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Author Topic: 2015 Sylvester Tip  (Read 1833 times)

RWG

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2015 Sylvester Tip
« on: December 31, 2014, 06:55:39 pm »
As a calendar year comes to a close this eve, a new year is about to begin.  It's time to do our annual prediction of the Goldeneye Top 10 as well as the WRs for every level and how they will stand in exactly 1 year, on December 31, 2015.  It's notable that at some point this year, Goldeneye will turn 18 years old!  A true testament to the endurance and longevity of this amazing community which many of us have been a part of for 10+ years, and is still thriving with new life.  Also noteworthy is that last year, Shawn "Afan" Johnson was ranked 10th.  He is now ranked 14th.  Illu was 7th and is now 10th.  This demonstrates that the Top 10 is open to anyone who puts in the effort and has the desire.  Once more, 186 WRs were achieved this year, the most since the "golden age" in 2007.  Thirteen untieds happened, including Caverns SA dropping 6 seconds thanks to the "explosive through door" strategy.


Current WRs

Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:52 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:21 / 1:02
Silo: 1:00 / 1:08 / 1:21
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:00 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:54
Streets: 1:12 / 1:54 / 1:55
Depot: 0:25 / 0:40 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:49
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:56 / 4:04 / 4:05
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:13 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:35
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:34 / 1:39
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45


Current Top 10

1. Rayan I.
2. David Clemens
3. Marc Rützou
4. Luke Szklarz
5. Bryan Bosshardt
6. Karl Jobst
7. Jimmy Bauer
8. Ryan White
9. Jim Barrett
10. Ilari Pekkala


--------------------------------------


So post your own versions of these lists according to what you believe will be accurate on Dec 31, 2015!


2006 thread: http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=1035.0
2007 thread: http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=884.0
2008 thread: http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=13382.0
2009 thread: http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=14194.0
2013 thread: http://forums.the-elite.net/forum/index.php?topic=18405.0
2014 thread: http://forums.the-elite.net/index.php?topic=19279.msg396558#


Here are some interesting statistics for the past 5 years:

2009: 43 WRs, 7 untieds
2010: 114 WRs, 24 untieds
2011: 35 WRs, 12 untieds
2012: 67 WRs, 15 untieds
2013: 95 WRs, 10 untieds
2014: 186 WRs, 13 untieds

Read more about Goldeneye's massive growth this year in Ace's OP here: http://forums.the-elite.net/index.php?topic=19973.0

Happy New Year and happy predicting everyone!
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【 Verax Maneret 】

deletedprofile.u

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Re: 2015 Sylvester Tip
« Reply #1 on: December 31, 2014, 07:43:48 pm »
Predicted WRs:

Dam: 0:52 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:51 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:47 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:21 / 1:02
Silo: 1:00 / 1:07 / 1:19
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:00 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:24
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:54
Streets: 1:12 / 1:54 / 1:54
Depot: 0:25 / 0:39 / 0:46
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:49
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:56 / 4:04 / 4:04
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:12 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:35
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:33 / 1:38
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45


Predicted Top 10:

1. Rayan I.
2. David Clemens
3. Luke Szklarz
4. Marc Rützou
5. Ryan White
6. Jimmy Bauer
7. Bryan Bosshardt
8. Karl Jobst
9. Daniel Coelho
10. Justin St-Pierre




 :nesquik:
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Rigger in Chief

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Re: 2015 Sylvester Tip
« Reply #2 on: December 31, 2014, 09:42:14 pm »
Dam: 0:52 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:51 / 0:51
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:21 / 1:02
Silo: 1:00 / 1:08 / 1:19
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:00 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:54
Streets: 1:12 / 1:54 / 1:54
Depot: 0:25 / 0:39 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:49
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:56 / 4:04 / 4:05
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:12 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:35
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:34 / 1:39
Egypt: 0:44 / 0:45 / 0:45

Top 10

1. Rayan I.
2. David Clemens
3. Luke Szklarz
4. Marc Rutzou
5. Bryan Bosshardt
6. Ryan White
7. Jimmy Bauer
8. Daniel Coelho
9. Jim Barrett
10. Ryan Koch
« Last Edit: January 01, 2015, 03:00:13 pm by GE literally ripped off of TWINE »
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Aztec Exemplar

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Re: 2015 Sylvester Tip
« Reply #3 on: December 31, 2014, 11:06:24 pm »
Dam: 0:52 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:51 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:47 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:20 / 1:02
Silo: 1:01/ 1:08 / 1:20
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:00 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:43 / 0:54
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:54
Streets: 1:12 / 1:54 / 1:54
Depot: 0:25 / 0:39 / 0:46
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:49
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:52 / 0:53
Control: 3:56 / 4:04 / 4:05
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:13 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:35
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:32 / 1:38
Egyptian: 0:44 / 0:45 / 0:45

Top 10
1. Rayan I.
2. Luke Szklarz
3. Marc Rutzou
4. David Clemens
5. Bryan Bosshardt
6. Daniel Coelho
7. Karl Jobst
8. Ryan White
9. Jimmy Bauer
10. Alex Anderson
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DYM

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Re: 2015 Sylvester Tip
« Reply #4 on: January 01, 2015, 12:49:16 pm »
What? My Silo 1:00 causes controversy and Marc's 1:00 gets backrolled due to converter? :nesquik:
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AZ

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Re: 2015 Sylvester Tip
« Reply #5 on: January 01, 2015, 01:29:44 pm »
Yep.


Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:51 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:20 / 1:02
Silo: 1:01 / 1:08 / 1:20
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:00 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:54
Streets: 1:12 / 1:54 / 1:54
Depot: 0:25 / 0:39 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:49
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:56 / 4:04 / 4:05
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:11 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:35
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:34 / 1:39
Egypt: 0:44 / 0:45 / 0:45

Top 10

1. Rayan I.
2. David Clemens
3. Marc R.
4. Luke Szklarz
5. Bryan Bosshardt
6. Karl Jobst
7. Daniel Coelho
8. Jimmy Bauer
9. Ryan White
10. Jim Barrett
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Deep-Darkness

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Re: 2015 Sylvester Tip
« Reply #6 on: January 05, 2015, 05:39:11 am »
WRs:
Dam: 0:52 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:51 / 0:51
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:20 / 1:02
Silo: 0:59 / 1:08 / 1:19
Frigate: 0:23 / 0:59 / 1:04
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:24
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:43 / 0:54
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:53 / 0:53
Streets: 1:12 / 1:54 / 1:54
Depot: 0:25 / 0:39 / 0:46
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:49
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:56 / 4:04 / 4:05
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:12 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:35
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:34 / 1:39
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45

(17 seconds cut, 16 new UWRs)

Top 10 (points / times):
1. Rayan I. / Rayan I.
2. David Clemens / Marc Rützou
3. Luke Szklarz / David Clemens
4. Marc Rützou / Luke Szklarz
5. Bryan Bosshardt / Bryan Bosshardt
6. Karl Jobst / Karl Jobst
7. Ryan White / Ilari Pekkala
8. Jimmy Bauer / Ryan White
9. Ilari Pekkala / Jimmy Bauer
10. Ryan Koch / Jim Barrett
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Wyst3r

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Re: 2015 Sylvester Tip
« Reply #7 on: January 05, 2015, 07:21:54 am »
Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:51 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:20 / 1:02
Silo: 1:00 / 1:08 / 1:20
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:00 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:54
Streets: 1:12 / 1:54 / 1:54
Depot: 0:25 / 0:39 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:49
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:53
Control: 3:56 / 4:04 / 4:05
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:13 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:35
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:34 / 1:38
Egypt: 0:44 / 0:45 / 0:45

Top 10

1. Rayan I.
2. David Clemens
3. Luke Szklarz
4. Marc R.
5. Bryan Bosshardt
6. Karl Jobst
7. Jimmy Bauer
8. Ryan White
9. Jim Barrett
10. Daniel Coelho
« Last Edit: January 05, 2015, 09:27:42 am by Wyst3r »
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Spec

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Re: 2015 Sylvester Tip
« Reply #8 on: January 05, 2015, 08:33:19 am »
Predicted WRs: NOT 0:52. Prove me wrong, please. Gonna go with henrik's guesses :nesquik:
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DYM

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Re: 2015 Sylvester Tip
« Reply #9 on: January 05, 2015, 08:49:04 am »
Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:51 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:21 / 1:02
Silo: 1:00 / 1:08 / 1:21
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:00 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:25
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:54
Streets: 1:12 / 1:54 / 1:55
Depot: 0:25 / 0:39 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:49
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:56 / 4:04 / 4:05
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:13 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:35
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:33 / 1:37
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45

Top 10

1. Rayan I.
2. David Clemens
3. Luke Szklarz
4. Marc R.
5. Bryan Bosshardt
6. Karl Jobst
7. Ryan White
8. Jimmy Bauer
9. Jim Barrett
10. Daniel Coelho
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Lark

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Re: 2015 Sylvester Tip
« Reply #10 on: January 05, 2015, 01:35:48 pm »
A cut-off date for predictions should be established if it hasn't already.

Dam: 0:53 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:51 / 0:51
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:48 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:20 / 1:02
Silo: 0:59 / 1:08 / 1:21
Frigate: 0:22 / 1:00 / 1:04
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:24
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:54
Streets: 1:12 / 1:54 / 1:54
Depot: 0:25 / 0:40 / 0:47
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:49
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:54
Control: 3:56 / 4:04 / 4:05
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:13 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:35
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:34 / 1:38
Egypt: 0:45 / 0:45 / 0:45


Top 10

1. Rayan I.
2. David Clemens
3. Luke Szklarz
4. Marc R.
5. Bryan Bosshardt
6. Karl Jobst
7. Jimmy Bauer
8. Ryan White
9. Daniel Coelho
10. Jim Barrett

« Last Edit: January 05, 2015, 01:43:35 pm by Larkin »
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RK

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Re: 2015 Sylvester Tip
« Reply #11 on: January 05, 2015, 02:02:46 pm »
I'm taking a wild chance by predicting that Marc has his biggest comeback ever. I think 2015 will be a very active year.

(I know some of these are crazy)

Dam: 0:52 / 1:16 / 1:55 (Marc)
Facility: 0:43 /  0:51 / 0:52 (Ace & Marc get 0:51)
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:47 / 1:47 (Marc)
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:20 / 1:02 (Ace)
Silo: 0:59 / 1:07 / 1:19 (Marc)
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:00 / 1:05 (Pettit's time remain untied)
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:49 / 1:24 (MRPB)
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:43 / 0:54 (Marc gets 43 with the new route Henrik introduced a few months ago)
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:54 / 0:54
Streets: 1:12 / 1:54 / 1:54 RWMR | MRRW
Depot: 0:25 / 0:39 / 0:47 (Eric)
Train: 0:58 / 1:23 / 1:49
Jungle: 0:49 / 0:53 / 0:54 (Illu fuels up with some quinoa salad and and a liter of whiskey, and nails an amazing run)
Control: 3:56 / 4:04 / 4:05
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:13 / 1:31
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:34 / 0:35 (Bonzo returns and gets 34 SA)
Aztec: 1:24 / 1:33 / 1:39 (Marc)
Egypt: 0:44 / 0:45 / 0:45 (Daniel)


Current Top 10

1. Marc Rützou
2. Rayan I.
3. David Clemens
4. Luke Szklarz
5. Bryan Bosshardt
6. Karl Jobst
7. Jimmy Bauer
8. Daniel Coelho
9. Ryan White
10. Jim Barrett

I become top 10, Dan knocks me out
« Last Edit: January 05, 2015, 02:24:56 pm by ryanbkoch »
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Wouter Jansen

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Re: 2015 Sylvester Tip
« Reply #12 on: January 05, 2015, 02:37:03 pm »
Train 0:57
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flukey lukey

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Re: 2015 Sylvester Tip
« Reply #13 on: January 22, 2015, 08:58:08 pm »
better late than never

Untieds of 2015: (In no particular order)

At least 3 of these will happen

Dam Agent 0:52
Facility Secret Agent 0:51
Bunker 1 Secret Agent 0:20
Silo Agent 0:59
Surface 2 Secret Agent 0:48
Surface 2 00A 1:24
Streets 00A 1:54
Depot Secret Agent 0:39
Train Agent 0:57
Aztec Secret Agent 1:32
Aztec 00A 1:37
Egypt Agent 0:44

TOP 10 (POINTS):

1. I.
2. Szklarz
3. Clemens
4. Stryker
5. Bosshardt
6. Jobst
7. Coelho
8. Bauer
9. White
10. Bezgoubov
« Last Edit: January 23, 2015, 07:23:27 pm by ezpz lemon squeezey »
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#TeamLevelRotation

Aztec Exemplar

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Re: 2015 Sylvester Tip
« Reply #14 on: January 22, 2015, 09:05:26 pm »
cya Jim
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Jimbo

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Re: 2015 Sylvester Tip
« Reply #15 on: January 22, 2015, 09:42:01 pm »
I doubt it, I will always be around m8



Look Luke I got to 3rd place too :kappa:
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Scrambler Fanny

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Re: 2015 Sylvester Tip
« Reply #16 on: January 22, 2015, 09:45:42 pm »
^ lol ^

I like it, Jimbo.  Your tenure here at the Elite, all jokes aside, has been a very solid one.

Man that screen shot be bringing it way back.
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Lark

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Re: 2015 Sylvester Tip
« Reply #17 on: January 22, 2015, 10:13:55 pm »
That's a great, retro picture of the rankings, but that is the most troll top 10 I have ever seen in my life.
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wheatrich

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Re: 2015 Sylvester Tip
« Reply #18 on: January 22, 2015, 10:18:09 pm »
top 3 on a list where 6 and 7 might not be top 50 at the end of the year....

not seeing the WIM (want it more) required to change the top order, marc could get 2nd if he cared to but doesn't seem to, luke could get back into 3rd but nearly all of his times are 9x already, everyone else is too far back from top 9.  Other guys have the talent but have clearly shown they can't grind every level for it, and wodahs seems to loathe aztec and Jimbo would grind GE in the honeymoon hotel if he needs to. 

It looks like it'll be continued carnage in the lower ranks (lol old people).
« Last Edit: January 22, 2015, 10:28:57 pm by wheatrich »
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Wodahs-Reklaw

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Re: 2015 Sylvester Tip
« Reply #19 on: January 22, 2015, 10:35:18 pm »
To be honest I don't loath aztec, I just save the best for last  :kappa:
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SimThreat

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Re: 2015 Sylvester Tip
« Reply #20 on: January 22, 2015, 11:03:57 pm »
6. J..
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Re: 2015 Sylvester Tip
« Reply #21 on: January 22, 2015, 11:59:17 pm »
Few posts in this thread I think mostly due to everyone's AGDQ presence.  With no untieds yet this year it's definitely not too late to get your predictions in, so here we go!


Ryan White "Goose" Official 2015 Sylvester Tip Goldeneye 007 Speedrun Predictions

World Records:

Dam: 0:52 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:51 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:35
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:47 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:17 / 0:21 / 1:01
Silo: 0:59 / 1:07 / 1:19
Frigate: 0:23 / 1:00 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:48 / 0:48 / 1:25 
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:42 / 0:53
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:16 / 0:53 / 0:54
Streets: 1:12 / 1:54 / 1:54
Depot: 0:25 / 0:39 / 0:47
Train: 0:57 / 1:23 / 1:48
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:53 / 0:53
Control: 3:55 / 4:04 / 4:05
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:13 / 1:30
Cradle: 0:34 / 0:35 / 0:35
Aztec: 1:25 / 1:33 / 1:37
Egypt: 0:44 / 0:45 / 0:45 


Top 10:

1. Rayan "Perfectace" I.
2. Marcus "Inkosi" Stryker
3. Luke "homeonsplice222" Szklarz
4. David Clemens
5. Bryan Bosshardt
6. Ryan "RWhiteGoose" White
7. Karl Jobst
8. Jimbo Barrett
9. Jimmy Bauer
10. Daniel "Wodahs" Coehlo


Analysis:

Mirrormage gets his first untied and ties 1:16, but still doesn't complete his timespage for Top 10.

Wodahs completes the inevitable, reaching 10th, but no higher (the gap between 11th and 10th is such a grind that Daniel is exhausted afterwards and goes back to OOT for a bit.)  He does nail Egypt 44 for his first untied.

Lockwood, JustinDT, Clemens and Bauer do little damage.

Jimbo keeps after those 90 pointers enough to pass a fairly quiet Bauer.

Goose periodically goes ham on some untieds and earns over $25k from Twitch revenues.

Marc and Ace have their rivalry reignited, trading insane untieds and tying each other's stuff all summer long.  They make efficient use of new timesavers on levels like Bunker 2, Archives SA and Control Agent.

Many try and fail at tying Surface 2 00A 1:25.

Illu nails Dam 52 with merely a 2:0, 2.2 run.  He releases it in a 30 minute feature film to critical acclaim.

Eric does nail Depot 39 which remains untied all year long.  He experiences success in other aspects of life shortly thereafter.

Luke continues grinding but doesn't do anything shocking.  He just steadily keeps on PRing and WRing where he should.  Like a rock on a mission.

I predicted way too many untieds but at least the colours look nice.  People often predict way too much movement in the Top 10.  I think Wodahs can make it but it won't be as easy as most think.  No one else really comes close.  Justin could do it but he seems to have dropped out of it for a while.  Mirror nor Lockwood will fill their timespages enough to get close.
« Last Edit: January 23, 2015, 12:12:03 am by Goose »
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"I want to be defined by the things that I love. Not the things I'm afraid of, or the things that haunt me in the middle of the night.  I just think that, you are what you love."  Taylor Swift, Daylight.

【 Verax Maneret 】
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