Author Topic: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS (congrats to the Patriots and grav!)  (Read 1619 times)

T+

  • Posts: 776
    • qwec
    • GE
It's that time of year again, pick the winners week by week

On your first post denote who you think will win it all



** WILD-CARD ROUND **

Miami Dolphins @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Oakland Raiders @ Houston Texans

New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers

Detroit Lions @ Seattle Seahawks
« Last Edit: February 07, 2017, 11:34:28 pm by Ngamer »

T+

  • Posts: 776
    • qwec
    • GE
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #1 on: January 04, 2017, 12:16:22 am »
WC Round

Pittsburgh
Oakland
Seattle
New York

New England to win it all

Grav

  • Posts: 824
  • Birth through death
    • GE
    • twitch
    • 2016SilverStar
    • 2017RankingsDev
    • 2017CommunityContributor
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #2 on: January 04, 2017, 12:31:55 am »
Realistic:

AFCDG: Patriots vs Texans
AFCDG: Chiefs vs Steelers

NFCDG: Cowboys vs Packers
NFCDG: Falcons vs Seahawks

AFCCG: Patriots vs Chiefs
NFCCG: Falcons vs Packers

Super Bowl: Patriots vs Packers

Winner: New England Patriots
SBMVP: Tom Brady


Homer Picks:

AFCDG: Patriots vs Dolphins
AFCDG: Chiefs vs Raiders

NFCDG: Cowboys vs Giants
NFCDG: Falcons vs Seahawks

AFCCG: Patriots vs Chiefs
NFCCG: Falcons vs Giants

Super Bowl: Chiefs vs Falcons

Winner: Kansas City Chiefs
SBMVP: Travis Kelce

TheFlash

  • Posts: 3404
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #3 on: January 04, 2017, 12:40:19 am »
P
O
GB
S

GB
« Last Edit: January 07, 2017, 02:33:47 pm by TheFlash »

Lark

  • Posts: 3635
    • Lark
    • GE
    • PD
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #4 on: January 04, 2017, 01:02:50 am »
Steelers
Texans
Packers
Seahawks

Super Bowl Winner: Green Bay Packers
Embrace the grind.

wishiwasfamous

  • Posts: 3363
  • derp
    • GE
    • PD
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #5 on: January 05, 2017, 12:48:19 pm »
Steelers
Raiders
Green Bay Packers
Seattle Seahawks

Seahawks SB champions

Rigger in Chief

  • Posts: 852
  • SC Host
    • Austin Perroux
    • GE
    • twitch
    • 2016CommunityContributor
    • 2017CommunityContributor
    • 2018CommunityContributor
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #6 on: January 07, 2017, 03:21:36 am »
Dolphins-Lions Super Bowl

Dolphins 137 - 135 Falcons in overtime. Dolphins win on a safety in overtime
Rigging Contests One Round at a Time

Ngamer

  • Posts: 6305
  • Swagger Personified
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • thengamer.com
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #7 on: January 07, 2017, 04:38:17 pm »
As always my goal is to be the first to ever go 11-0 against the spread for the playoffs; here goes!

What a shame for Carr to go down the way he did, just when I was starting to think the Raiders could give the Pats a serious run in the AFC.  Even so they're a much better football team than the Texans, a squad with some serious question marks at QB themselves, and I don't think it's enough of a difference for home field advantage to erase.  Houston does has a strong pass defense so they should be able to keep it close, but ultimatlly I still think the Raiders could sneak this out.
Oakland Raiders > Houston Texans by 3 points
(a COVER, as the Texans are actually favored by 4 here)

The Lions were an about-average team that was extremely fortunate in every fourth quarter to put themselves in the driver's seat- since Stafford broke his finger they've come crashing back to Earth aka where they should have been all season.  They're also cursed in big games and traveling to the most difficult place in the league to win a playoff game, in recent history at least.  All that being said... these Seahawks have some serious problems.  Even throwing out the Green Bay game (where everything possible went wrong) the O-line has struggled and this is not the dominating defense we're used to seeing thanks to some injuries.  It COULD be a blowout but I think the Lions might continue their weird streak of hanging around in games they have no business winning.
Seattle Seahawks > Detroit Lions by 7 points
(that's a COVER for the Lions, as the Hawks are favored by 8/8.5)

What an awful schedule- the 2016 Dolphins should NOT be a playoff team, this spot should have gone to the Ravens.  I wouldn't give them much of a change against the Killer Bs even if this were being played in Miami; up in Pittsburgh, in the cold, with all the Steeler's stars coming off a week of rest?  Forget about it.
Pittsburgh Steelers > Miami Dolphins by 14 points
(a Pitt COVER, favored by 11 right now)

We've already seen this game- the Packers won by 7 and it honestly should have been 20.  We controlled both lines of scrimmage and failed to capitalize on offense from our own silly mistakes moreso than anything New York did, problems that we've ironed out in the last couple months.  That being said... the Giants are playing way better defense since then and this is going to be a COLD ONE (about 8 degrees) that could keep both passing games in check, so anything's possible.  I don't think the Packers players are haunted by the ghosts of 2007 and 2011 (hardly any of them where on the team that long ago), but the fans most certainly are meaning things are going to go dead silent the minute something starts to go badly.  This is exactly the team we wanted to avoid, but even so, we've been playing strong enough football lately to overcome anything.
Green Bay Packers > New York Giants by 3 points
(Giants would COVER as GB is favored by 5/5.5- a mistake, this line should only be 3)

Overall: I picked Patriots > Seahawks at the start of the season, if I had to pick again I'd swap the Cowboys into that spot.
« Last Edit: January 07, 2017, 04:46:10 pm by Ngamer »
thengamer. com

Ngamer

  • Posts: 6305
  • Swagger Personified
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • thengamer.com
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #8 on: January 07, 2017, 04:45:07 pm »
Jimbo007 says he can't get to the computer right now but he picks

Texans
Seahawks
Steelers
Packers
thengamer. com

TheFlash

  • Posts: 3404
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #9 on: January 08, 2017, 08:45:24 pm »
NE
KC
GB
S

Lark

  • Posts: 3635
    • Lark
    • GE
    • PD
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #10 on: January 12, 2017, 12:05:39 am »
Packers
Patriots
Chiefs
Seahawks

« Last Edit: January 12, 2017, 06:21:14 pm by Lark »
Embrace the grind.

matt8k

  • Posts: 586
  • Whatever
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • matt8000
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #11 on: January 12, 2017, 05:35:48 am »
Seahawks
Patriots
Chiefs
Cowboys
Frigate doesn't complete in Melbourne 

Ngamer

  • Posts: 6305
  • Swagger Personified
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • thengamer.com
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #12 on: January 14, 2017, 07:55:37 am »
3 correct winners but only 2-2 against the spread last week.  I'm not complaining though, since it's the Packers who stung me with the extra loss!  Here's hoping they can burn me again here in the Divisional Round.


Yes the Seahawks looked good last week (against a broken-fingered QB leading what should have been a 7 win team), but I still don't trust them.  Having to fly all the way across the country on a short week to go up against the most consistent offense in the game, and one that's built to pile up points on the fast turf in this dome, ehhh.... I think it's going to be a little too much for Russell and the boys to handle.  Should still be an intense game though!
Falcons > Seahawks by 7, a COVER (currently Falcs by 5)

I'll admit I'm impressed how solid the Texans D has been this season despite losing the best player on that side of the ball.  Every single other thing about this matchup however- yikes!  I'd avoid betting money on the Pats here due to the insultingly high line even though I don't see any way for Houston to keep this competitive into the second half.
Patriots > Texans by 17, barely a COVER (currently Pats by a shocking 16)

Another repeat matchup- the Cowboys beat us cleanly in the regular season and are well deserving favorites in this rematch.  I do think a few things are working in our favor, for instance how all the pressure is on Dallas after their perfect ('cept the Eagles) season, playing at home in front of nervous fans after a decade of 8-8 teams, how will these rookies respond to the raised stakes, etc.  The downside is they have the recipe for beating us already written down (it goes like this: "keep Aaron off the field") and they've got the ideal offense to execute that gameplay by keeping the chains moving on third and short and grinding out long drives.  Ultimately, we win this game if we play like we did against the Giants in the second half... except this time we can only get there by playing that way for ALL FOUR QUARTERS.  Without Jordy, or any of the 12 defensive backs we've put on the field this season only to see their careers ended within three plays, I don't think we can sustain that level of play for quite long enough.
Cowboys > Packers by 7, a tight COVER (favored by 4.5 or 5)

Well, the Chiefs won't be lacking for motivation in this one- despite a fantastic season, hard hitting defense, extra rest and one of the league's strongest home field advantages they find themselves barely favored at Arrowhead.  This game's been delayed 7 hours due to fears over nasty weather; if those forecast are correct and we're going to be dealing with strong winds on a sloppy field it could be just what the Kansas City doctor ordered to help keep the Killer Bees in check.  Buuuuuuut sorry I think the theme of these playoffs is going to be great offenses finding ways to get enough done against solid defenses (see Falcons > Hawks), and with that in mind I can't bet against a team with this many weapons!
Steelers > Chiefs by 3, a COVER as KC is favored by 1 to 1.5 points
 
« Last Edit: January 17, 2017, 06:43:25 am by Ngamer »
thengamer. com

T+

  • Posts: 776
    • qwec
    • GE
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #13 on: January 14, 2017, 08:01:46 am »
Seahawks
Pats
Packers
Chiefs

Jimbo

  • Posts: 4099
  • Elite Historian
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • 2015CommunityContributor
    • 2016RankingsDev
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #14 on: January 14, 2017, 01:54:25 pm »
Falcons Packers Patriots Steelers

wheatrich

  • Posts: 2909
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #15 on: January 15, 2017, 03:16:52 pm »
darn good analysis NG (falcs beatdown seahawks, pats barely covered the 17), you were right but it's b/c the seahawks are just an avg defense after the earl thomas injury and that killed them vs the falcs since they have nothing for an offensive line to fight back in the scoring points dept, chiefs D while they don't have a comeback offense in them either--that D is still good and should be ok holding PIT's similar high powered O.  Both games should be good today after the well it looked good in the 2nd quarter anyway games of yesterday.

Then again I thought that about NYG GB, and NYG dominated the first half, and ofc that just meant they were down 14-6 then got their asses kicked in half 2 so what do I know.

wishiwasfamous

  • Posts: 3363
  • derp
    • GE
    • PD
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #16 on: January 20, 2017, 05:26:14 pm »
Steelers
Packers

Lark

  • Posts: 3635
    • Lark
    • GE
    • PD
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #17 on: January 20, 2017, 05:42:32 pm »
Patriots
Packers

Let's go! 1996 Season Super Bowl rematch.

By the way, could we get a preds leaderboard update?
« Last Edit: January 20, 2017, 06:07:51 pm by Lark »
Embrace the grind.

matt8k

  • Posts: 586
  • Whatever
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • matt8000
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #18 on: January 20, 2017, 10:29:32 pm »
Patriots
Packers
Frigate doesn't complete in Melbourne 

TheFlash

  • Posts: 3404
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #19 on: January 20, 2017, 10:42:28 pm »
NE
GB

Ngamer

  • Posts: 6305
  • Swagger Personified
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • thengamer.com
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #20 on: January 21, 2017, 05:32:44 am »
Well sir, I really didn't think I'd be writing something like this re: the 2016 playoffs but it's now apparent we're into historical territory for this team so I want to take a hot minute and record my thoughts on the matter.


I... think that was the best game of football I've ever watched.  Well, maybe not "best" exactly but certainly most entertaining and perhaps "best ever if you ignore how we kept three players 20 yards deep the entire game and did nothing to stop an unlimited number of 15 yard passes," which admittedly did suck some drama out of the Dallas drives.  I've got a few points I want to make about both games so far, but first,

* Enough already with these "all star" referee squads!  Do all the stats analysis you want to find the very best refs at each position over the course of the whole season; their reward can be hopping on a plane together to Hawaii or Arizona to officiate the Pro Bowl as a team.  For all the actual meaningful playoff games, let's use the actual teams of refs- I want the four best, highest rated squads who've worked together for the last 20 weeks to be the only ones calling these games.  It really doesn't seem like too much to ask.


re: The Giants Game
It's true, we dodged more bullets than Neo with all New York's costly drops in the first quarter.  Two things though: it was really vindicating how (once Aaron warmed up and hit his stride) none of those early New York points would have mattered, and secondly I don't think it's entirely fair to say we just "got lucky" in that first half.  That many drops for Giants WRs was definitely unusual but on the other hand they were extremely fortunate to have zero turnovers until the game had already been decided.  Balls were bouncing off receiver's hands and getting batted into the air by our D-linemen and Eli was making questionable throws into coverage the entire game, I was really frustrated we could never take advantage of that (until Clay's double strip-sack recovery that is- what a play!).

* I hated McCarthy's decision to use a time out when the Giants were just running out the clock to end the first half.  They'd soundly outplayed us for 27 straight minutes, yet they were going to settle for heading into the break with us leading 7-6 and getting the ball to start the second half.  "Come on Mike, don't look a gift horse in the mouth."  When that happened I would have bet any money Eli was going to land a long bomb to set them up for a field goal and we'd just throw away 3 points.

...whoops, was I ever wrong!  Guess he just had supreme confidence in his D to get that stop on third and short and on Rodgers to make something happen down the field, and boy did he ever.  That Cobb TD has to be the play of the year in the NFL- if not, it at least wins for "Ngamer's loudest scream"!

* I also hated McCarthy's decision to go for it on 4th and 1 from our own 42, and this time I think I was right.  I mean I get where he's coming from: loves our o-line, trusts our offense, you've got to be able to make 1 yard runs in pressure situations to be able to win in the playoffs.  But it was freezing cold, our defense had stoned them three straight drives, we were up 14-3 with all the momentum in the world, it felt like the Giants were about to roll over and die if we didn't give them some kind of spark to get back into the game... you've got to play the field position game and try to pin them back in that spot, right?

To be fair the 4th and 1 should have never happened- we only hadn't picked up the first the play before because the Giants almost ripped off Ripkowski's head as they tackled him by the facemask, which somehow no one saw.  Between that and getting nothing out of having Jordy's ribs broken by a 100 mph helmet slam in the first quarter I was understandably a little upset at the officiating for much of the afternoon.

Ultimately though a red hot Aaron Rodgers was too much to overcome once the Giants D started to get worn down in the second half, and that was all she wrote.  Still I'm not going to say I wasn't terrified the entire week leading up to the game, and the whole first half, and when it was suddenly 14-13 two plays after the 4th and 1 decision...  What a relief to finally put those 2007 and 2011 demons to rest!


re: The Cowboys Game
If things had played out a little bit differently in the final three minutes slash overtime everyone would have said "oh I can't believe it, another heartbreaker for the Packers!" but honestly, I wouldn't agree.  Okay, in the short term, yes, you should always win games when you can jump out to 18 point leads.  Thinking long term though, I wouldn't have put the heartbreak of a loss to Dallas in the same zip code as the Arizona game... or the Seattle game... or the 2011 Giants game.  We're talking about a team that was at 4-6 and deserved to be there, one that was dropping balls and running the wrong routes, with zero healthy running backs and a disastrous injury situation in the defensive secondary.  I was just hoping we could turn things around enough to reach 8-8 so we could heal up over the next six months and head into 2017 with a little bit of confidence; anything beyond that (to keep our 8 year streak of making the playoffs alive) would have taken a miracle.

Stealing the division from the Lions, earning a game at Lambeau, getting a playoff win?  That was all crazy talk and way way too much to ask for... let alone going on the road and taking down the best team in football this year!  (All due respect to the Patriots, I thought the Cowboys had the more impressive wins in 2016.)  This entire game was just the icing on the cake and I promised myself I wouldn't get too worked up if things started to go south.  But then, welllll...

* I threw a fit early in the game when Davante broke over the middle and forced the defender to grab him by the shoulder to prevent a big time pass play, and there was somehow no call even though he'd torn the jersey right off his shoulder pads.  Then it happened again in the third quarter and again no call (though that one wasn't quite as blatant).  It ended up being okay though as things did even out; we got a first down for hands to the face on Davante as a make up call (looked like the hands had only been high on the chest on the replay) and then of course there was that hold on, I think Ty Montgomery, that wiped away the second interception.  Which I still maintain was the right call (it was a pretty clear grab), though the Cowboys did have a point about the INT happening so far down the field that he would have had a tough time getting to the ball even if he'd been left alone.

* Having to scratch and claw and needing heroic performances to edge out a game where you lead by 18 early and 15 in the second half is a bit embarrassing, I must admit.  But, two things- I'm not sure people outside of Wisconsin appreciate just how unbelievably awful our defensive situation has become.  There's been plenty of Super Bowl teams who suffered injuries and had to rely on untested rookies to contribute big minutes in playoff games.  However we were forced to play not one, not two, but three undrafted rookies on every passing play.  Three.  If ever there was a "no lead is safe" situation, this was it!

And the other point is that the game really should have been over on that long bomb to Davante Adams that would have put us up 22 points in the third quarter.  Even as a Rodgers-lover I've got to say that was a legitimate misfire, but hey, you're allowed one of those every 315 passes or so, right?  (Nitpicking perhaps but it did bother me that Davante saw that pass was going to be off the mark two seconds before it landed and didn't try to do anything about it.  Probably wasn't catchable but if he dives for it he might break up the INT, or at least slam into that Cowboys safety and deny some runback yardage.)

* All credit to Jared Cook for the game-winning play, just an incredible job of not only keeping his toes in but also not letting his knees hit out of bounds before he'd fully secured the ball.  (Well okay so not ALL credit, I'm not sure any other QB could have placed the ball in a space the size of a shoe box from that distance, with that kind of heat behind it, while running to the left and throwing across his body.)  But Aaron had made nice throws to Cook on two of the previous three plays, either of which would have put us in a really good position, so I'm hesitant to give him tooooooo much hero credit.  Granted both of those passes had been well defended and they would have required him to box out and make really athletic grabs, but I still feel like he should have been able to come down with the ball on one of those three opportunities.

(Great catch, great throw, but for the record I think the non-fumble on the blindsided sack the play before was more amazing than either.)

* I couldn't believe my eyes when Dak spiked the ball on first and one!  Did he forget who was playing behind center on the other team?  I really feel like against Rodgers you have to have to *have to* give him the ball back with less than 10 seconds remaining- so run a quick pass on 1st and if it only picks up three yards, great, use your final time out to stop the clock after 30 seconds have run off.  If Dak disagreed and wanted the touchdown, fine, then use the TO right away to set up two throws to the end zone before tossing to the sidelines on third to set up an easily do-able field goal to get it to overtime.  With 35 seconds and two time outs there was no doubt in my mind we'd be able to move the ball far enough to set up either a long FG opportunity or a Hail Mary.

* Speaking of which, poor Mason Crosby.  Imagine if he kicked for someone like the Buffalo Bills and hit a 56 yarder to take the lead with 90 seconds left before nailing it from 51 as time expired, twice, to put them into the conference championship game.  They'd have a ticker tape parade for him the following morning, his statue would be erected at the stadium by noon, and grandpas would be telling their grandkids what a legend he was 50 years from now.  Our Wisconsin newspapers ran six pages of special coverage on the Packers for Monday's edition and there was an article saying Mason has "ice in his veins" and praising him for extending his streak to 23 straight field goals made in the postseason (a new NFL record).  ...and it ran on page six.


So here we go, last-ever game in the Georgia Dome, a rematch of perhaps the most entertaining regular season game in 2016 (33-32 Falcons), Vegas setting the line at the highest over/under for total points scored in the history of the NFL playoffs, one game to decide which of these two quarterbacks deserves the title of league MVP (I'd call them 1-2 in some order with Brady just behind)...  Should be fun!
« Last Edit: January 21, 2017, 05:59:31 am by Ngamer »
thengamer. com

Jimbo

  • Posts: 4099
  • Elite Historian
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • 2015CommunityContributor
    • 2016RankingsDev
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #21 on: January 21, 2017, 10:11:29 am »
League MVP votes were submitted and locked in right after the regular season finale.

I WANT Packers vs Patriots, as I have dreamed of this since the 2007 season, but my head says...

Patriots
Falcons

Since I'm a perfect 8-0, I have to continue to bet smart.

T+

  • Posts: 776
    • qwec
    • GE
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #22 on: January 21, 2017, 11:36:26 pm »
Patriots
Packers

Ngamer

  • Posts: 6305
  • Swagger Personified
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • thengamer.com
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #23 on: January 22, 2017, 02:19:27 am »
Yes everyone cast their votes right after W17, which is why if I were a betting man I'd put my roll on Matty Ice.  But I said "deserves," because if we're able to pick him off twice while Aaron Rodgers does enough Aaron Rodgers things to pull us out of the fire again, in our heart of hearts we'll always know who was the real Most Valuable Player this season.


Ng's Final Four, Finally
Uh oh, we've got a problem here.  I said the theme of these playoffs would be great offenses finding a way to get enough done against strong defenses, but I was a little bit TOO right; there isn't a single strong defense left standing!  So much for "Wins Championships"...

Out of the four Great Offenses still alive, I'd argue the Steelers have the most explosive weapons.  They've also got veteran leaders who won't be rattled by the big moment or playing in a loud & hostile environment, and they're not going to mind playing outside in the wind and cold.  Nice advantages, unfortunately the disadvantage is they drew the opponent that matches up the best against them.  I'd call the Pats #1 out of the mediocre defenses still in the running and I think Belichick's going to draw up a solid plan to double Brown and make someone else beat them.  Should be a tight, hard-fought game that comes right down to the final two minutes... and in that scenario I'm certainly not betting against Brady and Belichick at home.
Patriots > Steelers by 7 points (just enough to gut out a close COVER, line's holding steady at 6)

What's this, yet ANOTHER rematch?  In the preseason all the talk was about how the Packers had lucked their way into the easiest schedule in all of football, yet the last four weeks we've had do-or-die matchups against the playoff bound Lions (for the second time), Giants (for the second time), Cowboys (for the second time), and now it's time for a second go-round with these red hot Falcons.  What's changed since they beat us last time?  We found a running back (well, more "created out of desperation" than found), our new tight end is healthier and playing with more confidence, and so is our core of wide receivers.  (Erm, the playing with confidence part, not the healthier part- they're all extremely banged up and running on fumes.)  That would be awesome, except for how we've also lost a further nine dozen members of our defensive backfield since the first game and are now running into an unstoppable passing game that's torched everyone this season, even Seattle.  I think Vegas is right to predict the highest total point ever for a playoff game; should be a shootout that comes to who can make the crucial interception in the 4th quarter, and I don't trust our undrafted rookies to be the ones to pull it off.
Falcons > Packers by 7 points (another tight COVER as this line has surged from 4 to 6)
thengamer. com

Jimbo

  • Posts: 4099
  • Elite Historian
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • 2015CommunityContributor
    • 2016RankingsDev
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #24 on: January 22, 2017, 10:42:49 am »
The two Packers fans of the elite picking against the Packers, LOL.

wishiwasfamous

  • Posts: 3363
  • derp
    • GE
    • PD
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #25 on: February 05, 2017, 05:16:05 pm »
Falcons
Ryan

Ngamer

  • Posts: 6305
  • Swagger Personified
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • thengamer.com
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #26 on: February 05, 2017, 06:22:03 pm »
Ng's Big Game
I'm really torn... Belichick's always had great results with two weeks to prepare for an opponent, and it would certainly be hilarious to watch Goodell have to hand the Lombardi to Bill and Brady after stripping them of a draft pick and 4 games over nothing.  Ultimately though I think this line is a bit disrespectful; the Falcons D is better than they've been given credit for all season and this is legitimately one of the great all-time offenses.  This will probably be tight early before blowing open and turning into a track meet after both defenses are gassed, and the winner will be whoever turns the ball over one time fewer.  I'll go with
Falcons > Patriots by 3 (an easy COVER as Vegas has the Pats as 3 point favorites)

MVP: Matty Ice with 3 TDs and 300+ yards
thengamer. com

TheFlash

  • Posts: 3404
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #27 on: February 05, 2017, 07:31:43 pm »
NE
Brady

TheFlash

  • Posts: 3404
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #28 on: February 05, 2017, 10:46:08 pm »
NE
Brady

Nailed it.

The two Packers fans of the elite picking against the Packers, LOL.

Hey, I picked them...

RWG

  • Posts: 21326
  • always rooting for the antihero.
    • Goose
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • http://www.twitch.tv/rwhitegoose
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #29 on: February 06, 2017, 10:43:26 am »
mate where's the super ad topic
"I want to be defined by the things that I love. Not the things I'm afraid of, or the things that haunt me in the middle of the night.  I just think that, you are what you love."  Taylor Swift, Daylight.

【 Verax Maneret 】

T+

  • Posts: 776
    • qwec
    • GE
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #30 on: February 06, 2017, 11:27:20 am »
Didn't post my MVP in the OP but I had Patriots - Brady

By my count these are the final standings (MVP counted as 1 point):
grav - 10
Jimbo - 10
Ngamer - 9
Thingy - 8
Qweczol - 7
wishiwasfamous - 3
Matt9k - 2
« Last Edit: February 06, 2017, 11:39:49 am by Open Doritos Bag »

Jimbo

  • Posts: 4099
  • Elite Historian
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • 2015CommunityContributor
    • 2016RankingsDev
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #31 on: February 06, 2017, 11:36:35 am »
Well that sucks, I would have had Patriots / Brady too but I didn't post it. I had a perfect postseason as well.

Grav

  • Posts: 824
  • Birth through death
    • GE
    • twitch
    • 2016SilverStar
    • 2017RankingsDev
    • 2017CommunityContributor
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS
« Reply #32 on: February 06, 2017, 02:07:37 pm »
 :nesquik:

Ngamer

  • Posts: 6305
  • Swagger Personified
    • GE
    • PD
    • twitch
    • thengamer.com
Re: 2017 NFL Playoffs PREDICTIONS (congrats to the Patriots and grav!)
« Reply #33 on: February 08, 2017, 12:47:50 am »
Congratulations on the big win grav, a shame Jim got so cocky with his large lead and decided he didn't even need to make a final pick to take #1 but it's like they say, pride goeth before a fall.

In other news lets put a final bow on the 2016 season by checking how my bets turned out!

Ng's 2016 Bets
TEAMS (large units)
Ravens to finish UNDER 8.5 wins, -135
Tight one, the Ravens were pretty good all year and looked like a playoff team down the stretch, blasting the Dolphins and staying within a single score against the Patriots and Steelers.  Luckily for me they laid an egg in W17 and were destroyed by the Bengals to finish the season 8-8 and make this one a winner.

Colts to finish UNDER 9.5 wins, -200
This number's always too high because the Colts have the best quarterback in an awful division... and it was even worse than I expected in 2016 as the Jaguars couldn't win a game to save their lives (I thought they'd finally turn things around).  But I was saved by the Titans and Texans playing much better than I expected; both those teams got to 9 wins to hold the Colts to only 8-8 and make this an easy winner.

Vikings to finish UNDER 9.5 wins, -165
This looked like the blunder of a lifetime early- the Vikes headed into their bye week as the league's final undefeated team and appeared to have a stranglehold on the North, as one of those 5 wins came against the Packers.  I breathed a huge sigh of relief when they got blown up by the Eagles coming off that bye and then the wheels came off completely as they lost 8 of the final 11 to only manage a .500 season and make this a shockingly easy win.  It's okay though, at least they didn't assume this was a Super Bowl-quality team and mortgage their future to acquire a veteran quarterback.

PLAYERS (large units)
Thomas Rawls to record OVER 6 receiving + rushing touchdowns, -115
Rawls showed flashes of 2015's Beast Mode 2.0 late in the season, including 100+ yards and 2 touches against the Panthers and 150+ and a TD in the playoff game against the Lions.  Unfortunately he got hurt in W2 and didn't make it back on to the field until Week 11, turning this into a lost season (and a losing bet).  It's okay though, I smartly backed the OTHER breakout star of late 2015 (David Johnson) on the Fantasy side of the world!

Blake Bortles to throw for OVER 4000 yards, -120
Whoops, Jags coming back to bite me!  Bortles did stay healthy all year, started every game, and threw for 20 more passes than 2015's already very high volume.  ...too bad they were almost all short checkdowns, giving him 500 fewer yards than last year and 12 fewer touchdowns.  Even so he came soooo close to winning this for me, ending less than 100 yards short of the mark.  Darn!

Adrian Peterson to rush for UNDER 1300 yards, +120
Last I checked, "72" was a good ways under 1300 so I'm going to chalk this one up as one of the best winners in prop bet history.  AP went down against the Pack in W2 and didn't make it back on to the field until Week 15, but the Vikings were eliminated after that so no need to put him in any further danger.

LONG SHOTS (small units)
Ezekiel Elliot to win Rookie of the Year, +125
Zeke was the FedEx Ground Player of the year, the Cowboys won Best Offensive Line, but Offensive Rookie of the Year instead went to his teammate Dak Prescott.  I was robbed!

Russell Wilson to win NFL MVP, +800
Russ got off to a rough start with a high ankle sprain that limited his mobility, he did play quite well in the back half of the season to keep the Seahawks in contention but MVP honors were ultimately between Rodgers, Brady, and the eventual winner Matt Ryan.

Phillip Rivers to lead the league in passing yards, +800
I mean, for 3/4th the season the Chargers were the best team to ever be unable to win a game under any circumstances, but too many injuries to too many of his weapons limited Rivers.  That and he also didn't actually play all that well.  Still though he got to almost 4,400 yards and finished in the Top Five for passing so this long shot wasn't TOOOOOO bad a guess.

AJ Green to lead the league in receiving yards, +1800
Green played at an elite level again this season, going for about 15 yards per catch which puts him right up there with anyone not named Julio Jones.  He went over 150 yards three times and was on pace to be in the running for this award before suffering an injury in W10 and never making it back onto the field.  A loss but I'm okay with this bet given the long odds.

Todd Gurley to league the league in rushing yards, +500
Gurley might still be a fine running back, and he was one of only a handful to stay healthy all season, but the Rams couldn't get anything done offensively this year so defenses smothered him every play and only allowed him 3.2 yards per attempt.  Not my finest bet but I didn't want to put ALL my chips on Zeke, so ehhhhh it's okay.

TRADITIONAL BET (one large unit)
ALL of the following six teams miss the playoffs:
49ers, Rams, Browns, Titans, Lions, Jets
Noooooooo, so close yet again!  Fantastic choices across the board (okay so actually the Titans almost ruined it as well but ignore that for a second) until those stupid Redskins had to spoil everything by losing at home in W17 to a Giants team that had nothing to play for.  A win there would have sent the Lions home packing when the Packers knocked them off to win the NFC North a few hours later, instead they limped in to the playoffs only to get beat up by the Seahawks.  Another year at 5 out of 6, what a shame, but I'll pull this off in 2017 for sure.

OVERALL: A big time WINNER for the season, though not quite enough to make everyone millionaires as I promised in Week One.
thengamer. com