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Author Topic: *** 2019 Sylvester Tip ***  (Read 1875 times)

BK

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*** 2019 Sylvester Tip ***
« on: January 01, 2019, 09:28:56 am »
Hello everyone! I hope that you all had a great 2018, and are looking forward to an even better 2019! I'm posting this to carry on with the tradition of the "Sylvester Tip", where we predict what the rankings will look like at the end of the year! For reference, here are the world records as of 12/31/18.

Current WRs

Dam: 0:52 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:52 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:28
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:47 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:16 / 0:20 / 1:02
Silo: 1:00 / 1:07 / 1:21
Frigate: 0:23 / 0:58 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:46 / 0:47 / 1:23
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:15 / 0:53 / 0:53
Streets: 1:11 / 1:54 / 1:54
Depot: 0:23 / 0:39 / 0:46
Train: 0:57 / 1:23 / 1:48
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:52 / 0:53
Control: 3:56 / 4:03 / 4:04
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:13 / 1:30
Cradle: 0:33 / 0:33 / 0:33
Aztec: 1:23 / 1:30 / 1:35
Egypt: 0:44 / 0:44 / 0:44

Current Top 10

1. Luke Szklarz
2. Rayan I.
3. Daniel Coelho
4. David Clemens
5. Marc Rutzou
6. Bryan Bosshardt
7. Karl Jobst
8. Dan Parker
9. Ryan White
10. Jim Barrett

--------------------------------------

So post your own versions of these lists according to what you believe will be accurate on Dec 31, 2019! Feel free to include a total WR count this time as well! I've posted the WR count of the last 10 years at the bottom of this post for reference.


2006 thread: http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=1035.0
2007 thread: http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=884.0
2008 thread: http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=13382.0
2009 thread: http://elite.speedrunwiki.com/forum/index.php?topic=14194.0
2013 thread: http://forums.the-elite.net/forum/index.php?topic=18405.0
2014 thread: http://forums.the-elite.net/index.php?topic=19279.msg396558#
2015 thread: http://forums.the-elite.net/index.php?topic=19976.0
2016 thread: https://forums.the-elite.net/index.php?topic=20758.0
2017 thread: https://forums.the-elite.net/index.php?topic=21697.0
2018 thread: https://forums.the-elite.net/index.php?topic=22261.msg450608#msg450608

Here are the amounts of WRs and untieds achieved each year since 2009:

2009: 43 WRs, 7 untieds
2010: 114 WRs, 24 untieds
2011: 35 WRs, 12 untieds
2012: 67 WRs, 15 untieds
2013: 95 WRs, 10 untieds
2014: 186 WRs, 13 untieds
2015: 188 WRs, 12 untieds
2016: 164 WRs, 10 untieds
2017: 211 WRs, 12 untieds
2018: 226 WRs, 16 untieds

Happy New Year and happy predicting everyone!
« Last Edit: January 01, 2019, 10:22:07 am by badKarl »
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BK

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Re: *** 2019 Sylvester Tip ***
« Reply #1 on: January 01, 2019, 09:35:42 am »
Here are my predictions for how the rankings will look at the end of 2019!

Dam - 52 / 116 / 155
Facility - 42 (RI) / 52 / 52
Runway - 22 / 22 / 28 (tied by MM and JW)
S1 - 101 (CW) / <146 (BB) (M-Strat) / 147 (CW)
B1 - 16 / 20 / 100 (DC)
Silo - 59 (MR) / 107 / 120 (MR)
Frigate - 22 (RI) / 57 (LP) / 104 (JH)
S2 - 46 / 46 (KJ) / 123
B2 - 23 / 43 (IB) / 53 (LB)
Statue - 218 / 218 / 217 (SR)
Archives - 15 / 53 / 53
Streets - 111 / 154 / 154
Depot - 23 / 39 / 45 (GR) (rocket-shot strategy)
Train - 56 (HN) / 122 (HN) / 148
Jungle - 49 (KJ) / 52 / 53
Control - 356 / 403 / 404
Caverns - 101 / 112 (LS) / 129 (GR)
Cradle - 32 (??) / 33 / 33
Aztec - 123 / 129 (ES) / 135
Egypt - 44 / 44 / 44

Top 10 at the end of 2019
1. David Clemens (+3)
2. Luke Szklarz (-1)
3. Daniel Coelho (+0)
4. Rayan I. (-2)
5. Karl Jobst (+2)
6. Marc Rutzou (-1)
7. Bryan B. (-1)
8. Dan Parker (+0)
9. Jim Barrett (+1)
10. Irie Butler (+6) (Gets 10th at the very end of December after streaming for 10 hours a day every day of 2019)
« Last Edit: January 02, 2019, 02:44:55 am by badKarl »
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JDBlack21

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Re: *** 2019 Sylvester Tip ***
« Reply #2 on: January 01, 2019, 03:34:50 pm »
Dam: 0:52 / 1:16 / 1:55 (Calle ties 1:16)
Facility: 0:42 / 0:52 / 0:52 (Ace also comes close to 51 but doesn't get it)
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:28 (SA 22 loses initials, some new wave players tie 28)
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:47 / 1:47 (Some efforts towards 1:01 are made by the likes of Clemens, Calle, and others, but it is not achieved quite yet)
Bunker 1: 0:16 / 0:20 / 1:02 (Irie ties 1:02)
Silo: 0:59 / 1:07 / 1:20 (Marc's last great untied sweep)
Frigate: 0:23 / 0:58 / 1:05 (More ties on A/00A, Ace can't manage to complete a 22, no one even has 104 pace hostages this year)
Surface 2: 0:46 / 0:47 / 1:23 (Mint and Wally tie 1:23)
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:53 (Luke hits the jackpot run, Alex comes out of the woodworks and ties it)
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:17 (After 10 fails, the FR finally shows up on a crimped pace for Samwell)
Archives: 0:15 / 0:53 / 0:53 (Wodahs ties all three)
Streets: 1:11 / 1:54 / 1:54 (Karl ties both 154s securing his 300)
Depot: 0:23 / 0:39 / 0:46 (Joris' double warp efforts for 22 come up short, more ties on each difficulty)
Train: 0:56 / 1:22 / 1:48 (Henrik nails the untied sweep of his career)
Jungle: 0:49 / 0:52 / 0:53 (After several valiant efforts, Karl gets his long overdue 49. He also settles for 54 on 00a)
Control: 3:56 / 4:03 / 4:04 (Nothing much happens here, Ace tries a bit for 4:03 on 00a but doesn't get anywhere)
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:13 / 1:28 (The scientists somehow survive on Karl's best pace ever, and he clutches out the 2 second untied)
Cradle: 0:33 / 0:33 / 0:33 (Several ties on agent, only a couple of ties on SA/00a
Aztec: 1:23 / 1:29 / 1:35 (Ace takes back his SA untied with fast glass strat and skipping BA on the healthiest run of 2019)
Egypt: 0:44 / 0:44 / 0:44 (Karl ties both 44s)

1. Luke Szklarz
2. David Clemens
3. Daniel Coelho
4. Rayan I.
5. Karl Jobst
6. Bryan Bosshardt
7. Marc Rutzou
8. Dan Parker
9. Irie Butler
10. Jim Barrett
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DYM

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Re: *** 2019 Sylvester Tip ***
« Reply #3 on: January 01, 2019, 11:50:27 pm »
Here are my predictions for how the rankings will look at the end of 2019!

Dam - 52 / 116 / 154 (Marc R.)
Facility - 43 / 52 / 52 (Ace gets a 43 bT & 5 more 52s on SA)
Runway - 22 / 22 / 28 (28 tied by Wally)
S1 - 102 / 147 / 147 (CW, KJ)
B1 - 16 / 20 / 101 (DC)
Silo - 59 (MR) / 108 / 121 (107 is BACKROLLED)
Frigate - 23 / 58 / 104 (JH, LP)
S2 - 46 / 46 (KJ) / 123
B2 - 23 / 44 / 53
Statue - 218 / 218 / 218
Archives - 15 / 53 / 53
Streets - 111 / 154 / 154
Depot - 23 / 39 / 46
Train - 56 (HN) / 123 / 148
Jungle - 49 / 52 / 53
Control - 356 / 403 / 404
Caverns - 101 / 112 / 129 (DC)
Cradle - 33 / 33 / 33
Aztec - 121 / 130 / 134
Egypt - 44 / 44 / 44

- BU7 gets S2 SA 0:46, then by Karl Jobst.
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Huzi

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Re: *** 2019 Sylvester Tip ***
« Reply #4 on: January 02, 2019, 01:15:50 am »
Dam: 0:52 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:42 / 0:52 / 0:52 (Ace gets 0:42)
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:28
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:47 / 1:47 (Calle gets 1:47)
Bunker 1: 0:16 / 0:20 / 1:02
Silo: 0:59 / 1:07 / 1:20 (Marc gets 0:59 & 1:20)
Frigate: 0:22 / 0:58 / 1:05 (Ace gets 0:22)
Surface 2: 0:46 / 0:47 / 1:23
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:43 / 0:54 (Clemens gets 0:43)
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:15 / 0:53 / 0:53
Streets: 1:11 / 1:54 / 1:54
Depot: 0:23 / 0:39 / 0:46
Train: 0:57 / 1:23 / 1:48
Jungle: 0:49 / 0:52 / 0:53 (Karl gets the first GoldenEye untied of the year)
Control: 3:56 / 4:03 / 4:04
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:13 / 1:30
Cradle: 0:33 / 0:33 / 0:33
Aztec: 1:23 / 1:30 / 1:35
Egypt: 0:44 / 0:44 / 0:44

Top 10
1. Rayan I.
2. Luke Szklarz
3. David Clemens
4. Daniel Coelho
5. Marc Rutzou
6. Karl Jobst
7. Bryan B.
8. Dan Parker
9. Jim Barrett
10. Irie Butler

« Last Edit: January 02, 2019, 02:15:59 am by Huzi »
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SammoSammy

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Re: *** 2019 Sylvester Tip ***
« Reply #5 on: January 02, 2019, 02:27:06 am »
Dam: 0:52 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:52 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:28
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:47 / 1:47
Bunker 1: 0:16 / 0:20 / 1:01
Silo: 0:59 / 1:07 / 1:21
Frigate: 0:22 / 0:58 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:46 / 0:47 / 1:23
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:53
Statue: 2:17 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:15 / 0:53 / 0:53
Streets: 1:11 / 1:54 / 1:54
Depot: 0:23 / 0:39 / 0:46
Train: 0:56 / 1:23 / 1:48
Jungle: 0:49 / 0:52 / 0:53
Control: 3:56 / 4:03 / 4:04
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:13 / 1:30
Cradle: 0:33 / 0:33 / 0:33
Aztec: 1:23 / 1:30 / 1:35
Egypt: 0:44 / 0:44 / 0:44
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AZ

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Re: *** 2019 Sylvester Tip ***
« Reply #6 on: January 02, 2019, 10:13:54 am »
Dam: 0:52 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:42 / 0:52 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:28
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:47 / 1:47
Bunker 1: 0:16 / 0:20 / 1:02
Silo: 0:59 / 1:07 / 1:21
Frigate: 0:22 / 0:58 / 1:05
Surface 2: 0:46 / 0:47 / 1:23
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:15 / 0:53 / 0:53
Streets: 1:11 / 1:54 / 1:54
Depot: 0:23 / 0:39 / 0:46
Train: 0:56 / 1:23 / 1:48
Jungle: 0:49 / 0:52 / 0:53
Control: 3:56 / 4:03 / 4:04
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:13 / 1:30
Cradle: 0:33 / 0:33 / 0:33
Aztec: 1:23 / 1:30 / 1:34
Egypt: 0:44 / 0:44 / 0:44

Top 10

1. Rayan I.
2. Luke Szklarz
3. David Clemens
4. Daniel Coelho
5. Marc Rützou
6. Bryan B.
7. Karl Jobst
8. Dan Parker
9. Jim Barrett
10. Irie Butler
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buppy

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Re: *** 2019 Sylvester Tip ***
« Reply #7 on: January 02, 2019, 01:30:06 pm »
Dam: 0:52 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:52 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:28
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:47 / 1:47
Bunker 1: 0:16 / 0:20 / 1:02
Silo: 0:59 / 1:07 / 1:21
Frigate: 0:22 / 0:58 / 1:04
Surface 2: 0:46 / 0:47 / 1:23
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:15 / 0:53 / 0:53
Streets: 1:11 / 1:54 / 1:54
Depot: 0:23 / 0:39 / 0:46
Train: 0:57 / 1:23 / 1:48
Jungle: 0:49 / 0:52 / 0:52
Control: 3:56 / 4:03 / 4:04
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:12 / 1:29
Cradle: 0:33 / 0:33 / 0:33
Aztec: 1:23 / 1:30 / 1:35
Egypt: 0:44 / 0:44 / 0:44

Current Top 10

1. Luke Szklarz
2. David Clemens
3. Daniel Coelho
4. Rayan I.
5. Marc Rutzou
6. Karl Jobst
7. Bryan Bosshardt
8. Dan Parker
9. Jim Barrett
10. Irie Butler
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Perceptor

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Re: *** 2019 Sylvester Tip ***
« Reply #8 on: January 02, 2019, 08:31:38 pm »
Dam: 0:52 / 1:16 / 1:54
Facility: 0:43 / 0:52 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:28
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:47 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:16 / 0:20 / 1:01
Silo: 1:00 / 1:07 / 1:21
Frigate: 0:23 / 0:57 / 1:04 (2.3 strat is used to achieve 0:57 and 1:04)
Surface 2: 0:46 / 0:47 / 1:23
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:15 / 0:53 / 0:53
Streets: 1:11 / 1:54 / 1:54
Depot: 0:23 / 0:39 / 0:46
Train: 0:56 / 1:23 / 1:48
Jungle: 0:49 / 0:52 / 0:53
Control: 3:56 / 4:03 / 4:04
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:13 / 1:29
Cradle: 0:33 / 0:33 / 0:33
Aztec: 1:22 / 1:30 / 1:35 (1:35 on 00 is tied with the mainframe strat and a BA skip)
Egypt: 0:44 / 0:44 / 0:44

Top 10

1. Luke Szklarz (0)
2. Daniel Coelho (+1)
3. David Clemens (+1)
4. Rayan I. (-2)
5. Marc Rutzou (0)
6. Karl Jobst (+1)
7. Bryan Bosshardt (-1)
8. Dan Parker (0)
9. Ryan White (0)
10. Jim Barrett (0)
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Happens

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Re: *** 2019 Sylvester Tip ***
« Reply #9 on: January 02, 2019, 08:46:12 pm »
Dam: 0:52 / 1:15 / 1:54
Facility: 0:42 / 0:52 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:28
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:47 / 1:48
Bunker 1: 0:16 / 0:20 / 1:02
Silo: 0:59 / 1:07 / 1:21
Frigate: 0:22 / 0:58 / 1:04
Surface 2: 0:46 / 0:47 / 1:23
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:15 / 0:53 / 0:53
Streets: 1:11 / 1:54 / 1:54
Depot: 0:23 / 0:39 / 0:46
Train: 0:56 / 1:23 / 1:48
Jungle: 0:49 / 0:52 / 0:53
Control: 3:56 / 4:03 / 4:04
Caverns: 1:00 / 1:13 / 1:30
Cradle: 0:33 / 0:33 / 0:33
Aztec: 1:23 / 1:30 / 1:35
Egypt: 0:44 / 0:44 / 0:44

Edit since I left out top 10:

1. Luke Szklarz
2. Daniel Coelho
3. Rayan I.
4. David Clemens
5. Marc Rutzou
6. Bryan Bosshardt
7. Karl Jobst
8. Dan Parker
9. Irie Butler
10. Jim Barrett
« Last Edit: January 03, 2019, 02:30:55 pm by Happens »
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MadmanFlechr

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Re: *** 2019 Sylvester Tip ***
« Reply #10 on: January 02, 2019, 11:58:54 pm »
Dam: 0:52 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:52 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:28
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:46 / 1:47
Bunker 1: 0:16 / 0:20 / 1:02
Silo: 0:59 / 1:07 / 1:21
Frigate: 0:23 / 0:58 / 1:03
Surface 2: 0:46 / 0:47 / 1:23
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:52
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:15 / 0:53 / 0:53
Streets: 1:11 / 1:54 / 1:54
Depot: 0:23 / 0:39 / 0:46
Train: 0:56 / 1:23 / 1:48
Jungle: 0:50 / 0:52 / 0:52
Control: 3:56 / 4:03 / 4:04
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:13 / 1:29
Cradle: 0:33 / 0:33 / 0:33
Aztec: 1:23 / 1:30 / 1:35
Egypt: 0:44 / 0:44 / 0:44

Top 10

1. Luke Szklarz
2. David Clemens
3. Rayan I.
4. Daniel Coelho
5. Bryan Bosshardt
6. Karl Jobst
7. Marc Rutzou
8. Dan Parker
9. Jim Barrett
10. Ryan White
« Last Edit: January 03, 2019, 03:02:03 pm by MadmanFlechr »
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FrostHops

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Re: *** 2019 Sylvester Tip ***
« Reply #11 on: January 03, 2019, 02:33:07 am »
WRs
Dam: 0:52 / 1:16 / 1:55
Facility: 0:43 / 0:52 / 0:52
Runway: 0:22 / 0:22 / 0:28
Surface 1: 1:02 / 1:47 / 1:47 (CW)
Bunker 1: 0:16 / 0:20 / 1:02
Silo: 0:59 (MR) / 1:07 / 1:21
Frigate: 0:22 (RI) / 0:58 / 1:04 (???)
Surface 2: 0:46 / 0:47 / 1:23
Bunker 2: 0:23 / 0:44 / 0:54
Statue: 2:18 / 2:18 / 2:18
Archives: 0:15 / 0:53 / 0:53
Streets: 1:11 / 1:54 / 1:54
Depot: 0:23 / 0:39 / 0:46
Train: 0:56 (HN) / 1:22 (HN) / 1:48
Jungle: 0:49 (KJ) / 0:52 / 0:53
Control: 3:56 / 4:03 / 4:04
Caverns: 1:01 / 1:13 / 1:29 (KJ or GR)
Cradle: 0:33 / 0:33 / 0:33
Aztec: 1:23 / 1:30 / 1:35
Egypt: 0:44 / 0:44 / 0:44

Top 10
1. Luke Szklarz
2. Rayan I.
3. David Clemens
4. Daniel Coelho
5. Marc Rutzou
6. Karl Jobst
7. Bryan B.
8. Dan Parker
9. Jim Barrett
10. Irie Butler
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Joris

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Re: *** 2019 Sylvester Tip ***
« Reply #12 on: January 03, 2019, 09:56:04 pm »
Was fun making this (but i feel like 2019 is going to be a good year for Perfect Dark)
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/19XJzPCuAVCqD2mr3JKh7yZPk3CCQLMxYqI1Up8P_xfM/edit?usp=sharing

Top 10:
1. Luke Szklarz
2. Daniel Coelho
3. Rayan I.
4. David Clemens
5. Marc Rützou
6. Karl Jobst
7. Bryan Bosshardt
8. Dan Parker
9. Jim Barett
10. Ryan White
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DYM

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Re: *** 2019 Sylvester Tip ***
« Reply #13 on: January 04, 2019, 01:24:21 pm »
Your spreadsheet is awesome, dude. This is probably the way to go for forthcoming Sylvester Tips.
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flukey lukey

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Re: *** 2019 Sylvester Tip ***
« Reply #14 on: January 06, 2019, 06:22:29 pm »
JQ top 10 2019
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Blue Khakis

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Re: *** 2019 Sylvester Tip ***
« Reply #15 on: January 06, 2019, 08:29:30 pm »
Quote from: flukey lukey on January 06, 2019, 06:22:29 pm
JQ top 10 2019
Joris Egypt sweep confirmed.
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