The Elite Forum
Nonsense Time => FFA => Topic started by: taber on November 15, 2021, 10:35:29 pm
-
Although the Elite seems to enjoy making insane predictions, I find that most of the time I don't hear when these predictions come true. Recently Goose was the only one to accurately predict when Alluring Fairy would reach top 3 in the PD rankings. What are some other cases of bold and accurate predictions?
My best pred was only partially right, but I still think it's worth pointing out:
From the 2019 Prediction thread:
Useful out of bounds is discovered on one 00A stage, but only saves 1.3 second if done perfectly and is just barely viable with good RNG, leading to 40 players racing for the untied for weeks. JDBlack somehow gets it with an insane reaction and Dusky ties it a day later but is pissed off because he thought he had a chance at cutting off another second.
Nearly two years later JD would get an untied on an 00a stage using a gold rush strategy. So I was bit off on the year and a lot of the specifics, but a good chunk of it ended up being true. Even more remarkable was that JD wasn't even a household name back at the beginning of 2019 either, whose most noteworthy times included being the last to achieve Bunker 1 17 as WR, Streets 1:13, Depot 26, and other boring 4 times.
The prediction doesn't necessarily have to do with GE or PD. Please provide proof if possible.
-
From the "2015 Predictions" thread (oh, how we all wish we could go back...)
(click the post-number in the quote to get to the post/thread)
Jackafur proposes to KittyRawr live at AGDQ2015 after his Mischief Makers run. She says yes, but the wedding is called off before the end of the year.
The proposal did actually happen as predicted. As far as I know, the two are still together, but there definitely wasn't any wedding in 2015 (I'm not sure if there has been yet?), so I guess this could be considered technically, completely correct.
I made a lot of absolutely insane predictions back then, some were ridiculous beyond remarkable, but this one was pretty insane and true.
-
My predictions for Ricky's and Dusky's times in [k4] were insanely good:
Spoiler
JD'S EPIC K4 PREDS
ThaRixer:
Unhoards into PD top 15 with:
-Chicago WR sweep
-Deep Sea Agent 2:28 or lower
-Defection Agent 5
-War Agent 25
-Air Base Agent 1:13
-MBR Agent JD Bop
-other epic 90 point times
Unhoards into GE top 70 with:
-Egypt 45 sweep
-Runway SA 22
-Depot Agent 0:23
DuskyLW:
Unhoards into GE top 25 with:
-Surface 1 SA 1:48
-Runway SA 22
-Aztec 00A 1:38 or lower
-Other 90 pointers on Aztec
-Cradle Agent 33
-other cookers
Unhoards some epic PD times:
-Defection Agent 5
-Invest Agent 1:05
-Infil Agent 1:10
-Rescue 90+ point sweep
-Air Base Agent 1:14 or 1:13
-MBR 90 point sweep
Unhoards Several Goldfinger/OFOS WRs too cooked to predict
For Ricky, I correctly predicted:
-Chicago WR sweep (0:14/0:25/0:26)
-Deep Sea Agent 2:28 or lower (2:27)
-Defection Agent 5
-War Agent 25
-Air Base Agent 1:13 (Wasn't in the hoard, but he WAS hoarding it until Illu got 1:12)
-Runway SA 22
For Dusky, I correctly predicted:
-Aztec 00A 1:38 or lower (Almost :nesquik:)
-Other 90 pointers on Aztec (1:26 Agent)
-Invest Agent 1:05
-Rescue 90+ point sweep (1:26 was 91 and 2:18 was 89, but no PA)
-Several Goldfinger/OFOS WRs
-
Might be worth mentioning that JD accurately predicted my 27 in the 2021 Sylvester tip thread. An insane pred. I mean, 2 months ago I wasn't even thinking about playing for 28 and didn't even know 27 was possible. (did anyone?)
Dam: 0:52 / 1:16 / 1:54
Facility: 0:42 / 0:51 / 0:51
Runway: 0:21 / 0:22 / 0:27 (Joakim)
Surface 1: 1:01 / 1:46 / 1:47 (Calle)
Bunker 1: 0:16 / 0:20 / 1:01
Silo: 0:59 / 1:07 / 1:20
Frigate: 0:21 / 0:58 / 1:04 (Ted)
Surface 2: 0:46 / 0:46 / 1:17 (:nesquik:)
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:42 / 0:53
Statue: 2:17 / 2:17 / 2:17 (Sammy)
Archives: 0:15 / 0:53 / 0:53
Streets: 1:11 / 1:54 / 1:54
Depot: 0:23 / 0:38 / 0:45 (Rhakiath, Gus, or Karl, possibly all three)
Train: 0:56 / 1:22 / 1:48 (Henrik)
Jungle: 0:49 / 0:51 / 0:52
Control: 3:55 / 4:01 / 4:02
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:12 / 1:29
Cradle: 0:33 / 0:33 / 0:33
Aztec: 1:21 / 1:29 / 1:34 (someone will go Sicko Mode, not sure who)
Egypt: 0:44 / 0:44 / 0:44
Current Top 10
1. Daniel Coelho
2. Luke Szklarz
3. Rayan I.
4. Gus Riolo
5. David Clemens
6. Irie Butler
7. Marc Rützou
8. Troy Noojin
9. Joris Quevedo
10. Dan Parker
Posting this here for documentation