Author Topic: Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)  (Read 1334 times)

Boss

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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« on: December 18, 2009, 02:05:00 pm »
With the finale coming up (Sunday 7pm CST) and only 5 players remaining, I thought it might be worth predicting who wins along with the other player finishes.  It appears that the final 3 will get the votes from the jury.

Players:
Jaison - Foa Foa
Natalie - Foa Foa
Mick - Foa Foa
Russell H - Foa Foa
Brett - Galu

Jury:
Erik - Galu
Laura - Galu
Kelly - Galu
John - Galu
Dave - Galu
Monica - Galu
Shannon (Shambo) - Galu

With the jury being 9 members strong for the final vote, try to predict the finish of each player (+ the final 2 jury members) along with who each jury member will vote for to ultimately win the million dollars.



My prediction:

5th place finisher and 8th jury member: Mick
Brett will win immunity for the 3rd time in a row forcing Foa Foa + Brett to vote out Mick (Mick votes for Russell).

4th place finisher and 9th jury member: Brett
Russell will finally win his first individual immunity challenge, and Foa Foa will remain strong and take out Brett (Brett votes for Jaison).

Final 3:
Jaison, Natalie, Russell

Final Jury:
Erik, Laura, Kelly, John, Dave, Monica, Shambo, Mick, Brett

Vote Breakdown
Erik - Russell
Laura - Natalie
Kelly - Russell
John - Russell
Dave - Russell
Monica - Natalie
Shambo - Russell
Mick - Russell
Brett - Natalie

3rd place finisher: Jaison - 0 votes
(doesn't seem like he really made any friends with the former Galu members, played second fiddle to Russell in strategic planning, the only vote he might get is Mick

2nd place finisher: Natalie - 3 votes
(very likable person, should be able to steal a few votes from Russell as he is perceived as a villain in the game)

1st place finisher - Russell - 6 votes
(should get the majority of the vote as he played one of the best strategic games in Survivor history with many of the jury members respecting his ability to out-play them)

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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« Reply #1 on: December 18, 2009, 04:38:00 pm »

My prediction

 


 

5th place finisher and 8th jury member: Natalie

 

Natalie is the sacrificial lamb after Brett wins immunity once again.  The fight in Jaison and Mick to stay alive sides with Russell in the fact that one of them absolutely has to beat Brett in the final immunity.  Also, Jaison and Mick both know that Russell is an oil company owner so they feel confident enough taking him with them to the final three, should that precipitate.  Natalie will vote for Mick.  All other four will vote for Natalie setting the stage for an epic clash of the men in the final four.

 


 

4th place finisher and 9th jury member: Brett

 

The final immunity challenge will be one of the ridic endurance ones (hold onto this stick for as long as you can.)  It will come down to Russell and Brett, with Brett having a clear edge, but in an even more insane finale than Season 10, Russell talks Brett out of the challenge and resultantly gets him voted out.

 


 

Final three; Russell, Mick, Jaison

 

Final jury; Erik, Kelly, Laura, John, Dave, Monica, Shambo, Natalie, Brett.

 


 

Vote Breakdown

 

Erik - Russell (respects the way he's played, was always cheering when he did stuff at tribal, sure vote)

 

Kelly - Mick (she has no clue what she's doing, but she's a sexxy bitch and will vote for the hottest guy who isn't Russell, since he pwned her so bad)

 

Laura - Mick (another dumb bitch who just wants to oust Russell and thinks Mick is hot)

 

John - Russell (they had a good alliance, he respects Russ, wasn't mad about getting voted out)

 

Dave - Russell (respect for the game Russell played, especially compared to Mick and Jaison)

 

Monica - Jaison (another dumb bitch, she'll vote Jaison because they have similar characters and she probably is all for "human justice" or some crap like that leading her to vote for the black guy)

 

Shambo - Russell (easiest vote of the jury, he took her all the way to the final six when she had no business being there)

 

Natalie - Russell (another easy vote, he took her all the way)

 

Brett - Mick (who really cares who he votes?  I'll just guess Mick)

 


 

3rd place: Jaison - 1 vote

 

2nd place: Mick - 3 votes

 

1st place: Russell - 5 votes

"I want to be defined by the things that I love. Not the things I'm afraid of, or the things that haunt me in the middle of the night.  I just think that, you are what you love."  Taylor Swift, Daylight.

【 Verax Maneret 】

bcks

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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« Reply #2 on: December 18, 2009, 06:57:00 pm »
Bryan, they don't always have a final 3 with 9 jury, they did trick us that one year. It could happen again. Jeff hasn't said it will be a 3 person deal at the end. (I think)

RWG

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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« Reply #3 on: December 18, 2009, 07:00:00 pm »
if they don't have 3 survivors and 9 jurors, they will have 2 survivors and 10 jurors... that doesn't work.
"I want to be defined by the things that I love. Not the things I'm afraid of, or the things that haunt me in the middle of the night.  I just think that, you are what you love."  Taylor Swift, Daylight.

【 Verax Maneret 】

bcks

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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« Reply #4 on: December 19, 2009, 05:01:00 am »
iirc, they tricked them on 1 season. I think it was the fans vs favs season, where parv won. The last 3 girls assumed they would be judged all, but jeff said nope, only 2 would go on, and had 1 final challenge.

And here is my proof.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivor:_Micronesia

Scroll down some and you will see they had only 8 jurors that season, and Parvati won 5-3 over Amanda.
So it has happened before, and unless Jeff has said it will be a 3 person finish this season, don't count your chickens.

"After Tribal Council, Amanda and Cirie continued their argument over Cirie feeling that she was at the bottom of every alliance she was in, although they eventually made up and celebrated that they had all reached the final three like they had originally intended. Their happiness was cut short however, as the three found out on Day 38 that Jeff's questions at Tribal Council about a final two were not hypothetical and they would have to go through one final Immunity Challenge after the customary honoring of past castaways who left the game. While Parvati didn't really try, a distraught Amanda managed to regroup and win the final Immunity Challenge over Cirie."


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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« Reply #5 on: December 19, 2009, 05:45:00 am »
Woah. I didn't know that happened. Good call. Would be insane if it's a final 2 this season.
"I want to be defined by the things that I love. Not the things I'm afraid of, or the things that haunt me in the middle of the night.  I just think that, you are what you love."  Taylor Swift, Daylight.

【 Verax Maneret 】

rshepherd1000

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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« Reply #6 on: December 19, 2009, 08:42:00 am »
Obviously Russell should win if he makes top3 but theres is a long history of retarded final votes where people get bitter about being outplayed and antivote, or think that a dribbler that contributes nothing to the game and is thus taken along to the finish somehow is the best player and deserving of the win.

Boss

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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« Reply #7 on: December 20, 2009, 01:04:00 am »
Well if it goes to the final 2, I would still bet on Russell finding a way to win. These people are pretty pathetic not to realize how huge of a threat he is in getting votes even if he seems to have pissed most of the jury off. It seems like in recent seasons that the best strategist that makes it to the end usually wins big. Being a person that just follows along without much strategy usually gets buried during the final tribal. This jury, for the most part, isn't really bitter about getting voted off. I think Erik and Kelly took it the hardest of anyone but still pretty well compared to most other seasons I've seen. (lol Susan, Season 1)

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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« Reply #8 on: December 20, 2009, 03:48:00 am »
Erik took it hard but he will still vote for Russell because it was his tribe that got rid of him, not Russell.
"I want to be defined by the things that I love. Not the things I'm afraid of, or the things that haunt me in the middle of the night.  I just think that, you are what you love."  Taylor Swift, Daylight.

【 Verax Maneret 】

..

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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« Reply #9 on: December 21, 2009, 12:07:00 am »
RyanWhiteGoose (13:42:52): Come, who wins Survivor tonight?
RyanWhiteGoose (13:42:54): I need a pred
FloridaSchedule (13:42:56): DIN MOR
COME as u r337 (13:42:58): Natalie
FloridaSchedule (13:42:59): PREDS
FloridaSchedule (13:43:00): SURVIVOR
FloridaSchedule (13:43:05): gggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggg
RyanWhiteGoose (13:43:23): LOL NATALIE
RyanWhiteGoose (13:43:26): AHAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHHAHAHHAHAH
wheatrich (13:43:28): should be an actual survivor show winner gets a mil everybody else dies
FloridaSchedule (13:43:46): LL
RyanWhiteGoose (13:43:53): WRST PRD EVER

FloridaSchedule (13:43:56):
COME as u r337 (13:44:05): she's most likely to win right now tbh
RyanWhiteGoose (13:44:08): rofl
RyanWhiteGoose (13:44:14): Russell is most likely to win
RyanWhiteGoose (13:44:16): Brett 2nd
RyanWhiteGoose (13:44:18): Mick 3rd
RyanWhiteGoose (13:44:20): Nat 4th
RyanWhiteGoose (13:44:24): Jaison has ZERO chance of winning
COME as u r337 (13:44:25): the only one that definitely beats natalie is brett but he wont get to final most likely
COME as u r337 (13:44:36): natalie will steal a lot of votes if she's against russell
RyanWhiteGoose (13:45:00): well I pred'd Natalie out first
COME as u r337 (13:45:01): and if its russell/natalie/mick then people wont vote for either russ/mick once they know they both have money
RyanWhiteGoose (13:45:03): Brett 2nd
RyanWhiteGoose (13:45:08): then Russ/Mick/Jaison
RyanWhiteGoose (13:45:17): Russ can convince them that he's gonna lose the vote
COME as u r337 (13:45:17): i posted on 2p2 that it would be natalie/mick/jaison final
RyanWhiteGoose (13:45:23): lol come
RyanWhiteGoose (13:45:26): you picked the most boring final possible
COME as u r337 (13:45:28): since they SHOULD get rid of russell
RyanWhiteGoose (13:45:32): no they shouldn't
COME as u r337 (13:45:34): so?
COME as u r337 (13:45:37): uhh
FloridaSchedule (13:45:38): PREDS
RyanWhiteGoose (13:45:39): no juror in their right mind is going to vote for Russell
COME as u r337 (13:45:44): he wins the vote over all except natalie probably
RyanWhiteGoose (13:45:45): he makes millions of dollars!
COME as u r337 (13:45:54): and its close against natalie
RyanWhiteGoose (13:45:59): I think Russell can convince everyone that he has NO chance in the jury
RyanWhiteGoose (13:46:04): since everyone knows he makes millions
RyanWhiteGoose (13:46:21): they should get a homeless person on Survivor
COME as u r337 (13:46:21): we'll see
COME as u r337 (13:46:28): russell deserves to win of course
RyanWhiteGoose (13:46:28): homeless people vs. millionaires
COME as u r337 (13:46:30): but i dont think he will

owned so hard

Boss

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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« Reply #10 on: December 21, 2009, 12:43:00 am »
Yeah I thought she could steal a few votes, but I was blown away by that domination in the end. I guess Erik really pwned Russell with that jury speech.

Ngamer

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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« Reply #11 on: December 21, 2009, 02:24:00 am »
Yikes, that's the worst owning of 2009!
thengamer. com

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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« Reply #12 on: December 21, 2009, 03:02:00 am »
Not worst owning.

It is THE SINGLE WORST DECISION EVER MADE BY A COLLECTION OF INDIVIDUALS since the Japanese bombed Pearl Harbor.


It's just a sad commentary on how SENSITIVE people are... how WEAK they are. How EMASCULATED we are.

People have no respect. People have no dignity. They can't stand up, grab their balls and DO WHAT IS RIGHT. Russell is a role model to everyone who ever wants to succeed in life because he did what was RIGHT the whole time and had the jury also done what was right, they would have awarded him the title.
"I want to be defined by the things that I love. Not the things I'm afraid of, or the things that haunt me in the middle of the night.  I just think that, you are what you love."  Taylor Swift, Daylight.

【 Verax Maneret 】

bcks

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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« Reply #13 on: December 21, 2009, 03:27:00 am »
RyanWhiteGoose (13:46:21): they should get a homeless person on Survivor

They already have, he finished tied for 2nd place, with 0 votes at the end.

RWG

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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« Reply #14 on: December 21, 2009, 03:30:00 am »
Yeah.  The AIM log goes on to discuss Dreamz later on

Well anyways, next season is Heroes vs. Villains. According to wiki and it's sources, Richard Hatch was contacted to be on that season, but a judge wouldn't let him out of state to participate.

  Going by the montage it looks like Russell Hantz is in, along with Johnny Fairplay (again,) Michael Skupin (the guy who got literally burned on season 2) and that dude who gave up his immunity and got voted out (didn't watch that season but hopefully will before Feb. 11!!)
"I want to be defined by the things that I love. Not the things I'm afraid of, or the things that haunt me in the middle of the night.  I just think that, you are what you love."  Taylor Swift, Daylight.

【 Verax Maneret 】

bcks

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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« Reply #15 on: December 21, 2009, 03:33:00 am »
That would be Erik.
We should take up either this topic, or another, to discuss, or guess who we think will make it. Assuming the details haven't been leaked yet.


I really don't think that montage will factor in much. I doubt michael will be back, same as i doubt russell(predator) who passed the fuck out, will be back.

..

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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« Reply #16 on: December 21, 2009, 01:01:00 pm »
The full cast list for S20 has been out for a long time.. It's in the spoiler tag below.

Spoiler
    Rupert Boneham (Survivor: Pearl Islands)    
    James "J.T." Thomas (Survivor: Tocantins)    
    Tom Westman (Survivor: Palau)    
    Colby Donaldson (Survivor: Australia & All Stars)    
    James Clement (Survivor: China)    
    Stephenie LaGrossa (Survivor: Palau & Guatemala)    
    Amanda Kimmel (Survivor: China)    
    Jessica "Sugar" Kiper (Survivor: Gabon)    
    Cirie Fields (Survivor: Panama)    
    Candice Woodcock (Survivor: Cook Islands)    
    Jerri Manthey (Survivor: Australia)    
    Parvati Shallow (Survivor: Cook Islands)    
    Sandra Diaz-Twine (Survivor: Pearl Islands)    
    Courtney Yates (Survivor: China)    
    Danielle DiLorenzo (Survivor: Panama)    
    Rob "Boston Rob" Mariano (Survivor: Marquesas & All Stars)    
    Randy Bailey (Survivor: Gabon)    
    Tyson Apostol (Survivor: Tocantins)    
    Benjamin "Coach" Wade (Survivor: Tocantins)    
    Russell Hantz (Survivor: Samoa)  

RWG

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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« Reply #17 on: December 21, 2009, 01:45:00 pm »
*is wet*
"I want to be defined by the things that I love. Not the things I'm afraid of, or the things that haunt me in the middle of the night.  I just think that, you are what you love."  Taylor Swift, Daylight.

【 Verax Maneret 】

Boss

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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« Reply #18 on: December 21, 2009, 04:20:00 pm »
Where the heck is Fairplay? Some good names there though but there's a few I don't even remember on that list.

bcks

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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« Reply #19 on: December 21, 2009, 05:48:00 pm »
No Bobby Jon, or Yul, or Boo, or Aras.

I remember almost all those people who got selected.

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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« Reply #20 on: December 23, 2009, 06:06:00 pm »
Man Russel should of won. He actually played survivor how it was meant to be played.

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Survivor - Samoa (Finale Predictions)
« Reply #21 on: February 11, 2010, 05:32:00 pm »
BUMP

Heros vs. Villains premieres in 3.5 hours!
"I want to be defined by the things that I love. Not the things I'm afraid of, or the things that haunt me in the middle of the night.  I just think that, you are what you love."  Taylor Swift, Daylight.

【 Verax Maneret 】