(6) San Diego Chargers > (3) Cincinnati Bengals by 3 points
The Bengals were my pre-season Super Bowl pick, that W17 against the Chief's practice squad was a disgrace, and the smart money should certainly be on "70 degrees and sunny" Rivers and Matthews having trouble making accurate throws/holding onto the ball in the low temps with possible snow showers. Even so, it wouldn't be Wild Card Weekend without at least one road underdog pulling the shocker; if so you couldn't ask for a better target than an Andy Dalton/Marvin Lewis playoff team. The Chargers have enough weapons to stay within striking distance, so I'll pick them to hang around long enough for a devastating 4th quarter Dalton interception to seal the game.
(4) Indianapolis Colts > (5) Kansas City Chiefs by 10 points
Great season for the Chiefs, but then again they went 0-5 against AFC playoff teams, including this very Colts squad only a couple weeks back. I had plenty of doubts about the 2013 Colts (and paid dearly for them!), but heck, Andrew Luck just continues to win close games and he's always been very comfortable at home. I see Indy getting off to a good start and the Chiefs staying competitive but not being able to mount a double digit comeback, resulting in a fairly close win.
(3) Philadelphia Eagles > (6) New Orleans Saints by 7 points
Any doubts I had about the Eagle's ability to play in cold weather and snow were erased during that second half thrashing of the Lions last month. I'll admit it's a little weird that the Saints went from Super Bowl favorites (when it looked like they'd get to play in the Superdome) to significant underdogs against the winner of a very weak division, does make me wonder if everyone's reading a little too much into these home-road splits... But nay, this Eagles offense should be able to spring enough big plays to edge out a win in what I expect to be a very enjoyable, high scoring affair.
(4) Green Bay Packers > (5) San Francisco 49ers by 3 points
Uhhhh, well, sometimes you've got to ignore your head and pick with your heart.