:03 am: We're holding a Fantasy Baseball Team Draft this Saturday night (after the Ohio St/Kansas game)! It's an auction format where everyone picks 5 teams and you try to earn the most wins combined. We did this last year and the following people played

[22:39] Ngameratwork: last year's players: Thingy, Boss, Ngamer, Goose, Gabby, Shadow, wiff, drag

Post in this topic or hop into Chat if you'd like to get involved!

Last year's Fantasy League sheet:

https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?hl=en&hl=en&key=tbjo2Cj5oeKKHwedYlSRyaw&authkey=CKa8_qIB#gid=0 (https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?hl=en&hl=en&key=tbjo2Cj5oeKKHwedYlSRyaw&authkey=CKa8_qIB#gid=0)

2012 Lineup
Ngamer
Thingy
Third
Jack
Boss
wiff/QB/YOU?
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Also, can use this thread for any other baseball results/preds/betting talk you want to do.
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Legendary Past Topics

2011 Playoffs - http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=16278 (http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=16278)
2011 - http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=15732 (http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=15732)
2010 - http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=15228 (http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=15228)
2009 Playoffs - http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=14889 (http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=14889)
2009 - http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=14428 (http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=14428)
2008 Playoffs - http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=13930 (http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=13930)
2008 - http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=13495 (http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=13495)
2007 Playoffs - http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=1369 (http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=1369)
2007 - http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=1453 (http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=1453)
2006 Playoffs - http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=1620 (http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=1620)
2006 - http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=1783 (http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=1783)
Title: Re: 2012 Baseball Topic and Fantasy and Betting Thread!
Post by: wishiwasfamous on March 30, 2012, 09:49:33 am: I'd prefer a head to head league, like I request every year. But I can settle for this I suppose.
Title: Re: 2012 Baseball Topic and Fantasy and Betting Thread!
Post by: Ngamer on March 30, 2012, 08:45:52 pm: Researching prop bets for the season, put together this handy chart to help everyone out. Every team is ranked by their projected total wins (the Vegas O/U for the season), next to that is how many times they won in 2011, and then there's the difference. The teams Vegas expects to make a big improvement are in blue, the ones expected to have a down year are in red.

(https://forums.the-elite.net/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.upload.speedrunwiki.com%2Fimages%2Fsports%2F2012MLBWinProps.png&hash=9985cd583155b8af184473ff6942baed8485119b)

EDIT - Oh yeah, Mariners and As were left out due to the early games in Japan. Their numbers on the chart would have been

Athletics 72.5 74 -1.5
Mariners 71.5 67 4.5
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Now, what to bet out of that bunch. Hmmmmm....

EDIT2 - Hold this for a minute

[21:03] Ngameratwork: wheat was your bet offer for total wins, or head to head between Crew/Cubs?
[21:05] wheatrich: head to head
[21:05] wheatrich: crew was listed at -160
[21:07] wheatrich: $5 to win $3.13
[21:07] wheatrich: but I'll give a special deal to ngamer $5 to win 3.25
Title: Re: 2012 Baseball Topic and Fantasy and Betting Thread!
Post by: Jack on March 30, 2012, 09:15:02 pm: Blue Jays gonna win ALL your baseballs this year.
Title: Re: 2012 Baseball Topic and Fantasy and Betting Thread!
Post by: Ngamer on April 01, 2012, 12:39:31 am: Draft is complete! We'll stick with these teams for the first half of the season, then re-draft during the All Star break.

Complete results:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AvhZ2lt476FmdDlvZWF6OTZFVmw2eEc3bTE4TWhiY0E

Text results:

Boss    Angels (10), Marlins (10), DBacks (10), Nationals (10), Dodgers (42), Orioles (10)
Alec   Phillies (22), Rays (27), Athletics (10), Indians (10), Cubs (10), Astros (10)
Third    Yankees (29), Reds (10), Giants (10), Mets (10), Royals (26), Mariners (10)
Ngamer   Rangers (10), Brewers (10), Cardinals (27), Blue Jays (10), Padres (10), Pirates (10)
Thingy   Tigers (10), Red Sox (10), Braves (33), Rockies (10), White Sox (10), Twins (27)
Title: Re: 2012 Baseball Topic and Fantasy and Betting Thread!
Post by: Boss on April 02, 2012, 10:09:49 pm: I think I was too afraid of the whole bid off thing in some of my early picks to go with the obvious teams.
Title: Re: 2012 Baseball Topic and Fantasy and Betting Thread!
Post by: Ngamer on April 03, 2012, 11:24:32 pm: FINAL DECISION

Ng Bets the 2012 MLB Regular Season

* Brewers to win OVER 85.5 games
risking $5 to win $4.17

* Rangers to win OVER 91.5 games
risking $5 to win $3.85

* Reds to win UNDER 87.5 games
risking $5 to win $4.35

* Stephen Strasburg to record UNDER 180.5 strikeouts
risking $5 to win $4.35

* Brewers to defeat the Cubs in head-to-head matchups (this bet is with wheat)
risking $5 to win $3.25
Title: Re: 2012 Baseball Topic and Fantasy and Betting Thread!
Post by: Invertigone on April 05, 2012, 07:53:26 pm: I've learned to expect this every year with the Cubs. It doesn't make it any less painful.