2008 NFL Picks, Discussion, and Betting Topic

[Jimbo]

Well here are some small tidbits from Jimbo after that Green Bay/New Orleans game:

1. Drew Brees is one of the finest Quarterbacks I've ever seen. I've never witnessed a QB throw a perfect game before (literally 158.3), but now I have. Our pass defense was supposed to be able to contain that ridiculous arm and WR core of his; there is a reason our pass defense is 3rd in the league combined and 1st in INTs and all that good stuff. We were matching them TD for TD in the first half and I was impressed as hell with that. Why our pass defense did NOTHING is something I have yet to figure out, it may just be that Brees is his receivers are just that good. (then again if they ARE that good, why is their record only 6-5?).

2. Rodgers had a fine game imo and gained 3 TDs on Donovan McNabb, yay for me. The 1st pick he threw was an error on Greg Jennings (who doesn't fuck up very much) and that was a clear gift to Jason David (who imo is incredibly overrated and laughable most of the time). The 2nd INT was more Rodgers' fault as it was underthrown, and the 3rd was a Favre-heave to the end zone where Jordy Nelson simply got out-jumped.

3. The Packers are not out of this by any means, we're 0-3 against the NFC South this year and damnit I really hope it's not 0-4 after next week (since QB and I will be at the game at LAMBEAU FIELD). One game out of of the division lead is by no means awful with 5 games remaining, but I'm starting to worry that our team can't stay consistent. I think next week vs Carolina will give me, and a lot of other GB faithful, a much better idea/reality as to how good we really are and what we COULD do if we win the division (which I still expect, of course).

If the Packers had to lose this game, I'm happy at least that Brees kept his miraculous season going, you have no idea how badly I want to see Marino's damn record from 1984 fall into the depths of hell. He's on pace for like 5100 yards and damnit I hope he does it! Go Brees!

[Ngamer]

WARNING, WARNING

There are three games tomorrow! Be sure to get all your picks in and rosters set tonight!

[Ngamer]

Ngamer Bets the NFL - Week Thirteen

Ng's Superteam to defeat the Daytona Wildcats straight up

Risking $5 to win $5

YTD: -$0.93
QB Tab YTD: -$10.93 (includes two 360 controllers)

[youseinthehouse]

I might not oweski!

[youseinthehouse]

PS,

Cube, make your hex on A-Rod extra special for me while you're out there. I wouldn't mind something on the level of a season ending injury. Nothing too major, just the rest of the year. Broken ankle... fractured collarbone... broken middle finger on throwing hand. You know, something nice.

[rshepherd1000]

Elite Pickem

Elite Pickem - Week 12

1 MMF Moles - 13

Elite Pickem - Overall Table

1 wiff's super DUPER picks - 117
2 DK's Penalized Pickss - 115
3 Bosss - 114
3 Neo's Aussie Pickss - 114
3 MMF Moless - 114

Elite Pickem - Win Table

1 Shep's Ridic Picks - 3
1 Boss - 3
1 Mor Lemonparty - 3
1 Esox Magnus - 3
1 MMF Moles - 3
6 wiff's super DUPER picks - 2
6 Matt8000's Pants - 2
6 QB's Surefire Successes - 2
6 Ng's Picks of Awesome - 2
6 Come - 2
6 DK's Penalized Picks - 2
6 StoneHands - 2
13 mikerspd miscreants - 1
13 Poteau Jedi - 1
13 Cyber's picks - 1


Elite Spread Pickem

Elite Spread Pickem - Week 12

1 MMF Moles - 12

Elite Spread Pickem - Overall

1 Ng Says Spread'Em - 95
2 Shep's Nonsense - 94
3 Boss - 93
3 MMF Moles - 93


Elite Survival

12 weeks and Neo is still alive

Winner

Neo's Aussie Picks

Dead

Shep's Ridic Survivors (1), Octo's Boss's Picks (1), Sucram goes pew pew on you (1), mikerspd maintainers (1), Drag (1), Boss (1)
Encrypted Salvation (2), springadero (2), packattack (2), springadero (2), Topes (2), Mr. Twishall's Selecsheeowns (2), DK's Natural Selections (2), Jimbo (2), mostfrantic (2)
Insanity (3), Cyber's unsurviving picks (3)
Come (4), Ng Survives & Advances (4), Matt8000s Pants (4), QB's Unwavering Champions (4), Octo's Survival Picks (4)
Eye of the Tiger (6)

[Jimbo]

Sorry Youse, of course you'll owe-ski. (sadly you will only be paying off my awful Cleveland bet)

[youseinthehouse]

Rodgers is going down.

[Jimbo]

Dude Rodgers got obliterated on a play (late hit out of bounds) by Julius Peppers, got up, and showed us all how much of a badass he was by throwing a TD pass!

[Jimbo]

Ha, I told QB "you watch, I bet our punter gets cut within a few days because he's sucked so bad for a while now", and sure enough he got cut today! Genius Jimbo strikes again! >_<

[wheatrich]

Rodgers learned way too much from Favre--can't even do basic stuff like fall on the damn ball.

[Ngamer]

Look here, it's important!

Raiders/Chargers game tomorrow night, be sure to get all your picks in tonight!

[wheatrich]

Why am I hoping they get this suspension crap resolved so I can bet ON the lions to win the game outright?

[Jimbo]

Go Lions! Whoop Minnesota's ass!

[Ngamer]

Ngamer Bets the NFL - Week Fourteen

Oscar de la Hoya to defeat Manny Pacquiao straight up

Risking $5 to win $2.94

YTD: -$5.93
QB Tab YTD: -$15.93 (includes two 360 controllers)

[RWG]

I'm going to the Dolphins/Bills game today boys! Wish me luck! Go Sea Team!

[mikerspd]

I demand updates from shep, for LAST week!

[Quiet Bol]

Like my new Packer corner, Jim?



And could you upload that top pic from inside the atrium?

[Jimbo]

Oh badass! I thought for sure you would have put the pic of you outside though with the stadium behind you

[Ngamer]

Whoa, awesome stuff QB!


VERY SERIOUS WARNING


The Bears play the Saints in... 16 hours or something.  Make sure you get your picks in before then!

[Ngamer]

Ngamer Bets the NFL - SIDE BET

Green Bay Packers to make the 2008 playoffs

Risking 2 weeks of borrowing Mario Kart Wii + 4 hot pockets to win an Xbox 360 Pro

This bet is with Jimbo.

[rshepherd1000]

what the hell

i 100% posted an update last week. it must have got yuku'd somehow

[rshepherd1000]

Elite Pickem

Elite Pickem - Week 14

1 wiff's super DUPER picks - 13
1 mikerspd miscreants - 13
1 Larkin - 13

Elite Pickem - Overall Table

1 wiff's super DUPER picks - 142
2 mikerspd miscreants - 139
3 DK's Penalized Picks - 138
4 StoneHands - 137

Elite Pickem - Win Table

1 Shep's Ridic Picks - 3
1 Boss - 3
1 Mor Lemonparty - 3
1 Esox Magnus - 3
1 MMF Moles - 3
1 wiff's super DUPER picks - 3
1 mikerspd miscreants - 3
8 Matt8000's Pants - 2
8 QB's Surefire Successes - 2
8 Ng's Picks of Awesome - 2
8 Come - 2
8 DK's Penalized Picks - 2
8 StoneHands - 2
14 Poteau Jedi - 1
14 Cyber's picks - 1
14 Larkin - 1


Elite Spread Pickem

Elite Spread Pickem - Week 14

1 Dipset's Pick Set - 11

Elite Spread Pickem - Overall

1 Ng Says Spread'Em - 111
2 Boss - 107
3 MMF Moles - 106
3 Neo's Aussie Picks - 106
3 Shep's Nonsense - 106


Elite Survival

14 weeks and Neo is still alive

Winner

Neo's Aussie Picks

Dead

Shep's Ridic Survivors (1), Octo's Boss's Picks (1), Sucram goes pew pew on you (1), mikerspd maintainers (1), Drag (1), Boss (1)
Encrypted Salvation (2), springadero (2), packattack (2), springadero (2), Topes (2), Mr. Twishall's Selecsheeowns (2), DK's Natural Selections (2), Jimbo (2), mostfrantic (2)
Insanity (3), Cyber's unsurviving picks (3)
Come (4), Ng Survives & Advances (4), Matt8000s Pants (4), QB's Unwavering Champions (4), Octo's Survival Picks (4)
Eye of the Tiger (6)

[youseinthehouse]

DIPSET DIPSET DIPSET DIPSET. Dipset.

[Imperfect Clark]

Please invite me to the pick'em leagues next year.. I'm in a small league with no competition right now.

139 points through Week 14
149 total (10 going into MNF)

How many people in the Elite group?

[Neo]

27, about 16 of which have picked every week. Leaders are 148 going in to MNF.

But we make this topic every year at the same time giving everyone the opportunity to sign up, so I don't know what you mean by inviting you!

[Imperfect Clark]

heh, yeah, i know.  150 through week 15 bitches!

[youseinthehouse]

DIPSET 2 weeks running untied on top in the spread pick'em. Dipset, bitch! Now, if only I hadn't sucked for most of the rest of the year.

That's how the Diplomats roll.

[Imperfect Clark]

^ So I'm wondering if you contemplated my sadness when the Phillies rushed the field.

[youseinthehouse]

Hahah, I actually hadn't considered your sadness at the time, or any sadness for that matter! Despite how gay the rest of this sentence might sound, I actually almost always think of you whenever I hear about the Bucs in any capacity, since you're the only one I know who roots for them. The Bolts I mainly associate with DK now, and I don't recall you ever being huge on the Rays, for the likely reason that they were so irrelevant before that you wouldn't have had reason to spout off about them so much.

All I felt was extreme joy. I'm talking about total euphoria. I wasn't looking to rub it in anyone's face, and I didn't hate the Rays like I hated the Dodgers-- that fateful night was solely for positive, cleansing enjoyment. The only thing slightly annoying about your team was their mohawks, but I'd still have rooted for them over any other playoff team, period.

It's funny... Tampa, on the whole, has broken my heart more than any other city-- but I'm not really mad at them/you, like I'd be if it was a New York or Pittsburgh or Dallas team or something. The toughest was when the Bucs closed out the Vet in the NFC Champ Game with a loss even more crushing to me than the Super Bowl loss to the Pats was, for two reasons--- i) I knew that game was the Super Bowl (either team would've crushed the Raiders, as proven), and ii) the Patriots cheated anyways, so there's some solace there (not much, but enough to slide SBXXXIX down to #2). Then, the Bucs really rubbed our noses in it while opening up the Linc with a shutout win the next season. Almost as tough as the NFC Championship was the Lightning ousting the Flyers in the following year's conference finals in 7 games. The crushing experience had a massive silver lining, though, as it was elongated by my favorite hockey game ever (Game 6).

So yeah, I really don't hold any grudges toward the city and therefore couldn't revel in your tears. In fact, I still like the recent Bucs because of Garcia (of course, I wouldn't mind stealing their playoff spot). That said, had the Rays followed through on 90% of the experts' picks and taken the Series, I don't know how much more Tampa owning us I could take. That might have been the last straw. I'd be so hell bent on revenge, I might try to convince Lightning ownership to hire a washed-up-coach-turned-analyst as their next head coach and sign Lecavalier to a financially burdensome 11 year contract. That'd show 'em!

[Ngamer]

LOOK OUT EVERYONE!

There's a game tonight and then another one on Saturday, so be sure you get your picks in early so you don't miss out!

[Imperfect Clark]

hehe yeah.. I think the collapse of the Lightning should be satisfying enough for you.  When the Lightning suck, hockey sucks.  I mean, not even a playoff race to think about 2 years straight?  God damn.  I'm paying $160 for out-of-network games (in miami - fuck the panthers), and so far I've been treated to 7 wins in 30 games (fewest in the league, comfortably) and fewest goals scored.  This with the team that was supposed to be the Celtics of the NHL.  Melrose?  A bust (well, still fired absurdly premature)  Stamkos?  Nothing so far.  Boyle?  Traded for guys we already flipped.  Still, Lecavalier and Marty are still solid.. it's an outrage that the team is this bad for the 2nd straight year.  And Mike Smith could be an All-Star if he were on another team.

I'd have to say this World Series really strengthened the Philly-Tampa rivalry, although it's tough to become rivals with a city that already has tons of well established rivals.  But some memorable battles for sure, as you noted.  I will admit 2 things about the Rays.  One, I admit that yeah, wasn't much of a fan before this year.  But who could be?  Two, I admit that I didn't feel too bad about losing the world series.  Both of these admissions are ones that even the more serious Rays fans I know also have made.  The Red Sox series felt like the World Series, holy shit.  After blowing the huge lead in game 5 and then losing game 6... the fear of losing that game 7 made the win extremely satisfying.  Realistically, it was nearly impossible to feel bad about the Series after how much surprise goodness the Rays supplied the fans.  I definitely thought of you when the Phillies won and figured it meant more to you.  The Lightning and Bucs championships were truly a couple of the best nights of my life, so I figure everyone deserves to know that feeling.  I will also say that I don't really despise Philly teams usually (I seem to have purer hatred for miami teams - it sucks living here)... the Flyers piss me off a bit, but with the Lightning down and out it's lost some meaning.  The Eagles are a subject of pity more than anything else.  I find myself pulling for them.  And the Phillies... can't really object to guys like Utley, Howard, and Hamels.  Lidge and Victorino.. another story.  But overall, hardly villains.

[Jimbo]

• The Lightning and Bucs championships were truly a couple of the best nights of my life, so   I figure everyone deserves to know that feeling.

I was much too young (8 years old) to really appreciate Green Bay's win in Superbowl XXXI, and my favorite driver had seemingly THE worst way to lose a NASCAR championship in recent memory. Sterling Marlin was a damn idol of mine (as was Dale Earnhardt, but I always liked Sterling more) and in 2002 he was THE guy to beat for 25 weeks of the year (at the time it was the longest consecutive reign of #1 in history). In September, he had 2 crashes which ultimately sidelined him the rest of the year. I was 14 then, I still am not over this to this day. Tony Stewart is not the 2002 champion, Marlin is!

I really started getting into NFL Football in 2005, obv I had always watched but NASCAR was #1 to me. That first year, Green Bay went 4-12 and I couldn't believe that I had just witnessed Green Bay's first losing season in 14 years. Long story short, the Packers' 2007 magical 13-3 season resulted in us HOSTING the NFC Championship game in January 2008, and I really felt like I had the chance to watch something special; not only did I always dream of being able to savor a Superbowl victory, but this time possibly defeat an undefeated team to that point. I honestly think we could have beaten New England in the Superbowl as well if Favre had not thrown the most ridiculous pass in playoff history. (Jennings and Grant were WIDE FREAKING OPEN yet he underthrows into tight coverage to Donald Driver, gah)

Edit: OK most ridiculous pass in playoff history is Favre's INT to Brian Dawkins in the 2004 Divisional Playoff game @ Philadelphia, I'm sure Youse will remember that one nicely.

[rshepherd1000]

Elite Pickem

Elite Pickem - Week 15

1 QB's Surefire Successes - 13
2 StoneHands - 12
2 DK's Penalized Picks - 12
4 Boss - 11
4 mikerspd miscreants - 11

Elite Pickem - Overall Table

1 wiff's super DUPER picks - 151
2 DK's Penalized Picks - 150
2 mikerspd miscreants - 150
4 StoneHands - 149
5 QB's Surefire Successes - 147

Elite Pickem - Win Table

1 Shep's Ridic Picks - 3
1 Boss - 3
1 Mor Lemonparty - 3
1 Esox Magnus - 3
1 MMF Moles - 3
1 wiff's super DUPER picks - 3
1 mikerspd miscreants - 3
1 QB's Surefire Successes - 3
9 Matt8000's Pants - 2
9 Ng's Picks of Awesome - 2
9 Come - 2
9 DK's Penalized Picks - 2
9 StoneHands - 2
14 Poteau Jedi - 1
14 Cyber's picks - 1
14 Larkin - 1


Elite Spread Pickem

Elite Spread Pickem - Week 15

1 Dipset's Pick Set - 9

Elite Spread Pickem - Overall

1 Ng Says Spread'Em - 118
2 Boss - 114
3 Shep's Nonsense - 111
3 Neo's Aussie Picks - 111
3 Come - 111


Elite Survival

15 weeks and Neo is still alive

Winner

Neo's Aussie Picks

Dead

Shep's Ridic Survivors (1), Octo's Boss's Picks (1), Sucram goes pew pew on you (1), mikerspd maintainers (1), Drag (1), Boss (1)
Encrypted Salvation (2), springadero (2), packattack (2), springadero (2), Topes (2), Mr. Twishall's Selecsheeowns (2), DK's Natural Selections (2), Jimbo (2), mostfrantic (2)
Insanity (3), Cyber's unsurviving picks (3)
Come (4), Ng Survives & Advances (4), Matt8000s Pants (4), QB's Unwavering Champions (4), Octo's Survival Picks (4)
Eye of the Tiger (6)

[Imperfect Clark]

160 going into mnf

[Neo]

With one week left, I'm still alive in Survival.

Go Falcons!

[youseinthehouse]

Dipset can get three weeks running highest spread score with a Bears cover tonight!

And congrats Neo, although I'm not so sure the Falcons won't let the Lions win out of pity. They're assured a road game in the first round regardless against a bad team, so they might play a ton of scrubs to both rest up their ballers and be nice to Detroit.

[Jimbo]

...Detroit plays at Green Bay next week!

[Quiet Bol]

Falcons have a good shot at a first round bye with a win next week, so I doubt they'll be taking it easy in any case!

[wheatrich]

am I the only one thinking the Lions have a pretty good shot at a win? GB doesn't give a shit and the Lions do always yields for some entertaining game anyway.

would be so lol the Panthers one missed FG away from #1 seed and instead getting the 5.

Everyone that needed to lose for the Bears did so (Eagles, Vikings, Cowboys, Bucs) awful nice of you guys. Why do I have this feeling that we're going to fuck that gift up.

[Neo]

Falcons have something to play for, Packers don't. Therefore, I pick the Falcons!

[youseinthehouse]

er, yeah, what was I thinking. I just remember looking at the Eagles' playoff scenarios BEFORE this week and realizing either TB or ATL had to lose this week because next week they are playing chumps. I just mixed up two major chumps. Anyway, wheat, if I thought Detroit could beat Falcons I'm definitely thinking they can do it, and rooting for them to beat the Packers. Mainly because I love Calvin. I would give one of my arms for him to be on the Eagles. We'd be the Super Bowl champs this year with him, almost undoubtedly.

How bout the rest of y'all? Rooting for or against Lions to be perfectly bad?

[Jimbo]

I'm only hoping GB wins because I want 0-16 to happen, and I want our streak of beating-Detroit-at-Lambeau-for-consecutive-years (active since 1992) to stay intact!

[Neo]

I'm hoping the Lions win because XFD PACKERS SUCK SHIT

[Imperfect Clark]

to still be alive in survival is pretty amazing.

[Neo]

I'm pretty proud, given that everyone else was out by Week 6, and I still have a couple of good teams I never used (Giants, Ravens, Bucs, etc). Most people are saying it's because of the Lions, but I've only picked against them 4 times... 14/17 picks have been against the 7 lowest ranked teams, but you'd be an idiot to go against many others.
>_>

I'll post some other random stats next week, provided the Falcons win, lest I get screwed over like I did in Fantasy and rage quit again.

[youseinthehouse]

PS Screw the Bears.

They played with as much intensity as the Eagles did in terms of fighting for an improbable playoff spot (aka NO intensity)-- only they were at home! Turns out 1 inch was the difference between the two teams' outcomes.

[Quiet Bol]

By request, I'll now look back on my preseason bets to see how they fared!

Dallas Cowboys UNDER 10.5 wins - Risked $500 to win $650 - WIN! (9-7), +$650
Oakland Raiders UNDER 6 wins - Risked $500 to win $550 - WIN! (5-11), +$550
Green Bay Packers OVER 8 wins - Risked $202.50 to win $150 - LOSS (5-11), -$202.50
Philadelphia Eagles OVER 8.5 wins - Risked $175 to win $100 - WIN! ( 9-6-1), +$100
Detroit Lions UNDER 6.5 wins - Risked $110 to win $100 - WIN! (0-16), +$100
Cleveland Browns UNDER 8 wins - Risked $100 to win $100 - WIN! (4-12), +$100
Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 8 wins - Risked $105 to win $75 - WIN! (9-7), +$75
Seattle Seahawks OVER 8.5 wins - Risked $87.50 to win $50 - LOSS (4-12), -$87.50
Baltimore Ravens OVER 6 wins - Risked $58 to win $40 - WIN! (11-5), +$40

Season Win Totals: 7-2, +$1325

The bet on the Eagles was the only one to come down to week 17. Some of the others look like close calls, but most were decided a while back. Raiders were 3-11 before finishing with 2 wins and getting to 5, not to mention that 6 would have pushed. They were certainly a long way from 7-9. Cowboys would have needed 3 straight wins over Giants/Ravens/Eagles to get to 11 wins, so that wasn't a great cause for concern. Weirdest of all, Bucs ran their record up to 9-3 before dumping the last 4 games of the season, but I'll take the win.

Justin Tuck UNDER 12.5 sacks - Risked $120 to win $100 - WIN! (12 sacks), +$100
Donovan McNabb to accrue more rushing + passing TDs than Aaron Rodgers - Risked $100 to win $100 - LOSS (25-32), -$100
Wes Welker UNDER 1050 yards receiving - Risked $80 to win $64 - LOSS (1165 yards), -$80
Wes Welker UNDER 8 receiving TDs - Risked $70 to win $50 - WIN! (3 TDs), +$50
Steve Slaton OVER 425 rushing yards - Risked $62.50 to win $50 - WIN! (1282 yards), +$50
Earnest Graham OVER 1000 rushing yards - Risked $57.50 to win $50 - LOSS (563 yards), -$57.50
Chester Taylor OVER 550 rushing yards - Risked $55 to win $50 - LOSS (399 yards), -$55
Brian Urlacher UNDER 6.5 sacks + ints - Risked $50 to win $50 - WIN! ( 0 sacks, 2 ints), +$50

Player Props: 4-4, -$42.50

Uh, I'm still not sure how I won the Tuck bet. I thought he had beaten 12.5 with a couple games to play but every source is telling me he had 12 sacks. Another stat correction in my favor? Graham was lost to a season ending injury but he was off-pace when it happened anyway. Slaton with a bit of overkill.

Clinton Portis to lead NFL in rushing yards - Risked $10 to win $500 - LOSS (4th with 1487 yards), -$10
DeSean Jackson to win Offensive Rookie of the Year - Risked $10 to win $250 - LOSS (undetermined, but safe to mark as a loss), -$10
Aaron Schobel to lead NFL in sacks - Risked $5 to win $200  - LOSS (only 1 sack before getting injured in week 5), -$5
Kyle Vanden Bosch to lead NFL in sacks - Risked $5 to win $100 - LOSS (only 4.5 sacks but also missed 6 games), -$5
Trent Cole to lead NFL in sacks - Risked $5 to win $90 - LOSS (9 sacks), -$5

Awards Futures: 0-5, -$35

I'm not unpleased with the first 2 bets. Clinton Portis, in particular, was leading the league in rushing halfway through, lost the lead, and then regained it in week 12. Unfortunately, he battled injuries over the last few weeks and fell off the podium. The sack leaders can be pretty random but those bets don't look very good in hindsight.

Adam "Pacman" Jones will be reinstated and will play in week 1, Risked $250 to win $100 - WIN, +$100
Kansas City to be the first team to defeat New England (week 1) - Risked $50 to win $700 - LOSS, -$50
Miami to be the first team to defeat New England (week 3) - Risked $100 to win $3500 - WIN, +$3500

Offseason bets: 2-1, +$3550

I guess I'm not sure why these are grouped together but they were made weeks before the season started and all were resolved early in the season. Maybe not fair to count the Pacman bet on my record of posted plays, since it was clearly going to win by the time I posted it. What a lucky win on those Dolphins!

Vikings to win the NFC North - Risked $480 to win $192 - WIN, +$192
Jets to win the AFC East - Risked $100 to win $120 - LOSS, -$100
Packers to win the NFC North - Risked $100 to win $140 - LOSS, -$100
Bucs to win the NFC South - Risked $50 to win $137.50 - LOSS, -$50

Mid-season Division Bets: 1-3, -$58

These were all bets I made midseason and they were all mathematically sound bets at the time, I swear! The Vikes bet was with 3 weeks to go, the others were placed with probably 6 games to go. These teams were generally being undervalued because they had a lot of tiebreaker advantages that weren't being accounted for, or in the Packers case, just because they're so much better than people realize. With the Jets and Bucs collapses though, the tiebreakers weren't enough, and the Vikes seemingly tried to blow it as well.

3 of these 4 teams with rookie coaches will make the playoffs - Redskins/Falcons/Dolphins/Ravens - Risked $50 to win $350 - WIN, +$350
49ers to win over 2.5 games under Mike Singletary - Risked $120 to win $100 - WIN, (5 wins!) +$100
Roy Williams under 4.5 TDs with the Cowboys - Risked $110 to win $100 - WIN, (1 TD) +$100
Pacman Jones will return from his suspension and play another game this season - Risked $20 to win $40 - WIN, +$40

Mid-season Team and Player Props: 4-0, +$590

The first one was a lucky hit but also a smart bet, as Shep and I independently found this offering and calculated it to be a profitable play based on multiple sets of published Playoff Odds. The bet on the 49ers came with 9 games left and many of them against weak opponents. I found the prop rather bizarre from the start, and though the Niners lost his first game at home vs the Seahawks, they still surged to a 5-4 finish under Singletary. Roy Williams became the odd man out in Dallas and never threatened to beat me. I only regret not betting against his yardage as well. Thanks Goodell, for allowing Pacman to come back not once, but twice this season, both profitable!

Eagles to win the Superbowl - Risked $100 to win $1100 - Undetermined
Ravens to win the Superbowl - Risked $20 to win $800 - Undetermined

I imagine even the Ravens bet is poor at this point, with both teams being 6 seeds and needing to win 3 road games + Superbowl. I give both teams a good shot vs anybody in the playoffs, but considering fair odds on the Giants last year were about 200-1 from the 6 seed, I could surely do better. Both of these bets were made very early in the season, before the Ravens were deemed a serious threat, and when I still believed the Eagles could win the division and earn a bye. Still, I thought the bet was foolish immediately. Time to get lucky!

Overall on this season's multi-week wagers:
14-15, +$5329.50 with 2 wagers pending

Boom?

[Jimbo]

I was on a tear until the Packers started losing a lot of games

[Ngamer]

And that puts a cap on the '08 regular season! Head on over to the playoff topic to get in your picks for the exciting Wild Card weekend we've got coming up!

http://perfectdarkelite.yuku.com?topic=14184