The Elite Forum

The Big Three Plus One => GoldenEye 007 => Topic started by: DYM on December 31, 2013, 03:03:15 am

Title: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: DYM on December 31, 2013, 03:03:15 am

Copied Goose's post from 2013. :kappa:

A long lost elite tradition is the Sylvester-Tip.  Now, I don't even know where Jimmy's cousin Martin Bauer came up with the term Sylvester-Tip, since googling it provides nothing, but the last time this was done was 4 years ago, so here is a little recap:  The Sylvester-Tip is where you predict new WRs and new top 10 players in the new year.  Then we can look back at the end of the year (this never happens) and see how right or wrong we were.  So without further ado...


Current WRs

Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:52 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:21 / 1:02
Silo: 1:01 / 1:09 / 1:22
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:01 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:19 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:54
Streets: 1:12 / 1:55 / 1:55
Depot: 0:25 / 0:40 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:50
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:58 / 4:05 / 4:07
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:19 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:36
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:35 / 1:39
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45


Current Top 10

1. Rayan I.
2. David Clemens
3. Marc Rützou
4. Bryan Bosshardt
5. Luke Szklarz
6. Ryan White
7. Ilari Pekkala
8. Jimmy Bauer
9. Jim Barrett
10. Shawn Johnson


So post your own versions of these lists according to what you believe will be accurate on Dec 31, 2013!


2006 thread: http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=1035.0
2007 thread: http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=884.0
2008 thread: http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=13382.0
2009 thread: http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=14194.0
2013 thread: http://forums.the-elite.net/forum/index.php?topic=18405.0

GoldenEye overall time evolution: http://quentin.meunier.free.fr/gewrs/timecutter.php?year=2012

Here are some interesting statistics for the past 5 years:

2009: 43 WRs, 7 untieds
2010: 114 WRs, 24 untieds
2011: 35 WRs, 12 untieds
2012: 67 WRs, 15 untieds
2013: 95 WRs, 10 untieds (as of this post)

2013 was an active year. The fact that we still managed to get 10 untieds 15+ years after the game's release is insane. There are also top, rising players like Luke and Karl who have shown that they're definitely capable of getting untieds. Compared to previous years we've had a slew of world records probably because live-streaming has increased the game's popularity.  So will 2014 be a dead year since we're always getting closer to maxing this game, or will we explode with WRs-a-plenty for all to be had?

Let's see what you think!

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Aztec Exemplar on December 31, 2013, 03:28:14 am

Just gonna say who will get what because I think that's more interesting + I feel like it.

Dam: 53/116/155

Facility: 43/51/52 (I'd imagine someone like Marc tying 52 on 00 but I see Ace finally getting that 51 in 2014)

Runway: 22/22/35 (22 SA will probably be tied and I don't think Cliff will get 34)

Surface 1: 102/148/148

Bunker 1: 17/20/102 (dat 20 by Ace)

Silo: 100/108/121 (I think Silo will get a nice second cut across the board. Marc will get 1:00, Luke will get 1:08 and Marc will also get 1:21)

Frigate: 23/100/105 (Pettit, if not some other top player like Ace/Marc will pick up this untied)

Surface 2: 48/49/125

Bunker 2: 23/44/54

Statue: 218/218/217 (I'm somewhat doubtful about the 217 but this will all be done by Marc)

Archives: 16/54/53 (Marc)

Streets: 112/154/155 (Goose will get that untied if he keeps at it)

Depot: 25/40/47

Train: 58/123/150

Jungle: 50/53/54

Control: 357/404/406 (Marc/Ace)

Caverns: 101/118/131 (Marc/Ace but most likely Marc)

Cradle: 34/35/35 (Fucking finally, this will be done by Luckwood or Clemens)

Aztec: 125/134/138 (Ace with 134 + 138)

Egyptian: 45/45/45

TOTAL TIME CUT: 17 seconds (1:12:16)

This is all assuming Marc/Ace are active. They better fucking be.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TOP 10
1. Rayan I.
2. Marc Rutzou
3. David Clemens
4. Luke Szklarz
5. Bryan Bosshardt
6. Ryan White
7. Ilari Pekkala
8. Jim Barrett (I believe in you baby)
9. Jimmy Bauer
10. Eise Smit

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Aztec Exemplar on December 31, 2013, 04:20:42 am

How the rankings will really look like at the end of 2014:

Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:52 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:21 / 1:02
Silo: 1:01 / 1:08 / 1:22
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:00 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:19 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:54
Streets: 1:12 / 1:54 / 1:55
Depot: 0:25 / 0:40 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:50
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:58 / 4:05 / 4:07
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:19 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:36
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:35 / 1:39
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Deep-Darkness on December 31, 2013, 06:08:52 am

I'm a PD player, not a GE player, so I have no idea on how low/high decimal are the WRs, etc. I'll just write a list of times that I'm note sure if they are possible or not, and let's see what happens along the year. This is my pred for GE:
Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:51 / 0:51 (Not sure if new strat is enough for 51s)
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:20 / 1:02 (I have faith on that 20, Ace :nesquik:)
Silo: 1:00 / 1:08 / 1:21 (I really can't understand how current WRs aren't maxed, but I have faith :nesquik:)
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:00 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:53 / 0:53 (Probably new route + box strat + boost are enough for 53s)
Streets: 1:12 / 1:55 / 1:55
Depot: 0:25 / 0:40 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:50
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:58 / 4:05 / 4:07
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:19 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:36
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:35 / 1:39
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45

Total time cut: 10 seconds.

Top 10 for 31st December 2014:
Ace
Marc
Clemens
Boss
Luke Szklarz
Goose
Illu
Jim Barret
Shawn Johnson
Jimmy Bauer

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Wouter Jansen on December 31, 2013, 07:21:55 am

Silo SA 1:07

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: flicker on December 31, 2013, 07:28:12 am

Surface 1 SA 147
Bunker 1 SA 20
Silo A 100
Silo SA 108
Silo 00 121
Frigate SA 100
Statue A 218
Archives 00 53
Streets SA 154
Train 00 149
Control 00 406
Caverns SA 118
Cradle 00 35
Aztec SA 134


1 ace
1 marc
3 clemens
4 luke
5 boss
6 goose
7 illu
8 karl
9 jim
10 alex comeback to ILs :kappa:

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: AZ on December 31, 2013, 07:55:26 am

Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:52 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:20 (Ace) / 1:02
Silo: 1:00 / 1:08 / 1:22
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:00 (Pettit) / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:19 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:53
Streets: 1:12 / 1:55/ 1:55
Depot: 0:25 / 0:40 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:50
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:58 / 4:05 / 4:07
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:19 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:36 (0:35 won't happen)
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:35 / 1:39
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45

Top 10:

1. Rayan I.
2. Marc Rützou
3. David Clemens
4. Bryan Bosshardt
5. Luke Szklarz
6. Jimmy Bauer (he will be back, as always)
7. Ryan White
8. Ilari Pekkala
9. Jim Barrett
10. Guilherme Alberto (currently 17 points from Shawn, neither of them will play (Alberto might), and will eventually pass Shawn anyway)

Nominations and why they won't get in the top 10:

Cervone - won't play/play 1-2 levels
Lovins - might play 1 or 2 levels but is not coming back for real
Koch - might be 12th by the end of the year
Axel Z - lol
Wouter - might go for 1 or 2 WRs
Pettit - dislikes getting WRs on every level except Frigate
Eise Smit - very good player, but lazy
Alex - also lazy (and very good), might improve his ranking though, but doesn't really care about normal mode anymore
Karl - cba to grind all levels seriously
Henrik - same, laziest player of all probably, too busy TASing and coming up with new strats etc
Adam Moore - if he had NTSC, I'd predict him for top 10. He is that good.
Lockwood - too proud of his N/As
Bezgoubov - same
Stefan Persson - will probably keep destroying my NTSC cart but cba to play all levels

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Wyst3r on December 31, 2013, 09:55:10 am

:kappa:

Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:52 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:20 / 1:02
Silo: 1:00 / 1:08 / 1:22
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:00 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:54
Streets: 1:12 / 1:54/ 1:54
Depot: 0:25 / 0:40 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:50
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:57 / 4:05 / 4:06
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:18 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:35
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:35 / 1:39
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45

Top 10:

1. Rayan I.
2. Marc Rützou
3. David Clemens
4. Luke Szklarz
5. Bryan Bosshardt
6. Ryan White
7. Jimmy Bauer
8. Ilari Pekkala
9. Jim Barrett
10. Eise Smit

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Time was untied when set. on December 31, 2013, 01:32:22 pm

 :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: :nesquik: 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Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: flukey lukey on December 31, 2013, 02:21:46 pm

I spent a few seconds trying to find the hidden kappa in that field of nesquik, cheers for wasting my life

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Jimbo on December 31, 2013, 03:15:11 pm

Gonna take my own crack at this, although I suck normally:

Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:52 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:20 / 1:02
Silo: 1:00 / 1:08 / 1:21
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:01 / 1:04 (00A untied, but not SA...)
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:19 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:54
Streets: 1:12 / 1:55 / 1:55
Depot: 0:25 / 0:39 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:50
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:57 / 4:05 / 4:05 (glass or nothing)
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:19 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:36 (Cradle won't get touched)
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:35 / 1:39
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45

Top 10:

1. Rayan I.
2. Marc Rutzou
3. David Clemens
4. Bryan Bosshardt
5. Luke Szklarz
6. Ryan White
7. Ilari Pekkala
8. Jim Barrett
9. Jimmy Bauer
10. Ryan Lockwood

If Jimmy never plays another minute of Goldeneye, I'm fairly confident I can pass him this year. If he plays, I'm screwed obviously. If Woody stops being a lazy sob and plays all the levels, he should be almost a lock for 10th.

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Thiradell on December 31, 2013, 03:30:05 pm

Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:52 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:20 / 1:01
Silo: 1:00 / 1:08 / 1:20
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:01 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:54
Streets: 1:12 / 1:55 / 1:55
Depot: 0:25 / 0:39 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:50
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:58 / 4:05 / 4:07
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:18 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:36
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:35 / 1:39
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45

Time Cut: 9 seconds

Top 10:

1. Marc Rutzou
2. Rayan I.
3. David Clemens
4. Luke Szklarz
5. Bryan Bosshardt
6. Ryan White
7. Jimmy Bauer
8. Jim Barrett
9. Ilari Pekkala
10. Shawn Johnson

Who knows on WRs lol. For top 10 I guess I'm predding Marc to play a lot, Ace to play very little or not at all, Clemens retired, Luke continues being active, Boss is inactive, Goose stays active enough to hold off Jimmy, Jimbo plays enough to pass Illu who's inactive, and Shawn plays enough to stay in the top 10 ahead of whoever might challenge.

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: RWG on December 31, 2013, 03:30:40 pm

Here is my long awaited prediction

WRs, December 31, 2014

Dam: 0:52 / 1:16 / 1:55 (I will predict 52 every year until it happens, 1:16 will be tied)
Facility: 0:43 / 0:51 / 0:52 (Ace wants 51 too badly)
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:21 / 1:01 (I hope to get my Lockwoodian revenge)
Silo: 1:00 / 1:07 / 1:21  (MR RW RW untieds, Luke *might* have 1:08 temporarily)
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:01 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54 (Marc, Clem or Luke tie 00A)
Statue: 2:19 / 2:18 / 2:18 (2:18 A may never happen)
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:54
Streets: 1:12 / 1:54 / 1:55 (RW untied)
Depot: 0:25 / 0:40 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:49 (Ace will tie 58/123, untie 149, OR Marc will get it in an attempt to hold on to his Train mastery)
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54 (53 goes another year untied)
Control: 3:58 / 4:05 / 4:06 (Ace)
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:19 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:36 (35 is not happening this year, maybe in 2017)
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:35 / 1:39
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45

Total Time 1:12:23


Top 10, December 31, 2014

1. Rayan I.
2. Marc Rützou
3. David Clemens
4. Bryan Bosshardt
5. Luke Szklarz
6. Ryan White
7. Ilari Pekkala
8. Ryan Lockwood
9. Jimmy Bauer
10. Jim Barrett


Overall thoughts;

I have weird untieds listed, 3 of which I hope to get.  In 2014 I will be able to play GE as, at least, a part time job earning $20/hr +.  I hope this helps my quest in going for some of these untieds.  Any of the 3 I predict I get, could be achieved by others (maybe not Silo SA 107, but 108 could.)

I can predict myself far better than I can predict others.  None of Ace, Clemens or Marc have shown great interest in continuing to play GE for hundreds and thousands of hours.  This makes predicting untied WRs very difficult.

Luke certainly has the skill to get an untied, but it's more than that.  I compare getting an untied to winning a championship in sports.  So much has to go right to get it.  Timing, strategy improvements, competition at the moment, your life situation that week, etc.

I want to predict both Lockood and MirrorMage for top 10.  Both of them have the skill.  Phil is still young and in school, and it might be hard for him to get all the time he needs to break into the top 10.  Lockwood has this though, and I firmly believe he will be there.

I've found predicting perennial veterans like Eise, Karl, etc, has never been fruitful.  These are never the kinds of guys who break into the top 10.  Guiga could make some sort of stand but it's too unpredictable.

Happy New Year everyone!

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: bcks on December 31, 2013, 03:54:37 pm

Not that  many people pushing for both 53 archives new strat, if 00 happens, sa is gonna follow.

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Adam_B on December 31, 2013, 05:39:59 pm

Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:51 / 0:51
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:20 / 1:02
Silo: 1:01 / 1:09 / 1:22
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:00 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:19 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:53 / 0:53
Streets: 1:12 / 1:55 / 1:55
Depot: 0:25 / 0:40 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:50
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:58 / 4:05 / 4:07
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:19 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:36
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:35 / 1:39
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45

1. Rayan I.
2. Marc Rützou
3. David Clemens
4. Luke Szklarz
5. Bryan Bosshardt
6. Ryan White
7. Jim Barrett
8. Jimmy Bauer
9. Ilari Pekkala
10. Eise Smit

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Time was untied when set. on December 31, 2013, 07:28:12 pm

Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:52 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:47 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:21 / 1:02
Silo: 1:00 / 1:08 / 1:20
Frigate: 0:23 / 0:59 / 1:04
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:19 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:54
Streets: 1:12 / 1:54 / 1:54
Depot: 0:25 / 0:40 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:50
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:57 / 4:05 / 4:07
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:19 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:35
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:33 / 1:38
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45


 Top 10

1. Rayan I.
2. Marc Rützou
3. David Clemens
4. Bryan Bosshardt
5. Luke Szklarz
6. Ryan Lockwood
7. Ryan White
8. Jim Barrett
9.Jimmy Bauer
10. Mirror Mage

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Infected Mind on December 31, 2013, 07:51:23 pm

Quote from: casual speedrusher on December 31, 2013, 07:28:12 pm

Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:52 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:47 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:21 / 1:01
Silo: 1:00 / 1:08 / 1:20
Frigate: 0:23 / 0:59 / 1:04
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:19 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:54
Streets: 1:12 / 1:54 / 1:54
Depot: 0:25 / 0:40 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:50
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:57 / 4:05 / 4:07
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:19 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:35
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:33 / 1:38
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45


 Top 10

1. Rayan I.
2. Marc Rützou
3. David Clemens
4. Luke Szklarz
5. Bryan Bosshardt
6. Ryan Lockwood
7. Ryan White
8. Jim Barrett
9.Jimmy Bauer
10. Mirror Mage

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Funky_Buddha on December 31, 2013, 10:41:54 pm

WRs:

Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:52 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:21 / 1:02
Silo: 1:00 / 1:08 / 1:21
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:00 / 1:04
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:19 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:53 / 0:53
Streets: 1:12 / 1:55 / 1:55
Depot: 0:25 / 0:40 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:50
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:58 / 4:05 / 4:07
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:18 / 1:29
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:35
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:34 / 1:39
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45


Top 10

1. Ace
2. Marc
3. David
4. Szklarz
5. Boss
6. Goose
7. Lockwood
8. Illu
9. Karl
10. Bauer

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Lark on December 31, 2013, 11:55:00 pm

1. Ace
2. Marc
3. David
4. Szklarz
5. Boss
6. Goose
7. Illu
8. Jimbo
9. Bauer
10. Lockwood

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: speedruntrainer on January 01, 2014, 11:56:06 am

Quote from: Luke Aidan Szklarz on December 31, 2013, 02:21:46 pm

I spent a few seconds trying to find the hidden kappa in that field of nesquik, cheers for wasting my life

:kappa:

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: DYM on January 01, 2014, 12:00:03 pm

He edited his post with a Kappa, try finding it now.

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: DYM on January 01, 2014, 12:24:57 pm

Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:51 / 0:52 ; Clemens and Marc get 43/52/52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35 ; unsure about 34, Cliff is pretty reclusive too
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48 ; if Marc grinds this level like he did with Statue 1:47 will happen but I doubt it
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:20 / 1:02
Silo: 1:00 / 1:08 / 1:21 ; Marc gets 100, skips 109 (or Luke or Goose get 108), idk about 1:21
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:00 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54 ; 54 gets tied, 23 might
Statue: 2:19 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:54
Streets: 1:12 / 1:55 / 1:55 ; people get low 155s and quit :kappa:
Depot: 0:25 / 0:40 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:50
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54 ; (some of) these get tied
Control: 3:57 / 4:05 / 4:06
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:19 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:35
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:33 / 1:38 ; new strat + BA on SA, don't know about 00A but a clean run with current strat can even get 137
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45

Top 10

1. Marc Rützou
2. Rayan I.
3. David Clemens
4. Bryan Bosshardt
5. Luke Szklarz
6. Ryan White
7. Ilari Pekkala
8. Jimmy Bauer
9. Karl Jobst
10.  Jim Barrett

Luke gets close to Boss but doesn't pass him.
Eise will make top 10 if he keeps it up and isn't bad at bad levels.
Karl is top 10 if he has more than 30 minutes per week.
Lockwood is top 10 if he grinds every level. I don't see him doing that in one year, although who knows. Clemens did that in 2007.

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: PerfectTaste on January 01, 2014, 02:47:49 pm

Quote from: AxZ on December 31, 2013, 07:55:26 am

Nominations and why they won't get in the top 10:

Cervone - won't play/play 1-2 levels
Lovins - might play 1 or 2 levels but is not coming back for real
Koch - might be 12th by the end of the year
Axel Z - lol
Wouter - might go for 1 or 2 WRs
Pettit - dislikes getting WRs on every level except Frigate
Eise Smit - very good player, but lazy
Alex - also lazy (and very good), might improve his ranking though, but doesn't really care about normal mode anymore
Karl - cba to grind all levels seriously
Henrik - same, laziest player of all probably, too busy TASing and coming up with new strats etc
Adam Moore - if he had NTSC, I'd predict him for top 10. He is that good.
Lockwood - too proud of his N/As
Bezgoubov - same
Stefan Persson - will probably keep destroying my NTSC cart but cba to play all levels

Not in the won't get in the top 10-list :kappa:

Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:51 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:47 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:20 / 1:02
Silo: 1:00 / 1:08 / 1:21
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:00 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:53 / 0:53
Streets: 1:12 / 1:55 / 1:55
Depot: 0:25 / 0:40 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:50
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:57 / 4:05 / 4:07
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:18 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:35
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:35 / 1:39
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45

New Untieds: 13 (-13 seconds)
New Total Time: 1:12:20

1. Rayan I.
2. Marc Rützou
3. David Clemens
4. Luke Szklarz
5. Bryan Bosshardt
6. Ryan White
7. Ilari Pekkala
8. Jim Barrett
9. Jimmy Bauer
10. Karl Jobst

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Darth Vader on January 01, 2014, 04:27:37 pm

Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:51 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:20 / 1:02
Silo: 1:01 / 1:08 / 1:22
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:00 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:53
Streets: 1:12 / 1:55 / 1:55 (People will fail the myth of the Streets 154 until i get it in 2015)
Depot: 0:25 / 0:40 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:50
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:58 / 4:05 / 4:06
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:19 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:36
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:34 / 1:39
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: RK on January 02, 2014, 10:51:42 pm

Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:52 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:21 / 1:02
Silo: 1:00 / 1:08 / 1:21
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:01 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:19 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:54
Streets: 1:12 / 1:55 / 1:55
Depot: 0:25 / 0:40 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:50
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:57 / 4:05 / 4:07
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:18 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:36
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:35 / 1:39
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45


1. NesquikBunny (Ace)
2. Marky Rützou
3. Elite SAMEDI
4. dat homeonice
5. Boss
6. Goose
7. mayaillu
8. CreepingDeath1337
9. Eise Smit
10. Jim Barrett

Ruin my preds, Lockwood.

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: OHMSS on January 03, 2014, 11:28:27 am

Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:51 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:47 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:20 / 1:02
Silo: 1:00 / 1:08 / 1:22
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:00 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:19 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:53
Streets: 1:12 / 1:55 / 1:55
Depot: 0:25 / 0:40 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:50
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:57 / 4:05 / 4:06
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:18 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:35
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:35 / 1:39
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45

1. Rayan
2. Marc
3. Clemens
4. Luke S
5. Boss
6. Karl
7. Goose
8. Illu
9. Eise
10. Bauer

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: flukey lukey on January 03, 2014, 10:38:12 pm

WRs, December 31, 2014

Dam: 0:52 / 1:16 / 1:55 (2014 is the year of the 52, Illu gets it)
Facility: 0:43 / 0:51 / 0:52 (I tie 52 and Ace goes and cakes 51 the next day)
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:34 (dat CH)
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:20 / 1:02 (Ace gets 20, Goose ties 102 on an insane 101 pace run with a missed warp)
Silo: 1:00 / 1:08 / 1:21  (Either Goose gets 108 or I beat him to it)
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:00 / 1:05 (LP takes it to the house)
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:24 (Clem's comeback and masterpiece)
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:53 (Marc clutches an insane run)
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18 (Marc gets 2:18 on a lol run)
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:54 (53 will never happen)
Streets: 1:12 / 1:55 / 1:55 (Goose gets a 154.99 rounded up completing the Streets myth)
Depot: 0:25 / 0:39 / 0:47 (Monteith returns as an alter-ego and gets 39)
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:50 (58 might be tied by Ace, 123 is never tied, Marc goes for 149 for 90 hours but gives up)
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54 (53 goes another year untied)
Control: 3:58 / 4:05 / 4:06 (Ace untied, then Marc ties shortly after)
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:18 / 1:31 (1:18 happens in December)
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:35 (Ace gets bored and gets 35 00a in an 8 hours session)
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:34 / 1:38 (Marc stops the sweet potential, Ace improves his 00A untied)
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45 (44 never happens)

Total Time 1:12:23


Top 10, December 31, 2014

1. Rayan I. - still holds a good lead
2. Marc Rützou - makes it past the clem
3. David Clemens - plays SM most of 2014
4. Bryan Bosshardt - returns to goldeneye late in the year to grab the Egypt 45's
5. Luke Szklarz - nearly passes boss
6. Ryan White - gets a few nice WRs, possibly an untied, Train 00A still stays at 2:01
7. Ilari Pekkala - gets archives 54s and then Dam 0:52
8. Ryan Lockwood - Keeps at it all year, gets to 5th on the WR ranks and plays all the levels
9. Jim Barrett - Holds his own in 2014, finally gets a 0 pt pr
10. Karl Jobst - Mans up and plays all levels. also promised me that he would be in the top 10 by the end of the year so I'm counting on you to keep that promise.

PS: It is entirely possible that 0 of the untieds I predicted actually happen :nesquik:

PPS: Wodah Makes top 20, gets his first WR.
Phil beats an Ace / Clem time, makes top 50.
Eise Makes top 10 for a bit but is knocked out before the years' end. Ends up in 11th.
Henrik gets some more WRs but doesn't make a push for top 10.

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: OHMSS on April 30, 2014, 06:26:25 am

Quote from: OHMSS on January 03, 2014, 11:28:27 am

1. Rayan
2. Marc
3. Clemens
4. Luke S
5. Boss
6. Karl
7. Goose
8. Illu
9. Eise
10. Bauer

(https://forums.the-elite.net/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.chatslang.com%2Fimages%2Fshortcuts%2Ftwitch%2Fadmins%2Fkreygasm.png&hash=9a725502a75b5e6de81572ef45002107490d61d5) (https://forums.the-elite.net/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.chatslang.com%2Fimages%2Fshortcuts%2Ftwitch%2Fadmins%2Fkreygasm.png&hash=9a725502a75b5e6de81572ef45002107490d61d5) (https://forums.the-elite.net/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.chatslang.com%2Fimages%2Fshortcuts%2Ftwitch%2Fadmins%2Fkreygasm.png&hash=9a725502a75b5e6de81572ef45002107490d61d5) (https://forums.the-elite.net/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.chatslang.com%2Fimages%2Fshortcuts%2Ftwitch%2Fadmins%2Fkreygasm.png&hash=9a725502a75b5e6de81572ef45002107490d61d5) (https://forums.the-elite.net/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.chatslang.com%2Fimages%2Fshortcuts%2Ftwitch%2Fadmins%2Fkreygasm.png&hash=9a725502a75b5e6de81572ef45002107490d61d5)

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Wody on April 30, 2014, 07:06:49 am

Axel Z -

Lockwood - too proud of his N/As
Bezgoubov - same

lol just saw this

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Darth Vader on May 01, 2014, 04:15:55 pm

I have literally trolled everyone by retiring in 2014 and stay in 3rd. place.

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: flukey lukey on May 01, 2014, 04:19:18 pm

where da retirement topic? :kappa:

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Funky_Buddha on May 02, 2014, 01:31:55 am

Quote from: Marc Rützou on May 01, 2014, 04:15:55 pm

I have literally trolled everyone by retiring in 2014 and stay in 3rd. place.

Actually, if the competition is to be the most accurate then you've left everyone on equal footing, trolling nobody.

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Aztec Exemplar on May 02, 2014, 01:57:27 am

Couldn't pass Clem so he retired.

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: DYM on May 02, 2014, 02:11:27 am

Couple of new rules:

Everyone's Control preds get lowered by 1sec because of the new strat
Caverns SA new strat is assumed to save 4s, so everyone's pred there gets lowered by 4s

:nesquik: !

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Wouter Jansen on May 02, 2014, 10:28:19 am

111 fail is 115 old strat pace?

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: 50 on May 02, 2014, 04:18:50 pm

Quote from: homeonice on May 01, 2014, 04:19:18 pm

where da retirement topic? :kappa:

:kappa::kappa:

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Jimbo on September 02, 2014, 03:26:19 am

Quote from: Wyst3r on December 31, 2013, 09:55:10 am

:kappa:

Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:52 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:20 / 1:02
Silo: 1:00 / 1:08 / 1:22
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:00 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:54
Streets: 1:12 / 1:54/ 1:54
Depot: 0:25 / 0:40 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:50
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:57 / 4:05 / 4:06
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:18 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:35
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:35 / 1:39
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45

Top 10:

1. Rayan I.
2. Marc Rützou
3. David Clemens
4. Luke Szklarz
5. Bryan Bosshardt
6. Ryan White
7. Jimmy Bauer
8. Ilari Pekkala
9. Jim Barrett
10. Eise Smit

Randomly bumping this for entertainment sake. I was randomly checking this out and was very impressed at Henrik's prediction here, basically nailed Eise in 11th (no one expected Karl I guess) as a bonus. Marc prob takes over 2nd as well by the end of the year. Well done mate!

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: OHMSS on September 02, 2014, 03:34:49 am

Quote from: Jimbo on September 02, 2014, 03:26:19 am

no one expected Karl I guess

You could read the topic instead of making uneducated guesses ;)

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: RWG on September 02, 2014, 03:56:05 am

yeah Marc isn't taking 2nd by the end of the year

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Aztec Exemplar on September 02, 2014, 04:02:19 am

My preds were pretty good except for the top 10 pred.

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: Wyst3r on September 02, 2014, 05:47:02 am

Flicker probably has the best untied prediction list so far:

Quote

Surface 1 SA 147
Bunker 1 SA 20
Silo A 100
Silo SA 108
Silo 00 121
Frigate SA 100
Statue A 218
Archives 00 53
Streets SA 154
Train 00 149
Control 00 406
Caverns SA 118
Cradle 00 35
Aztec SA 134

9 perfect guesses + 2 correctly guesses levels (new strats ruining the time) out of 14 guesses total.

Title: Re: 2014 Sylvester Tip
Post by: DYM on January 05, 2015, 10:09:06 am

Results

Number Of Correct Times Predicted (Out Of 60):

1. MirrorMage - 51 correct times
1. Henrik - 51 correct times
3. Koch - 50 correct times
4. Ace - 49 correct times
4. Goose - 49 correct times
4. FB - 49 correct times
4. Marc - 49 correct times
8. AZ - 48 correct times
8. Patrik - 48 correct times
10. Jimbo - 47 correct times
10. Thiradell - 47 correct times
10. Clemens - 47 correct times
10. Alex - 47 correct times
10. OHMSS - 47 correct times
10. Deep Darkness - 47 correct times
16. Luke - 46 correct times
17. Bozon - 44 correct times

Untieds (13 total happened in 2014):

Flicker   9 correct, 5 wrong   (64%)
AZ   3 correct, 2 wrong   (60%)
Koch   3 correct, 2 wrong   (60%)
Marc   4 correct, 3 wrong   (57%)
Henrik   6 correct, 5 wrong   (55%)
Mirror    9 correct, 8 wrong   (53%)
DD   5 correct, 5 wrong   (50%)
Jimbo   4 correct, 4 wrong   (50%)
Goose   4 correct, 4 wrong   (50%)
Luke   6 correct, 7 wrong   (46%)
Patrik   6 correct, 7 wrong   (46%)
FB   5 correct, 6 wrong   (45%)
Ace   5 correct, 6 wrong   (45%)
OHMSS   4 correct, 5 wrong   (44%)
Third   3 correct, 5 wrong   (38%)
Clemens   4 correct, 7 wrong   (36%)
Alex   4 correct, 7 wrong   (36%)
Bozon   1 correct, 5 wrong   (17%)
Wouter   0 correct, 1 wrong   (0%)

Congrats to our Sylvester Tip Winners! The previous champ was Goose who was 1st in both of these categories last year.

Most of the guesses were really good with several correctly picking Silo 1:00/1:08/1:21. A lot of people also correctly predicted Frigate 1:00 and kept 1:05. Almost everyone predicted Facility 0:51 and Bunker 1 0:20, neither of which happened this year. There were quite a few who assumed Archives (00A) 0:53 would happen, probably because it was heavily played in the last week of 2013. Unfortunately everyone got screwed by the Control and Caverns new strats. For most this meant 3-4 predictions went down the drain. 3:57/4:05/4:06 and 1:19 would have probably been the WRs otherwise.