Auction Analysis!
During the auction, my model used data based mostly on Kenpom, but I made a ton of arbitrary adjustments based on market odds in the first round. Now I've got the whole bracket broken down with market odds, so these numbers should be fairly accurate. (Only problem was with VCU and their early opponents, where I had to fudge a few numbers because the line isn't out yet.) Here's everybody's expected points!
Thingy - #1 Pittsburgh, #2 Notre Dame, #10 Florida State, #11 Marquette - 7.67
QB - #6 Xavier, #7 Temple, #8 Butler, #8 UNLV, #9 Tennessee, #12 Richmond, #13 Belmont, #13 Oakland - 7.44
wheat - #1 Kansas, #4 Wisconsin, #7 Washington, #9 Old Dominion - 7.08
Youse - #3 Purdue, #4 Texas, #4 Louisville - 6.44
Third - #2 North Carolina, #7 Texas A&M, #9 Villanova, #10 Penn State, #11 VCU, #13 Princeton - 6.33
Howes - #5 West Virginia, #5 Kansas State, #6 Georgetown, #11 Missouri, #12 Memphis, #13 Morehead State, #14 St. Peters, #16 Boston University - 6.31
octo - #5 Vanderbilt, #6 Cincinnati, #10 Georgia, #11 Gonzaga, #12 Clemson, #15 University of California Santa Barbara - 6.26
Gabby - #2 San Diego State, #2 Florida, #8 George Mason, #9 Illinois, #16 UNC-Asheville, #16 University of Texas - San Antonio - 6.10
Goose - #1 Duke, #3 Syracuse, #14 Wofford, #15 Northern Colorado - 6.00
Come - #6 St. John's, #7 UCLA, #10 Michigan State, #12 Utah State, #14 Indiana State, #15 Long Island, #16 Hampton - 5.83
Ngamer - #3 Connecticut, #4 Kentucky, #5 Arizona, #8 Michigan - 5.77
drag - #1 Ohio State, #3 BYU, #14 Bucknell, #15 Akron - 5.58
Thingy is our 2011 Paper Champion! Good luck all!
