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The Big Three Plus One => General Chat => Topic started by: DYM on September 27, 2019, 12:00:30 pm

Title: What are the odds...
Post by: DYM on September 27, 2019, 12:00:30 pm
..that the following players are in K4? Put a % next to their names. After the predictions are in, I'll gather the results and do some statistical analysis so you can see who everyone thinks the most likely (and least likely) hoarders are!

Here is the template you can use:

Ace -
Banz -
berg -
Bezgoubov -
Birdie -
BK -
Boss -
Clemens -
CW -
Dr. Light -
Dusky -
eclout -
Eise Smit -
Flechr -
Flicker -
FOrK -
FrostHops -
Glover -
Goose -
Grav -
Greenounet -
Gus -
Happens -
Harry Coupe -
Haydos -
Henrik -
Huzi -
Icy -
Illu -
irie -
JD -
Jezz -
Jimbo -
Jono -
Joris -
Justin Trudeau -
Kev B. -
Kyto -
Lake Demon -
Lockwood -
Luke Szklarz -
Marc -
mcgarbage -
Mike Mintt -
Mike MustDash -
Mop -
mw -
Ogran -
Pauliwood -
Pogo -
Ragequit -
Randy C -
rare/Joey D -
Redscreens -
Ricky -
Sam Fisher -
SammoSammy -
Sammy Rodgers -
Sharpay -
Spagooda -
Swiss -
T+ -
Tabercorn -
TimTamz -
Toasty -
TOP dude -
TroubleClef -
vitor -
w00ter -
Wally -
whiteted -
Wodahs -
Yendis -
Title: Re: What are the odds...
Post by: Sharpeye468 on September 27, 2019, 12:01:47 pm
Dusky - 100%
Ricky - 100%
Sharpay - 0%
Spagooda - 0%

Just gotta go with the safe options.
Title: Re: What are the odds...
Post by: MadmanFlechr on September 27, 2019, 12:07:08 pm
Ace - 0%
Banz - 0%
berg - 0%
Bezgoubov - 0%
Birdie - 0%
BK - 20%
Boss - 0%
Clemens - 0%
CW - 0%
Dr. Light - 50%
Dusky - literally 100% lol
eclout - 0%
Eise Smit - 0%
Flechr - 0%
Flicker - 0%
FOrK - 0%
FrostHops - 0%
Glover - 0%
Goose - 0%
Grav - 0%
Greenounet - 0%
Gus - 0%
Happens - 10%
Harry Coupe - 10%
Haydos - 25%
Henrik - 0%
Huzi - 0%
Icy - 1%
Illu - 0%
irie - 1%
JD - 50%
Jezz - 0%
Jimbo - 0%
Jono - 0%
Joris - 10%
Justin Trudeau - 0%
Kev B. - 0%
Kyto - 0%
Lake Demon - 1%
Lockwood - 0%
Luke Szklarz - 0%
Marc - 0%
mcgarbage - 25%
Mike Mintt - 0%
Mike MustDash - 0%
Mop - 0%
mw - 0%
Ogran - 0%
Pauliwood - 1%
Pogo - 0%
Ragequit - 0%
Randy C - 25%
rare/Joey D - 0%
Redscreens - 0%
Ricky - literally also 100% lmao
Sam Fisher - 0%
SammoSammy - 0%
Sammy Rodgers - 10%
Sharpay - 0%
Spagooda - 0%
Swiss - 0%
T+ - 10%
Tabercorn - 0%
TimTamz - 0%
Toasty - 0%
TOP dude - 0%
TroubleClef - 0%
vitor - 0%
w00ter - 0%
Wally - 0%
whiteted - 0%
Wodahs - 0%
Yendis - 50%
Title: Re: What are the odds...
Post by: BK on September 27, 2019, 03:59:37 pm
Ace - 5%
Banz - 5%
berg - 21%
Bezgoubov - 0%
Birdie - 20%
BK -  :pimp:
Boss - -15%
Clemens - 0%
CW - 30%
Dr. Light - 50%
Dusky - 100%
eclout - 0%
Eise Smit - 0%
Flechr - 25%
Flicker - 25%
FOrK - 10%
FrostHops - 22%
Glover - 14%
Goose - 60%
Grav - 0%
Greenounet - 80%
Gus - 90%
Happens - 0%
Harry Coupe - 0%
Haydos - 44%
Henrik - 56%
Huzi - 0%
Icy - 12%
Illu - 0%
irie - 0%
JD - 13%
Jezz - 7%
Jimbo - bah!
Jono - 85%
Joris - 80%
Justin Trudeau - 0.01%
Kev B. - 5%
Kyto - 5%
Lake Demon - 75%
Lockwood - 1.12%
Luke Szklarz - 75%
Marc - 0%
mcgarbage - 4%
Mike Mintt - 46%
Mike MustDash - 0%
Mop - 33%
mw - 0%
Ogran - 0%
Pauliwood - 99%
Pogo - 0%
Ragequit - 0%
Randy C - 41%
rare/Joey D - 24%
Redscreens - 0%
Ricky - 100%
Sam Fisher - 51%
SammoSammy - 0% (we miss you)
Sammy Rodgers - 45%
Sharpay - 100% (if discord screenshots count)
Spagooda - 0%
Swiss - 89%
T+ - 0%
Tabercorn - 0%
TimTamz - 0%
Toasty - 15%
TOP dude - 0%
TroubleClef - 0%
vitor - 0%
w00ter - 12%
Wally - 28%
whiteted - 21%
Wodahs - 90%
Yendis - 43%
Title: Re: What are the odds...
Post by: Pauliwood on September 27, 2019, 07:12:57 pm
Ace - 0%
Banz - 0%
berg - -21%
Bezgoubov - 0%
Birdie - 7%
BK - 33%
Boss - 0%
Clemens - 0%
CW - 100%
Dr. Light - 75%
Dusky - 100%
eclout - 0%
Eise Smit - 0%
Flechr - 0%
Flicker - 0%
FOrK - 0%
FrostHops - Hostages%
Glover - 14%
Goose - 0%
Grav - 0%
Greenounet - 80%
Gus - 100%
Happens - 0%
Harry Coupe - 0%
Haydos - 44%
Henrik - 56%
Huzi - 0%
Icy - 99%
Illu - 0%
irie - 0%
JD - 0%
Jezz - 0%
Jimbo - 0%
Jono - 33%
Joris - 42%
Justin Trudeau - 0%
Kev B. - 0%
Kyto - 0%
Lake Demon - 0%
Lockwood - 0%
Luke Szklarz - 0%
Marc - 0%
mcgarbage - 0%
Mike Mintt - 0%
Mike MustDash - 5%
Mop - 0%
mw - 0%
Ogran - 0%
Pauliwood - who
Pogo - 0%
Ragequit - 0%
Randy C - 0%
rare/Joey D - 1%
Redscreens - 100%
Ricky - 100%
Sam Fisher - 0%
SammoSammy - 0%
Sammy Rodgers - 217%
Sharpay - 0%
Spagooda - 0%
Swiss - 0%
T+ - 0%
Tabercorn - 0%
TimTamz - 0%
Toasty - 30%
TOP dude - 0%
TroubleClef - 0%
vitor - 100%
w00ter - 50%
Wally - 0%
whiteted - 2.3%
Wodahs - 45%
Yendis - 99%
Title: Re: What are the odds...
Post by: flukey lukey on September 27, 2019, 07:24:47 pm
Ace - 0%
Banz - 2.5%
berg - 2%
Bezgoubov - 0%
Birdie - 7.5%
BK - 25%
Boss - 0.5%
Clemens - 0%
CW - 15%
Dr. Light - 60%
Dusky - 100%
eclout - 15%
Eise Smit - 0%
Flechr - 99.5%
Flicker - 33%
FOrK - 4%
FrostHops - 1%
Glover - 3%
Goose - 0%
Grav - 0%
Greenounet - 50%
Gus - 25%
Happens - 10%
Harry Coupe - 0%
Haydos - 5%
Henrik - 0%
Huzi - 2%
Icy - 0%
Illu - 0%
irie - 0.01%
JD - 17.5%
Jezz - 0%
Jimbo - 0%
Jono - 25%
Joris - 51%
Justin Trudeau - 0%
Kev B. - 33%
Kyto - 2%
Lake Demon - 0%
Lockwood - 0%
Luke Szklarz - 0%
Marc - 0%
mcgarbage - 12.5%
Mike Mintt - 1%
Mike MustDash - 0%
Mop - 0.5%
mw - 0.5%
Ogran - 1.5%
Pauliwood - 80%
Pogo - 4%
Ragequit - 6%
Randy C - 0.5%
rare/Joey D - 10%
Redscreens - 20%
Ricky - 100%
Sam Fisher - 0%
SammoSammy - 2%
Sammy Rodgers - 0%
Sharpay - 0%
Spagooda - 0%
Swiss - 5%
T+ - 2%
Tabercorn - 0%
TimTamz - 0%
Toasty - 3%
TOP dude - 1%
TroubleClef - 0%
vitor - 10%
w00ter - 0%
Wally - 7%
whiteted - 2%
Wodahs - 99.5%
Yendis - 66%
Title: Re: What are the odds...
Post by: Dr. Light on September 27, 2019, 07:41:48 pm
Ace - 0%
Banz - 0%
berg - 0%
Bezgoubov - 0%
Birdie - 10%
BK - 10%
Boss - 0%
Clemens - 0%
CW - 20%
Dr. Light - 50%
Dusky - 100%
eclout - 0%
Eise Smit - 0%
Flechr - 75%
Flicker - 0%
FOrK - 0%
FrostHops - 0%
Glover - 5%
Goose - 0%
Grav - 0%
Greenounet - 40%
Gus - 50%
Happens - 0%
Harry Coupe - 75%
Haydos - 60%
Henrik - 20%
Huzi - 0%
Icy - 25%
Illu - 5%
irie - 10%
JD - 35%
Jezz - 1%
Jimbo - 0%
Jono - 40%
Joris - 70%
Justin Trudeau - 0%
Kev B. - 5%
Kyto - 10%
Lake Demon - 55%
Lockwood - 0%
Luke Szklarz - 5%
Marc - 1%
mcgarbage - 25%
Mike Mintt - 0%
Mike MustDash - 0%
Mop - 0%
mw - 10%
Ogran - 0%
Pauliwood - 30%
Pogo - 0%
Ragequit - 30%
Randy C - 0%
rare/Joey D - this guy sucks 0%
Redscreens - 20%
Ricky - 100%
Sam Fisher - 0%
SammoSammy - 10%
Sammy Rodgers - 75%
Sharpay - 0%
Spagooda - 0%
Swiss - 5%
T+ - 10%
Tabercorn - 0%
TimTamz - 0%
Toasty - 0%
TOP dude - 0%
TroubleClef - 0%
vitor - 0%
w00ter - 1%
Wally - 10%
whiteted - 0%
Wodahs - 75%
Yendis - 40%

EDIT from 1 day before k4 on my final preds of whos in it.
Ricky
Dusky
Wodahs
Joris
Haydos
Sammy Rodgers
T+
Title: Re: What are the odds...
Post by: mw on September 27, 2019, 07:51:30 pm
ban hoarding
Title: Re: What are the odds...
Post by: Craig on September 27, 2019, 07:53:56 pm
Ace - 0%
Banz - 0%
berg - 0%
Bezgoubov - 0%
Birdie - 0%
BK - 0.4%
Boss - 0%
Clemens - 0%
CW - 48%
Dr. Light - 0%
Dusky - 100%
eclout - 0%
Eise Smit - 0%
Flechr - 0%
Flicker - 0%
FOrK - 0%
FrostHops - 66%
Glover - 0%
Goose - 0%
Grav - 0%
Greenounet - 78%
Gus - 73%
Happens - 0%
Harry Coupe - 0%
Haydos - 90%
Henrik - 0%
Huzi - 0%
Icy - 0.1%
Illu - 0%
irie - 0%
JD - 6%
Jezz - 0%
Jimbo - 0%
Jono - 13%
Joris - 58%
Justin Trudeau - 0%
Kev B. - 0%
Kyto - 0%
Lake Demon - 39%
Lockwood - 0%
Luke Szklarz - 0%
Marc - 0%
mcgarbage - 69%
Mike Mintt - 0%
Mike MustDash - 0%
Mop - 0%
mw - 0%
Ogran - 0%
Pauliwood - 2%
Pogo - 0%
Ragequit - 0%
Randy C - 0%
rare/Joey D - 0%
Redscreens - 0%
Ricky - 100%
Sam Fisher - 0%
SammoSammy - 0%
Sammy Rodgers - 13%
Sharpay - 0%
Spagooda - 0%
Swiss - 0%
T+ - 0%
Tabercorn - 0%
TimTamz - 0%
Toasty - 0%
TOP dude - 0%
TroubleClef - 0%
vitor - 40%
w00ter - 0%
Wally - 0%
whiteted - Negative%
Wodahs - 50%
Yendis - 10%
Title: Re: What are the odds...
Post by: JDBlack21 on September 27, 2019, 08:14:13 pm
Ace - 0%
Banz - 1%
berg - 0%
Bezgoubov - 0%
Birdie - 15%
BK - 20%
Boss - 5%
Clemens - 0%
CW - 25%
Dr. Light - 10%
Dusky - 100%
eclout -2%
Eise Smit - 0%
Flechr - 0%
Flicker - 1%
FOrK - 30%
FrostHops - 20%
Glover - 0%
Goose - 0%
Grav - 0%
Greenounet - 30%
Gus - 25%
Happens - 0%
Harry Coupe - 40%
Haydos - 30%
Henrik - 5%
Huzi - 0%
Icy - 3%
Illu - 0%
irie - 50%
JD - 5%
Jezz - 1%
Jimbo - 0%
Jono - 10%
Joris - 15%
Justin Trudeau - 0%
Kev B. - 0%
Kyto - 1%
Lake Demon - 40%
Lockwood - 0%
Luke Szklarz - 1%
Marc - 0%
mcgarbage - 1%
Mike Mintt - 0%
Mike MustDash - 0%
Mop - 0%
mw - 0%
Ogran - 5%
Pauliwood - 70%
Pogo - 10%
Ragequit - 0%
Randy C - 15%
rare/Joey D - negative 10000%
Redscreens - 5%
Ricky - 100%
Sam Fisher - 5%
SammoSammy - 20%
Sammy Rodgers - 10%
Sharpay - 0%
Spagooda - 0%
@Swiss - 1%
T+ - 1%
Tabercorn - 0%
TimTamz - 5%
Toasty - 1%
TOP dude - 0%
TroubleClef - 0%
vitor - 1%
w00ter - 1%
Wally - 5%
whiteted - 0%
Wodahs - 5%
Yendis - 15%

DENIS LUCID - 100%
Title: Re: What are the odds...
Post by: DYM on September 28, 2019, 02:36:06 am
Ace - 80% (I honestly believe he has a Control SA 4:01 in there)
Banz - 5%
berg - 15%
Bezgoubov - 0% (MOC)
Birdie - 40%
BK - 40%
Boss - 0%
Clemens - 0%
CW - 50%
Dr. Light - 75%
Dusky - 100%
eclout - 2%
Eise Smit - 2%
Flechr - 30%
Flicker - 1%
FOrK - 20%
FrostHops - 10%
Glover - 0%
Goose - 0%
Grav - 0%
Greenounet - 20%
Gus - 40%
Happens - 40%
Harry Coupe - 25%
Haydos - 0% (permanently retired into generacy)
Henrik - 0%
Huzi - 0%
Icy - 85%
Illu - 0%
irie - 0%
JD - 25%
Jezz - 0% (he was asked to be part of K4, but refused)
Jimbo - 0%
Jono - 30%
Joris - 45%
Justin Trudeau - 0%
Kev B. - 0%
Kyto - 10%
Lake Demon - 10%
Lockwood - 0%
Luke Szklarz - 4%
Marc - 0%
mcgarbage - 30%
Mike Mintt - 3%
Mike MustDash - ?
Mop - 1%
mw - 10%
Ogran - 0%
Pauliwood - 100000000000000000000000%
Pogo - 15%
Ragequit - 15%
Randy C - 30%
rare/Joey D - 1%
Redscreens - 25%
Ricky - 100%
Sam Fisher - 2%
SammoSammy - 25%
Sammy Rodgers - 10%
Sharpay - 0%
Spagooda - 0%
Swiss - 30%
T+ - 20%
Tabercorn - 0%
TimTamZ - 40% (staged his retirement for K4.. he could make a comeback, no one in the history of the-elite has been able to retire that way)
Toasty - 20%
TOP dude - 0% (I thought about Cradle 33s, but he's become too semi-generate now)
TroubleClef - 0%
vitor - 5%
w00ter - 0%
Wally - 20%
whiteted - 0%
Wodahs - 100000%
Yendis - 100000%
Title: Re: What are the odds...
Post by: deletedprofile.u on September 28, 2019, 09:33:05 am
DENIS LUCID - 100%

Roared @ this  :rollin:
Title: Re: What are the odds...
Post by: Alka Maass on September 28, 2019, 02:32:08 pm
Ace - 20%
Banz - 1%
berg - 1%
Bezgoubov - 20%
Birdie - 20%
BK - 51%
Boss - 1%
Clemens - 2%
CW - 5%
Dr. Light - 25%
Dusky - 100%
eclout - 1%
Eise Smit - 1%
Flechr - 6.9%
Flicker - 4.20%
FOrK - 10%
FrostHops - 15%
Glover - 1%
Goose - negative 0%
Grav - 0%
Greenounet - 20%
Gus - 20%
Happens - 2%
Harry Coupe - 2%
Haydos - 30%
Henrik - 5%
Huzi - 5%
Icy - 3%
Illu - 15%
irie - 5%
JD - 12.3%
Jezz - deadass 4.20%
Jimbo - 1%
Jono - 15%
Joris - 51%
Justin Trudeau - 0%
Kev B. - 6%
Kyto - 3%
Lake Demon - 40%
Lockwood - 3%
Luke Szklarz - 15%
Marc - (https://i.imgur.com/bIoJVVk.png)
mcgarbage - 26%
Mike Mintt - 20%
Mike MustDash - 1%
Mop - 3%
mw - 10%
Ogran - 15%
Pauliwood - 100%
Pogo - 30%
Ragequit - 15%
Randy C - 15%
rare/Joey D - 1%
Redscreens - 20%
Ricky - 100%
Sam Fisher - 10%
SammoSammy - 30%
Sammy Rodgers - 25%
Sharpay - 2%
Spagooda - 3%
Swiss - 45%
T+ - 1%
Tabercorn - 1%
TimTamz - 15%
Toasty - 1%
TOP dude - 1%
TroubleClef - 3%
vitor - 20%
w00ter - 2%
Wally - 8%
whiteted - chance of OOK working%
Wodahs - 30%
Yendis - 7%
Title: Re: What are the odds...
Post by: Yendis on September 28, 2019, 07:49:44 pm
EZ CLAP  :glasses:
Ace - 0%
Banz -0%
berg - 0%
Bezgoubov - 0%
Birdie - 0%
BK - 0%
Boss - 0%
Clemens -0%
CW - 0%
Dr. Light - 0%
Dusky - 100%
eclout - 0%
Eise Smit - 0%
Flechr - 30%
Flicker - 60%
FOrK - 0%
FrostHops - 50%
Glover - 7%
Goose - 0%
Grav - 0%
Greenounet - 80%
Gus - 70%
Happens - 0%
Harry Coupe - -30%
Haydos - 20%
Henrik - 0%
Huzi - 1%
Icy - 4%
Illu - 3%
irie - 1%
JD - 70%
Jezz - 2%
Jimbo - 0%
Jono -90%
Joris -75%
Justin Trudeau - 0.00000001%
Kev B. - 30%
Kyto - 60%
Lake Demon - 50%
Lockwood - 1%
Luke Szklarz - 80%
Marc - 0%
mcgarbage - 10%
Mike Mintt - 0%
Mike MustDash - 0%
Mop - 0%
mw - 0.0000%
Ogran - 10%
Pauliwood -100%
Pogo - 3%
Ragequit - 56%
Randy C - 0%
rare/Joey D - 2%
Redscreens - 10%
Ricky - 100%
Sam Fisher - 3%
SammoSammy -6%
Sammy Rodgers - 68%
Sharpay -  -10%
Spagooda -10%
Swiss - 30%
T+ - 50%
Tabercorn - 0%
TimTamz - 2%
Toasty - 0%
TOP dude - 0%
TroubleClef - 0%
vitor - 95%
w00ter - 0%
Wally - 30%
whiteted - 30%
Wodahs - 90%
Yendis - 100%
Title: Re: What are the odds...
Post by: Wouter Jansen on October 01, 2019, 12:34:48 pm
I would like to see your statistical analysis on the odds of the Agent WRs on the first 2 stages being untied on a game as popular and old as GE

Thread doom-switch - Confirmed people are faked confirms
Title: Re: What are the odds...
Post by: AZ on October 01, 2019, 12:38:54 pm
Ace - 0.5%
Banz - 0%
berg - 0%
Bezgoubov - 0%
Birdie - 1%
BK - 40%
Boss - 0%
Clemens - 2%
CW - 0%
Dr. Light - 25%
Dusky - 100%
eclout - 0%
Eise Smit - -3000%
Flechr - 10%
Flicker - 15%
FOrK - 0%
FrostHops - 0%
Glover - 0%
Goose - 0%
Grav - 0%
Greenounet - 1%
Gus - 0%
Happens - 40%
Harry Coupe - 20%
Haydos - 5%
Henrik - 0%
Huzi - 0%
Icy - 7%
Illu - 0%
irie - 1%
JD - 30%
Jezz - 0%
Jimbo - 0%
Jono - 0%
Joris - 20%
Justin Trudeau - 0%
Kev B. - 0%
Kyto - 2%
Lake Demon - 3%
Lockwood - 0%
Luke Szklarz - 4%
Marc - 0%
mcgarbage - 45%
Mike Mintt - 0%
Mike MustDash - 0%
Mop - 0%
mw - 0%
Ogran - 0%
Pauliwood - 15%
Pogo - 0%
Ragequit - 0%
Randy C - 25%
rare/Joey D - 0%
Redscreens - 0%
Ricky - 100%
Sam Fisher - 0%
SammoSammy - 0%
Sammy Rodgers - 10%
Sharpay - 0%
Spagooda - 0%
Swiss - 10%
T+ - 8%
Tabercorn - 0%
TimTamz - 0%
Toasty - 0%
TOP dude - 0%
TroubleClef - 0%
vitor - 0%
w00ter - 0%
Wally - 0%
whiteted - 0%
Wodahs - 1%
Yendis - 25%